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The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-14 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

A determinantal point process is a stochastic point process that is commonly used to capture negative correlations. It has become increasingly popular in machine learning in recent years. Sampling a determinantal point process however…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-02 Lexing Ying

We propose a numerical technique for parameter inference in Markov models of biological processes. Based on time-series data of a process we estimate the kinetic rate constants by maximizing the likelihood of the data. The computation of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-02-15 Aleksandr Andreychenko , Linar Mikeev , David Spieler , Verena Wolf

In this paper, we study the distributionally robust joint chance constrained Markov decision process. {Utilizing the logarithmic transformation technique,} we derive its deterministic reformulation with bi-convex terms under the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-03 Tian Xia , Jia Liu , Zhiping Chen

This paper is devoted to solving a time-inconsistent risk-sensitive control problem with parameter $\e$ and its limit case ($\e\rightarrow0^+$) for countable-stated Markov decision processes (MDPs for short). Since the cost functional is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-22 Hongwei Mei

We investigate the use of piecewise linear systems, whose coefficient matrix is a piecewise constant function of the solution itself. Such systems arise, for example, from the numerical solution of linear complementarity problems and in the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-06-21 Luigi Brugnano , Alessandra Sestini

We compare different analytical and numerical methods for studying the partitions of a finite system into fragments. We propose a new numerical method of exploring the partition space by generating the Markov chains of partitions based on…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 A. S. Botvina , A. D. Jackson , I. N. Mishustin

We present an efficient finite difference method for the computation of parameter sensitivities that is applicable to a wide class of continuous time Markov chain models. The estimator for the method is constructed by coupling the perturbed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-05-14 David F. Anderson

In recent decades, a number of profound theorems concerning approximation of hard counting problems have appeared. These include estimation of the permanent, estimating the volume of a convex polyhedron, and counting (approximately) the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-09-07 Isabel Beichl , Alathea Jensen

In this paper, we provide strong $L_2$-rates of approximation of the integral-type functionals of Markov processes by integral sums. We improve the method developed in [2]. Under assumptions on the process formulated only in terms of its…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-13 Iurii Ganychenko

One problem of wide interest involves estimating expected crossing-times. Several tools have been developed to solve this problem beginning with the works of Wald and the theory of sequential analysis. An extension of his approach is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Mark Brown , Victor de la Pena , Tony Sit

Given a hierarchical plan (or schedule) with uncertain task times, we propose a deterministic polynomial (time and memory) algorithm for estimating the probability that its meets a deadline, or, alternately, that its {\em makespan} is less…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-12-27 Liat Cohen , Solomon Eyal Shimony , Gera Weiss

In this paper, a robust sequential quadratic programming method for constrained optimization is generalized to problem with an {expectation} objective function {and} deterministic equality and inequality constraints. A stochastic line…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Songqiang Qiu , Vyacheslav Kungurtsev

The aim of this article is to overview the problem of mean square optimal estimation of linear functionals which depend on unknown values of periodically correlated stochastic process. Estimates are based on observations of this process and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Iryna Dubovets'ka , Mykhailo Moklyachuk

Markov models are often used to capture the temporal patterns of sequential data for statistical learning applications. While the Hidden Markov modeling-based learning mechanisms are well studied in literature, we analyze a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-25 Devesh K. Jha

We treat the class of universal Markov processes on the d-dimensional Euklidean space which do not depend on random. For these, as well as for several subclasses, we prove criteria whether a function f, defined on the positive half-line,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-07 Alexander Schnurr

We study optimal control problems in infinite horizon when the dynamics belong to a specific class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes constrained to star-shaped networks (inspired by traffic models). We adapt the results in [H. M.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-10-06 Dan Goreac , Magdalena Kobylanski , Miguel Martinez

In this article, we are concerned with the analysis on the numerical reconstruction of the spatial component in the source term of a time-fractional diffusion equation. This ill-posed problem is solved through a stabilized nonlinear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-06 Daijun Jiang , Yikan Liu , Dongling Wang

In the paper, we study a new rate of convergence estimate for homogeneous discrete-time nonlinear Markov chains based on the Markov-Dobrushin condition. This result generalizes the convergence estimates for any positive number of transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Aleksandr A. Shchegolev

We consider the simulation of Bayesian statistical inverse problems governed by large-scale linear and nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs). Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are standard techniques to solve such…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-09 Harbir Antil , Howard C Elman , Akwum Onwunta , Deepanshu Verma