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In this paper we study a general optimal liquidation problem with a control-dependent stopping time which is the first time the stock holding becomes zero or a fixed terminal time, whichever comes first. We prove a stochastic maximum…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-28 Riccardo Cesari , Harry Zheng

Given a spectrally negative L\'evy process $X$ drifting to infinity, (inspired on the early ideas of Shiryaev (2002)) we are interested in finding a stopping time that minimises the $L^p$ distance ($p>1$) with $g$, the last time $X$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Erik J. Baurdoux , J. M. Pedraza

This paper deals with the optimal stopping problem under partial observation for piecewise-deterministic Markov processes. We first obtain a recursive formulation of the optimal filter process and derive the dynamic programming equation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Adrien Brandejsky , Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour

Optimal stopping problems consider the question of deciding when to stop an observation-generating process in order to maximize a return. We examine the problem of simultaneously learning and planning in such domains, when data is collected…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-05-25 Karan Goel , Christoph Dann , Emma Brunskill

A general result on the method of randomized stopping is proved. It is applied to optimal stopping of controlled diffusion processes with unbounded coefficients to reduce it to an optimal control problem without stopping. This is motivated…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-15 Istvan Gyongy , David Siska

We extend Peng's maximum principle to the case of stochastic delay differential equations of mean-field type. More precisely, the coefficients of our control problem depend on the state, on the past trajectory and on its expected value.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Giuseppina Guatteri , Federica Masiero , Lukas Wessels

We define a class of reflected backward stochastic differential equation (RBSDE) driven by a marked point process (MPP) and a Brownian motion, where the solution is constrained to stay above a given c\`adl\`ag process. The MPP is only…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-28 Nahuel Foresta

We introduce a notion of bounded variation solution for a new class of nonlinear control systems with ordinary and impulsive controls, in which the drift function depends not only on the state, but also on its past history, through a finite…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-25 Giovanni Fusco , Monica Motta

This work addresses the classic machine learning problem of online prediction with expert advice. A new potential-based framework for the fixed horizon version of this problem has been recently developed using verification arguments from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Vladimir A. Kobzar , Robert V. Kohn , Zhilei Wang

The standard theory of optimal stopping is based on the idealised assumption that the underlying process is essentially known. In this paper, we drop this restriction and study data-driven optimal stopping for a general diffusion process,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Sören Christensen , Niklas Dexheimer , Claudia Strauch

We establish a general framework that guarantees the preservation of optimal control patterns as the time horizon $[0,T]$ increases and becomes unbounded. A concept of pattern-preserving family of optimal control problems is introduced and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Matteo Della Rossa , Lorenzo Freddi

Large optimal transport problems can be approached via domain decomposition, i.e. by iteratively solving small partial problems independently and in parallel. Convergence to the global minimizers under suitable assumptions has been shown in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-16 Mauro Bonafini , Ismael Medina , Bernhard Schmitzer

A simple strategy for improving LLM accuracy, especially in math and reasoning problems, is to sample multiple responses and submit the answer most consistently reached. In this paper we leverage Bayesian prior information to save on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-06 Jingkai Huang , Will Ma , Zhengyuan Zhou

The maximality principle has been a valuable tool in identifying the free-boundary functions that are associated with the solutions to several optimal stopping problems involving one-dimensional time-homogeneous diffusions and their running…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Neofytos Rodosthenous , Mihail Zervos

This paper focuses on a mean-field optimal stopping problem with non-Markov dynamics and common noise, inspired by Talbi, Touzi, and Zhang \cite{TalbiTouziZhang1,TalbiTouziZhang3}. The goal is to establish the limit theory and demonstrate…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Xihao He

We use martingale and stochastic analysis techniques to study a continuous-time optimal stopping problem, in which the decision maker uses a dynamic convex risk measure to evaluate future rewards. We also find a saddle point for an…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-23 Erhan Bayraktar , Ioannis Karatzas , Song Yao

In this paper we introduce and solve a class of optimal stopping problems of recursive type. In particular, the stopping payoff depends directly on the value function of the problem itself. In a multi-dimensional Markovian setting we show…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Katia Colaneri , Tiziano De Angelis

Given a stable L\'{e}vy process $X=(X_t)_{0\le t\le T}$ of index $\alpha\in(1,2)$ with no negative jumps, and letting $S_t=\sup_{0\le s\le t}X_s$ denote its running supremum for $t\in [0,T]$, we consider the optimal prediction problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-10 Violetta Bernyk , Robert C. Dalang , Goran Peskir

We study the optimal stopping problem for dynamic risk measures represented by Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDEs) with jumps and its relation with reflected BSDEs (RBSDEs). We first provide general existence, uniqueness and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Marie-Claire Quenez , AgnÈs Sulem

In distributed model predictive control (DMPC), where a centralized optimization problem is solved in distributed fashion using dual decomposition, it is important to keep the number of iterations in the solution algorithm, i.e. the amount…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-07-11 Pontus Giselsson , Anders Rantzer
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