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Supplement 1 to GUM (GUM-S1) recommends the use of maximum entropy principle (MaxEnt) in determining the probability distribution of a quantity having specified properties, e.g., specified central moments. When we only know the mean value…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-07-20 Stefano Olivares , Matteo G. A. Paris

Given a super-critical Galton-Watson process $\{Z_n\}$ and a positive sequence $\{\epsilon_n\}$, we study the limiting behaviors of $P(S_{Z_n}/Z_n\geq\epsilon_n)$ and $P(S_{Z_n}/m^n\geq\epsilon_n) $ with sums $S_{n}$ of i.i.d. random…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-31 Hui He

We obtain optimal Gaussian concentration bounds (GCBs) for stochastic chains of unbounded memory (SCUMs) on countable alphabets. These stochastic processes are also known as "chains with complete connections" or "$g$-measures". We consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-24 J. -R. Chazottes , S. Gallo , D. Takahashi

The following anticoncentration property is proved. The probability that the $k$-order statistic of an arbitrarily correlated jointly Gaussian random vector $X$ with unit variance components lies within an interval of length $\varepsilon$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-23 Damian Kozbur

In this paper, we first briefly review some recent results on the distribution of the maximal eigenvalue of a $(N\times N)$ random matrix drawn from Gaussian ensembles. Next we focus on the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble (GUE) and by suitably…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-05-30 Celine Nadal , Satya N. Majumdar

We study the problem of high-dimensional covariance estimation under the constraint that the partial correlations are nonnegative. The sign constraints dramatically simplify estimation: the Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator is well…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-31 Jake A. Soloff , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Michael I. Jordan

We establish a lower bound on the entropy of weighted sums of (possibly dependent) random variables $(X_1, X_2, \dots, X_n)$ possessing a symmetric joint distribution. Our lower bound is in terms of the joint entropy of $(X_1, X_2, \dots,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Jing Hao , Varun Jog

We analyze the problem of maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian distributions that are multivariate totally positive of order two (MTP2). By exploiting connections to phylogenetics and single-linkage clustering, we give a simple proof…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-29 Steffen Lauritzen , Caroline Uhler , Piotr Zwiernik

We describe a method to computationally estimate the probability density function of a univariate random variable by applying the maximum entropy principle with some local conditions given by Gaussian functions. The estimation errors and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-21 Mihail-Ioan Pop

We discuss the possibilities and limitations of estimating the mean of a real-valued random variable from independent and identically distributed observations from a non-asymptotic point of view. In particular, we define estimators with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-22 Luc Devroye , Matthieu Lerasle , Gabor Lugosi , Roberto I. Oliveira

Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence is one of the most important divergence measures between probability distributions. In this paper, we prove several properties of KL divergence between multivariate Gaussian distributions. First, for any two…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Yufeng Zhang , Wanwei Liu , Zhenbang Chen , Ji Wang , Kenli Li

There is growing interest in improving our algorithmic understanding of fundamental statistical problems such as mean estimation, driven by the goal of understanding the limits of what we can extract from valuable data. The state of the art…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Trung Dang , Jasper C. H. Lee , Maoyuan Song , Paul Valiant

We present a large deviation principle at speed N for the largest eigenvalue of some additively deformed Wigner matrices. In particular this includes Gaussian ensembles with full-rank general deformation. For the non-Gaussian ensembles, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Benjamin McKenna

The ratio $P(S_n=x)/P(Z_n=x)$ is investigated for three cases: (a) when $S_n$ is a sum of 1-dependent non-negative integer-valued random variables (rvs), satisfying some moment conditions, and $Z_n$ is Poisson rv; (b) when $S_n$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-14 Vydas Čekanavičius , Palaniappan Vellaisamy

Let $G_1,\dots,G_m$ be independent copies of the standard gaussian random vector in $\mathbb{R}^d$. We show that there is an absolute constant $c$ such that for any $A \subset S^{d-1}$, with probability at least $1-2\exp(-c\Delta m)$, for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Daniel Bartl , Shahar Mendelson

The sample correlation coefficient $R$ plays an important role in many statistical analyses. We study the moments of $R$ under the bivariate Gaussian model assumption, provide a novel approximation for its finite sample mean and connect it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Daniel Salnikov

We establish large deviations estimates for the largest eigenvalue of Wigner matrices with sub-Gaussian entries. Under technical assumptions, we show that the large deviation behavior of the largest eigenvalue is universal for small…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-01 Fanny Augeri , Alice Guionnet , Jonathan Husson

We study the detection of a change in the covariance matrix of $n$ independent sub-Gaussian random variables of dimension $p$. Our first contribution is to show that $\log\log(8n)$ is the exact minimax testing rate for a change in variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Per August Jarval Moen

Let $A$ be an $n\times n$ matrix with mutually independent centered Gaussian entries. Define \begin{align*} \sigma^*:=\max\limits_{i,j\leq n}\sqrt{{\mathbb E}\,|A_{i,j}|^2}, \quad \sigma:=\max\bigg(\max\limits_{j\leq n}\sqrt{{\mathbb…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-26 Konstantin Tikhomirov

Let $X_1,X_2,...$ be independent random variables with zero means and finite variances, and let $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i$ and $V^2_n=\sum_{i=1}^nX^2_i$. A Cram\'{e}r type moderate deviation for the maximum of the self-normalized sums…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-24 Weidong Liu , Qi-Man Shao , Qiying Wang
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