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We consider the problem of hypotheses testing with the basic simple hypothesis: observed sequence of points corresponds to stationary Poisson process with known intensity. The alternatives are stationary self-exciting point processes. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-27 Serguei Dachian , Yury A. Kutoyants

The amount of quality data in many machine learning tasks is limited to what is available locally to data owners. The set of quality data can be expanded through trading or sharing with external data agents. However, data buyers need…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-21 Martin V. Vejling , Shashi Raj Pandey , Christophe A. N. Biscio , Petar Popovski

Contacts between individuals play an important role in determining how infectious diseases spread. Various methods to gather data on such contacts co-exist, from surveys to wearable sensors. Comparisons of data obtained by different methods…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-18 Julie Fournet , Alain Barrat

Background: Trace quantities of contaminating DNA are widespread in the laboratory environment, but their presence has received little attention in the context of high throughput sequencing. This issue is highlighted by recent works that…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-18 Richard W Lusk

Presence/absence data and presence-only data are the two customary sources for learning about species distributions over a region. We illuminate the fundamental modeling differences between the two types of data. Most simply, locations are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-04 Alan. E. Gelfand , Shinichiro Shirota

Many machine learning problems can be characterized by mutual contamination models. In these problems, one observes several random samples from different convex combinations of a set of unknown base distributions and the goal is to infer…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-12 Julian Katz-Samuels , Gilles Blanchard , Clayton Scott

We present the results of a large number of simulation studies regarding the power of various non-parametric two-sample tests for multivariate data. This includes both continuous and discrete data. In general no single method can be relied…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Wolfgang Rolke

This study demonstrates the existence of a testable condition for the identification of the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome in observational data, which relies on two sets of variables: observed covariates to be controlled for…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-20 Martin Huber , Jannis Kueck

We are interested in learning causal relationships between pairs of random variables, purely from observational data. To effectively address this task, the state-of-the-art relies on strong assumptions regarding the mechanisms mapping…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-09-16 David Lopez-Paz , Krikamol Muandet , Benjamin Recht

Knowledge about existence, strength, and dominant direction of causal influences is of paramount importance for understanding complex systems. With limited amounts of realistic data, however, current methods for investigating causal links…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-10-20 Erik Laminski , Klaus R. Pawelzik

In this paper, we study the hypothesis testing problem of, among $n$ random variables, determining $k$ random variables which have different probability distributions from the rest $(n-k)$ random variables. Instead of using separate…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-05-28 Weiyu Xu , Lifeng Lai

The assumption that data samples are independent and identically distributed (iid) is standard in many areas of statistics and machine learning. Nevertheless, in some settings, such as social networks, infectious disease modeling, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-06 Eli Sherman , Ilya Shpitser

In many applications, different populations are compared using data that are sampled in a biased manner. Under sampling biases, standard methods that estimate the difference between the population means yield unreliable inferences. Here we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

In this paper we propose several variants to perform the independence test between two random elements based on recurrence rates. We will show how to calculate the test statistic in each one of these cases. From simulations we obtain that…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-21 Juan Kalemkerian , Diego Fernández

Filtered Poisson processes are often used as reference models for intermittent fluc- tuations in physical systems. Such a process is here extended by adding a noise term, either as a purely additive term to the process or as a dynamical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-05-04 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia , Martin Rypdal

The main purpose of this paper is to study the NP-complete subset-sum problem, not in the usual context of time-complexity-based classification of the algorithms (exponential/polynomial), but through a new kind of algorithmic classification…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Antonios Syreloglou

Extracting noisy or incorrectly labeled samples from a labeled dataset with hard/difficult samples is an important yet under-explored topic. Two general and often independent lines of work exist, one focuses on addressing noisy labels, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Mahsa Forouzesh , Patrick Thiran

Separating signal from noise is central to experiments. Applying well-established statistical methods effectively to LLM evals requires consideration of their unique noise characteristics. We clearly define and measure three types of noise:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Sida Wang

Testing for causation, defined as the preceding impact of the past values of one variable on the current value of another one when all other pertinent information is accounted for, is increasingly utilized in empirical research of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-06-22 Abdulnasser Hatemi-J

We introduce a method to rigorously draw causal inferences---inferences immune to all possible confounding---from genetic data that include parents and offspring. Causal conclusions are possible with these data because the natural…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Stephen Bates , Matteo Sesia , Chiara Sabatti , Emmanuel Candes