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Numerical climate models are used to project future climate change due to both anthropogenic and natural causes. Differences between projections from different climate models are a major source of uncertainty about future climate. Emergent…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-06 Philip G. Sansom , David B. Stephenson , Thomas J. Bracegirdle

The two main drivers of climate change on sub-Milankovic time scales are re-assessed by means of a multiple regression analysis. Evaluating linear combinations of the logarithm of carbon dioxide concentration and the geomagnetic aa-index as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-01-14 Frank Stefani

Earth's climate is influenced by over a dozen feedbacks, but only three dominate its long-term climate behavior. Models of the exoplanet habitable zone (HZ) assume that this is similar for other Earth-like planets. We used dynamical…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-12 Chaucer Langbert , Dániel Apai

We propose a method to merge several paleoclimate time series into one that exhibits a consensus on the features of the individual times series. The paleoclimate time series can be noisy, nonuniformly sampled and the dates at which the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-09 Panu Erästö , Lasse Holmström , Atte Korhola , Jan Weckström

The importance of the sea ice retreat in the polar regions for the global warming and the role of ice-albedo feedback was recognized by various authors [1,2]. Similar to a recent study of the phenomenon in the Arctic [3] we present a…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-07-18 Alfred Laubereau , Hristo Iglev

Recent experimental works demonstrated that the Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) hypothesis, embodied in a series of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) global climate models, is erroneous. These works prove that atmospheric…

General Physics · Physics 2014-05-16 Igor Khmelinskii , Peter Stallinga

The cause of the glacial cycles remains a mystery. The origin is widely accepted to be astronomical since paleoclimatic archives contain strong spectral components that match the frequencies of Earth's orbital modulation. Milankovitch…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. Kirkby , A. Mangini , R. A. Muller

The model accepted is one where during the Archean Eon the Earths climate was clement despite the weaker Sun. The observational evidence that supports this concept is: the emergence of life, the existence of evaporitic sediments and the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2010-06-30 Hector Javier Durand-Manterola

It is expected that as the Sun travels through the interstellar medium (ISM), there will be different filtration of Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCR) that affect Earth. The effect of GCR on Earth's atmosphere and climate is still uncertain.…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-02-21 Merav Opher , Abraham Loeb

Speculations that encounters with interstellar clouds modify the terrestrial climate have appeared in the scientific literature for over 85 years. This article introduces a series of articles that seek to give substance to these…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-11-11 Priscilla C. Frisch

It is shown that, the wavelet regression detrended fluctuations of the reconstructed temperature for the past 400,000 years (Antarctic ice cores data) are completely dominated by one-third subharmonic resonance, presumably related to Earth…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-06-24 A. Bershadskii

The climate record preserved in polar glaciers, mountain glaciers, and widespread cave deposits shows repeated occurrence of abrupt global transitions between cold/dry stadial and warm/wet interstadial states during glacial periods. These…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-07-03 Brian F. Farrell , Dorian S. Abbot

Our solar system's path has recently been shown to potentially intersect dense interstellar clouds 2 and 7 million years ago: the Local Lynx of Cold Cloud and the edge of the Local Bubble. These clouds compressed the heliosphere, directly…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-12 Jesse A. Miller , Merav Opher , Maria Hatzaki , Kyriakoula Papachristopoulou , Brian C. Thomas

Important issues about climate change are summarized and discussed: A large body of evidence shows that the world climate is getting warmer. Climate models give a consistent explanation of this observation once human-made emissions of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Dittmar , Anne-Sylvie Nicollerat

We produce new reconstructions of Northern Hemisphere annually averaged temperature anomalies back to 1000 AD, and explore the effects of including external climate forcings within the reconstruction and of accounting for short-memory and…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-05 Luis Barboza , Bo Li , Martin P. Tingley , Frederi G. Viens

Climate change is commonly associated with an overall increase in mean temperature in a defined past time period. Many studies consider temperature trends at the global scale, but the literature is lacking in in-depth analysis of the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-12 Qibin Duan , Clare A. McGrory , Glenn Brown , Kerrie Mengersen , You-Gan Wang

The climate response to anthropogenic forcing has long been one of the dominant uncertainties in predicting future climate change (Houghton et al, 2001). Many observationally-based estimates of climate sensitivity (S) have been presented in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. D. Annan , J. C. Hargreaves

A major goal in paleoclimate science is to reconstruct historical climates using proxies for climate variables such as those observed in sediment cores, and in the process learn about climate dynamics. This is hampered by uncertainties in…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-18 Jake Carson , Michel Crucifix , Simon P. Preston , Richard D. Wilkinson

The long-term relationship between radiative forcing and surface temperature is imperative for predicting the impacts of climate change. This study employs multicointegration to characterize this relationship and uses Transformed and…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-17 Justin Sun

Paleoclimate reconstruction on the Common Era (1-2000AD) provide critical context for recent warming trends. This work leverages integrated nested Laplace approximations (INLA) to conduct inference under a Bayesian hierarchical model using…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-08 Luis A. Barboza , Julien Emile-Geay , Bo Li , Wan He