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We reconsider a nonparametric density model based on Gaussian processes. By augmenting the model with latent P\'olya--Gamma random variables and a latent marked Poisson process we obtain a new likelihood which is conjugate to the model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

In this paper, we study the compressibility of random processes and fields, called generalized L\'evy processes, that are solutions of stochastic differential equations driven by $d$-dimensional periodic L\'evy white noises. Our results are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-19 Julien Fageot , Michael Unser , John Paul Ward

We study the nonparametric estimation of the jump density of a renewal reward process from one discretely observed sample path over [0,T]. We consider the regime when the sampling rate goes to 0. The main difficulty is that a renewal reward…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-09 Celine Duval

We introduce a nonparametric spectral density estimator for continuous-time and continuous-space processes measured at fully irregular locations. Our estimator is constructed using a weighted nonuniform Fourier sum whose weights yield a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Christopher J. Geoga , Paul G. Beckman

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

We consider a continuous-time stochastic volatility model. The model contains a stationary volatility process, the multivariate density of the finite dimensional distributions of which we aim to estimate. We assume that we observe the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij

A continuous-time nonlinear regression model with L\'evy-driven linear noise process is considered. Sufficient conditions of consistency and asymptotic normality of the Whittle estimator for the parameter of the noise spectral density are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-24 A. V. Ivanov , N. N. Leonenko , I. V. Orlovskyi

We propose two nonparametric tests for investigating the pathwise properties of a signal modeled as the sum of a L\'{e}vy process and a Brownian semimartingale. Using a nonparametric threshold estimator for the continuous component of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-25 Rama Cont , Cecilia Mancini

The problem of estimating the L\'evy density of a partially observed multidimensional affine process from low-frequency and mixed-frequency data is considered. The estimation methodology is based on the log-affine representation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-13 Denis Belomestny

Conditional independence and graphical models are crucial concepts for sparsity and statistical modeling in higher dimensions. For L\'evy processes, a widely applied class of stochastic processes, these notions have not been studied. By the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-13 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Jakob D. Thøstesen

The objective in stochastic filtering is to reconstruct information about an unobserved (random) process, called the signal process, given the current available observations of a certain noisy transformation of that process. Usually X and Y…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-31 B. P. W. Fernando , E. Hausenblas

The estimation of entropy rates for stationary discrete-valued stochastic processes is a well studied problem in information theory. However, estimating the entropy rate for stationary continuous-valued stochastic processes has not received…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-26 Andrew Feutrill , Matthew Roughan

We consider high frequency samples from ergodic L\'evy driven stochastic differential equation (SDE) with drift coefficient $a(x,\alpha)$ and scale coefficient $c(x,\gamma)$ involving unknown parameters $\alpha$ and $\gamma$. We suppose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-12 Hiroki Masuda , Yuma Uehara

In this paper we first provide several conditional limit theorems for L\'evy processes with negative drift and regularly varying tail. Then we apply them to study the asymptotic behavior of expectations of some exponential functionals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Wei Xu

This invited paper proposes and discusses several Bayesian attempts at nonparametric and semiparametric density estimation. The main categories of these ideas are as follows: 1) Build a nonparametric prior around a given parametric model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Nils Lid Hjort

L\'evy processes are widely used in financial modeling due to their ability to capture discontinuities and heavy tails, which are common in high-frequency asset return data. However, parameter estimation remains a challenge when associated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-01 Nicolas Coloma , William Kleiber

We characterize the small-time asymptotic behavior of the exit probability of a L\'evy process out of a two-sided interval and of the law of its overshoot, conditionally on the terminal value of the process. The asymptotic expansions are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-23 José E. Figueroa-López , Peter Tankov

Consider a process satisfying a stochastic differential equation with unknown drift parameter, and suppose that discrete observations are given. It is known that a simple least squares estimator (LSE) can be consistent, but numerically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-17 Yasutaka Shimizu

This work is concerned with the study of asymptotic properties of nonparametric density estimates in the framework of circular data. The estimation procedure here applied is based on wavelet thresholding methods: the wavelets used are the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Claudio Durastanti

We propose an analytical method to determine the shape of density profiles in the asymptotic long time limit for a broad class of coupled continuous time random walks which operate in the ballistic regime. In particular, we show that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-23 D. Froemberg , M. Schmiedeberg , E. Barkai , V. Zaburdaev
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