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A numerical scheme for approximating the nonlinear filtering density is introduced and its convergence rate is established, theoretically under a parabolic H\"{o}rmander condition, and empirically in numerical examples. In a prediction…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Kasper Bågmark , Adam Andersson , Stig Larsson , Filip Rydin

We study in some generality intertwinings between $h$-transforms of Karlin-McGregor semigroups associated with one dimensional diffusion processes and those of their Siegmund duals. We obtain couplings so that the corresponding processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Theodoros Assiotis , Neil O'Connell , Jon Warren

In this paper we recall some results and some criteria on the convergence of matrix continued fractions. The aim of this paper is to give some properties and results of continued fractions with matrix arguments. Then we give continued…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-22 S. Mennou , A. Chillali , A. Kacha

We introduce an auxiliary technique, called residual nudging, to the particle filter to enhance its performance in cases that it performs poorly. The main idea of residual nudging is to monitor, and if necessary, adjust the residual norm of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-06-03 Xiaodong Luo , Ibrahim Hoteit

We develop a general approach of the almost sure central limit theorem for the quasi-continuous vectorial martingales and we release a quadratic extension of this theorem while specifying speeds of convergence. As an application of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-06 Faouzi Chaabane , Ahmed Kebaier

We work in the setting of the progressive enlargement $\mathbb G$ of a reference filtration $\mathbb F$ through the observation of a random time $\tau$. We study an integral representation property for some classes of $\mathbb…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Anna Aksamit , Monique Jeanblanc , Marek Rutkowski

We extend classical results on simple varieties of trees (asymptotic enumeration, average behavior of tree parameters) to trees counted by their number of leaves. Motivated by genome comparison of related species, we then apply these…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-10-03 Mathilde Bouvel , Marni Mishna , Cyril Nicaud

For a given quasi-regular positivity preserving coercive form, we construct a family of ($\sigma$-finite) distribution flows associated with the semigroup of the form. The canonical cadlag process equipped with the distribution flows…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-22 Xian Chen , Zhi-Ming Ma , Xue Peng

We consider the long-time behavior of a diffusion process on $\mathbb{R}^d$ advected by a stationary random vector field which is assumed to be divergence-free, dihedrally symmetric in law and have a log-correlated potential. A special case…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-19 Scott Armstrong , Ahmed Bou-Rabee , Tuomo Kuusi

We present several results on smoothness in $L_{p}$ sense of filtering densities under the Lipschitz continuity assumption on the coefficients of a partially observable diffusion processes. We obtain them by rewriting in divergence form…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-14 N. V. Krylov

We consider the problem of inference for nonlinear, multivariate diffusion processes, satisfying It\^o stochastic differential equations (SDEs), using data at discrete times that may be incomplete and subject to measurement error. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-27 Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

For linear and fully non-linear diffusion equations of Bellman-Isaacs type, we introduce a class of approximation schemes based on differencing and interpolation. As opposed to classical numerical methods, these schemes work for general…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-05-26 Kristian Debrabant , Espen R. Jakobsen

We develop a new semi-analytical method for solving multilayer diffusion problems with time-varying external boundary conditions and general internal boundary conditions at the interfaces between adjacent layers. The convergence rate of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-26 Elliot J. Carr , Nathan G. March

Affine point processes are a class of simple point processes with self- and mutually-exciting properties, and they have found useful applications in several areas. In this paper, we obtain large-time asymptotic expansions in large…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-26 Xuefeng Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

We consider the limiting extremal process ${\mathcal X}$ of the particles of the binary branching Brownian motion. We show that after a shift by the logarithm of the derivative martingale $Z$, the rescaled "density" of particles, which are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-03 Leonid Mytnik , Jean-Michel Roquejoffre , Lenya Ryzhik

A novel approximate Bayesian filter based on backward stochastic differential equations is introduced. It uses a nonlinear Feynman--Kac representation of the filtering problem and the approximation of an unnormalized filtering density using…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Kasper Bågmark , Adam Andersson , Stig Larsson

In this paper, we study darning of general symmetric Markov processes by shorting some parts of the state space into singletons. A natural way to construct such processes is via Dirichlet forms restricted to the function space whose members…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-08 Zhen-Qing Chen , Jun Peng

The main result of this paper is a functional limit theorem for the sine-process. In particular, we study the limit distribution, in the space of trajectories, for the number of particles in a growing interval. The sine-process has the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Alexander I. Bufetov , Andrey V. Dymov

We analyse the structure of local martingale deflators projected on smaller filtrations. In a general continuous-path setting, we show that the local martingale part in the multiplicative Doob-Meyer decomposition of projected local…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-31 Constantinos Kardaras , Johannes Ruf

In this work we study a branching particle system of diffusion processes on the real line interacting through their rank in the system. Namely, each particle follows an independent Brownian motion, but only K $\ge$ 1 particles on the far…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Mete Demircigil , Milica Tomasevic