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Heavy-tailed distributions are frequently used to enhance the robustness of regression and classification methods to outliers in output space. Often, however, we are confronted with "outliers" in input space, which are isolated observations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-06-24 Fabian L. Wauthier , Michael I. Jordan

We investigate the relaxation of long-tailed distributions under stochastic dynamics that do not support such tails. Linear relaxation is found to be a borderline case in which long tails are exponentially suppressed in time but not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 Christian Van den Broeck , Upendra Harbola , Raul Toral , Katja Lindenberg

In this paper we consider a stochastic model of perpetuity-type. In contrast to the classical affine perpetuity model of Kesten [12] and Goldie [8] all discount factors in the model are mutually independent. We prove that the tails of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-22 Thomas Mikosch , Mohsen Rezapour , Olivier Wintenberger

Convolutions of long-tailed and subexponential distributions play a major role in the analysis of many stochastic systems. We study these convolutions, proving some important new results through a simple and coherent approach, and showing…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov , Stan Zachary

Science in the 21st century seems to be governed by novel approaches involving interdisciplinary work, systemic perspectives and complexity theory concepts. These new paradigms force us to leave aside our elder mechanistic approaches and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-24 Oscar Fontanelli , Pedro Miramontes , Ricardo Mansilla

It has been shown that some macroeconomic time series, especially those where outliers could be present, can be well modelled using heavy tailed distributions for the noise components. Methods for deciding when and where heavy-tailed models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 J. A. D. Aston

The purpose of this paper is to show that the use of heavy-tailed distributions in Financial problems is theoretically baseless and can lead to significant misunderstandings. The reason for this the authors see in an incorrect…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Lev B Klebanov , Irina V Volchenkova

Studies of collective human behavior in the social sciences, often grounded in details of actions by individuals, have much to offer `social' models from the physical sciences concerning elegant statistical regularities. Drawing on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-03-17 R. Alexander Bentley , Paul Ormerod , Michael Batty

In search of many social and economical systems, it is found that node strength distribution as well as degree distribution demonstrate the behavior of power-law with droop-head and heavy-tail. We present a new model for the growth of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Chuan-Ji Fu , Qing Ou , Wen Chen , Bing-Hong Wang , Ying-Di Jin , Yong-Wei Niu , Tao Zhou

We introduce a large and flexible class of discrete tempered stable distributions, and analyze the domains of attraction for both this class and the related class of positive tempered stable distributions. Our results suggest that these are…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Michael Grabchak

Given an arbitrary continuous probability density function, it is introduced a conjugated probability density, which is defined through the Shannon information associated with its cumulative distribution function. These new densities are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-26 H. M. de Oliveira , R. J. Cintra

In this paper, we present several heavy-tailed distributions belonging to the new class J of distributions obeying the principle of a single big jump introduced by Beck et al. [1]. We describe the structure of this class from different…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Hui Xu , Michael Scheutzow , Yuebao Wang , Zhaolei Cui

We present a simple model of a stock market where a random communication structure between agents gives rise to a heavy tails in the distribution of stock price variations in the form of an exponentially truncated power-law, similar to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-14 Rama Cont , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We obtain a number of new general properties, related to the closedness of the class of long-tailed distributions under convolutions, that are of interest themselves and may be applied in many models that deal with "plus" and/or "max"…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Hui Xu , Sergey Foss , Yuebao Wang

Skewness and non-Gaussian behavior are essential features of the distribution of short-scale velocity increments in isotropic turbulent flows. Yet, although the skewness has been generally linked to time-reversal symmetry breaking and…

We examine a distributional fixed-point equation related to a multi-type branching process that is key in the cluster sizes analysis of multivariate heavy-tailed Hawkes processes. Specifically, we explore the tail behavior of its solution…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-07 Jose Blanchet , Roger J. A. Laeven , Xingyu Wang , Bert Zwart

Interevent times in temporal contact data from humans and animals typically obey heavy-tailed distributions, and this property impacts contagion and other dynamical processes on networks. We theoretically show that distributions of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-08 Elohim Fonseca dos Reis , Naoki Masuda

It is argued that there is a need for fat-tailed distributions that become thin in the extreme tail. A 3-parameter distribution is introduced that visually resembles the t-distribution and interpolates between the normal distribution and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-08 Rose D Baker

Recent theoretical and empirical successes in deep learning, including the celebrated neural scaling laws, are punctuated by the observation that many objects of interest tend to exhibit some form of heavy-tailed or power law behavior. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-05 Liam Hodgkinson , Zhichao Wang , Michael W. Mahoney

We consider a model for multivariate data with heavy-tailed marginal distributions and a Gaussian dependence structure. The different marginals in the model are allowed to have non-identical tail behavior in contrast to most popular…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-23 Bikramjit Das