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Vine copulas are pair-copula constructions enabling multivariate dependence modeling in terms of bivariate building blocks. One of the main tasks of fitting a vine copula is the selection of a suitable tree structure. For this the prevalent…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-16 Daniel Kraus , Claudia Czado

Testing for pairwise independence for the case where the number of variables may be of the same size or even larger than the sample size has received increasing attention in the recent years. We contribute to this branch of the literature…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Axel Bücher , Cambyse Pakzad

Misperceptions about extreme dependencies between different financial assets have been an im- portant element of the recent financial crisis. This paper studies inhomogeneity in dependence structures using Markov switching regular vine…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-10 Jakob Stoeber , Claudia Czado

Vine copula models have become highly popular and practical tools for modelling multivariate probability distributions due to their flexibility in modelling different kinds of dependences between the random variables involved. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Dániel Pfeifer , Edith Alice Kovács

While there is considerable effort to identify signaling pathways using linear Gaussian Bayesian networks from data, there is less emphasis of understanding and quantifying conditional densities and probabilities of nodes given its parents…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-22 Claudia Czado , Sebastian Scharl

Copulas are a fundamental tool for modelling multivariate dependencies in data, forming the method of choice in diverse fields and applications. However, the adoption of existing models for multimodal and high-dimensional dependencies is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 David Huk , Theodoros Damoulas

High-dimensional data sets are often available in genome-enabled predictions. Such data sets include nonlinear relationships with complex dependence structures. For such situations, vine copula based (quantile) regression is an important…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-24 Özge Sahin , Claudia Czado

We address an important yet challenging problem - modeling high-dimensional dependencies across multivariates such as financial indicators in heterogeneous markets. In reality, a market couples and influences others over time, and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-16 Jia Xu , Longbing Cao

Multivariate time series exhibit two types of dependence: across variables and across time points. Vine copulas are graphical models for the dependence and can conveniently capture both types of dependence in the same model. We derive the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-16 Thomas Nagler , Daniel Krüger , Aleksey Min

Systems subject to uncertain inputs produce uncertain responses. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) deals with the estimation of statistics of the system response, given a computational model of the system and a probabilistic model of its…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-13 E. Torre , S. Marelli , P. Embrechts , B. Sudret

Copulas allow a flexible and simultaneous modeling of complicated dependence structures together with various marginal distributions. Especially if the density function can be represented as the product of the marginal density functions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-31 Jae Youn Ahn , Sebastian Fuchs , Rosy Oh

Regular vine sequences permit the organisation of variables in a random vector along a sequence of trees. Regular vine models have become greatly popular in dependence modelling as a way to combine arbitrary bivariate copulas into…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Anna Kiriliouk , Jeongjin Lee , Johan Segers

We consider the problem of modeling the dependence among many time series. We build high dimensional time-varying copula models by combining pair-copula constructions (PCC) with stochastic autoregressive copula (SCAR) models to capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-10 Carlos Almeida , Claudia Czado , Hans Manner

Copulas are powerful statistical tools for capturing dependencies across data dimensions. Applying Copulas involves estimating independent marginals, a straightforward task, followed by the much more challenging task of determining a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Flavio Figueiredo , José Geraldo Fernandes , Jackson Silva , Renato M. Assunção

Vine copula models have become highly popular practical tools for modeling multivariate dependencies. To maintain tractability, a commonly employed simplifying assumption is that conditional copulas remain unchanged by the conditioning…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Thomas Nagler

Copula models have become one of the most widely used tools in the applied modelling of multivariate data. Similarly, Bayesian methods are increasingly used to obtain efficient likelihood-based inference. However, to date, there has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-13 Michael Stanley Smith

Copulas are essential tools in statistics and probability theory, enabling the study of the dependence structure between random variables independently of their marginal distributions. Among the various types of copulas, Ratio-Type Copulas…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Ziad Adwan , Nicola Sottocornola

This paper explores the impact of perturbations of copulas on dependence properties of the Markov chains they generate. We use an observation that is valid for convex combinations of copulas to establish sufficient conditions for the mixing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-11 Martial Longla , Mathias Muia Nthiani , Fidel Djongreba Ndikwa

Vine copulas are a type of multivariate dependence model, composed of a collection of bivariate copulas that are combined according to a specific underlying graphical structure. Their flexibility and practicality in moderate and high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Emma S. Simpson , Jennifer L. Wadsworth , Jonathan A. Tawn

In the last decade, simplified vine copula models have been an active area of research. They build a high dimensional probability density from the product of marginals densities and bivariate copula densities. Besides parametric models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-29 Thomas Nagler , Christian Schellhase , Claudia Czado