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Many properties of perceptual decision making are well-modeled by deep neural networks. However, such architectures typically treat decisions as instantaneous readouts, overlooking the temporal dynamics of the decision process. We present…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-25 Hayden R. Johnson , Anastasia N. Krouglova , Hadi Vafaii , Jacob L. Yates , Pedro J. Gonçalves

We study a Markov decision problem in which the state space is the set of finite marked point configurations in the plane, the actions represent thinnings, the reward is proportional to the mark sum which is discounted over time, and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-08 M. N. M. van Lieshout

We present a methodology for obtaining explicit solutions to infinite time horizon optimal stopping problems involving general, one-dimensional, It\^o diffusions, payoff functions that need not be smooth and state-dependent discounting.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-10 Timothy C. Johnson

We study the impact of learning on the optimal policy and the time-to-decision in an infinite-horizon Bayesian sequential decision model with two irreversible alternatives, exit and expansion. In our model, a firm undertakes a small-scale…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-15 H. Dharma Kwon , Steven A. Lippman

In this paper, we are interested in optimal decisions in a partially observable Markov universe. Our viewpoint departs from the dynamic programming viewpoint: we are directly approximating an optimal strategic tree depending on the…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Frederic Dambreville

Safety-critical cyber-physical systems require control strategies whose worst-case performance is robust against adversarial disturbances and modeling uncertainties. In this paper, we present a framework for approximate control and learning…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Aditya Dave , Ioannis Faros , Nishanth Venkatesh , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

In this paper, we investigate dynamic optimization problems featuring both stochastic control and optimal stopping in a finite time horizon. The paper aims to develop new methodologies, which are significantly different from those of mixed…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-27 Xiongfei Jian , Xun Li , Fahuai Yi

We study the quickest detection problem of a sudden change in the arrival rate of a Poisson process from a known value to an unknown and unobservable value at an unknown and unobservable disorder time. Our objective is to design an alarm…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-03 Erhan Bayraktar , Savas Dayanik , Ioannis Karatzas

This paper addresses the problem of optimal control of robotic sensing systems aimed at autonomous information gathering in scenarios such as environmental monitoring, search and rescue, and surveillance and reconnaissance. The information…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-01-28 Mikko Lauri , Nikolay Atanasov , George J. Pappas , Risto Ritala

This paper deals with control of partially observable discrete-time stochastic systems. It introduces and studies Markov Decision Processes with Incomplete Information and with semi-uniform Feller transition probabilities. The important…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-30 Eugene A. Feinberg , Pavlo O. Kasyanov , Michael Z. Zgurovsky

We consider the optimization of an uncertain objective over continuous and multi-dimensional decision spaces in problems in which we are only provided with observational data. We propose a novel algorithmic framework that is tractable,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Dimitris Bertsimas , Christopher McCord

Motivated by wide-ranging applications such as video delivery over networks using Multiple Description Codes, congestion control, and inventory management, we study the state-tracking of a Markovian random process with a known transition…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-06 Parisa Mansourifard , Tara Javidi , Bhaskar Krishnamachari

Revision of the paper previously entitled "Learning a Machine for the Decision in a Partially Observable Markov Universe" In this paper, we are interested in optimal decisions in a partially observable universe. Our approach is to directly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Frederic Dambreville

We study the optimal timing of derivative purchases in incomplete markets. In our model, an investor attempts to maximize the spread between her model price and the offered market price through optimally timing her purchase. Both the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-12 Tim Leung , Michael Ludkovski

We consider an infinite horizon optimal control problem for a pure jump Markov process $X$, taking values in a complete and separable metric space $I$, with noise-free partial observation. The observation process is defined as $Y_t =…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-05 Alessandro Calvia

The claim arrival process to an insurance company is modeled by a compound Poisson process whose intensity and/or jump size distribution changes at an unobservable time with a known distribution. It is in the insurance company's interest to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Erhan Bayraktar , H. Vincent Poor

Decision making under uncertainty is at the heart of any autonomous system acting with imperfect information. The cost of solving the decision making problem is exponential in the action and observation spaces, thus rendering it unfeasible…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Tom Yotam , Vadim Indelman

We investigate the problem of monitoring partially observable systems with nondeterministic and probabilistic dynamics. In such systems, every state may be associated with a risk, e.g., the probability of an imminent crash. During runtime,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-05-27 Sebastian Junges , Hazem Torfah , Sanjit A. Seshia

This paper addresses a detection problem where several spatially distributed sensors independently observe a time-inhomogeneous stochastic process. The task is to decide between two hypotheses regarding the statistics of the observed…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-05 Chetan D. Pahlajani , Ioannis Poulakakis , Herbert G. Tanner

We consider finite horizon Markov decision processes under performance measures that involve both the mean and the variance of the cumulative reward. We show that either randomized or history-based policies can improve performance. We prove…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-05-02 Shie Mannor , John Tsitsiklis