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For a multinomial distribution, suppose that we have prior knowledge of the sum of the probabilities of some categories. This allows us to construct a submodel in a full (i.e., no-restriction) model. Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Yo Sheena

The problem of reducing the bias of maximum likelihood estimator in a general multivariate elliptical regression model is considered. The model is very flexible and allows the mean vector and the dispersion matrix to have parameters in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-01 Tatiane F. N. Melo , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Alexandre G. Patriota

Providing theoretical guarantees for parameter estimation in exponential random graph models is a largely open problem. While maximum likelihood estimation has theoretical guarantees in principle, verifying the assumptions for these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Adrian Fischer , Gesine Reinert , Wenkai Xu

Spectral learning recently generated lots of excitement in machine learning, largely because it is the first known method to produce consistent estimates (under suitable conditions) for several latent variable models. In contrast, maximum…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-19 Han Zhao , Pascal Poupart

We show that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is an effective tool for mitigating non-flow effects in flow analysis. To this end, one constructs two toy models that simulate non-flow contributions corresponding to particle decay and…

Estimators derived from a divergence criterion such as $\varphi-$divergences are generally more robust than the maximum likelihood ones. We are interested in particular in the so-called MD$\varphi$DE, an estimator built using a dual…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-14 Diaa Al Mohamad , Michel Broniatowski

We propose a new method for multivariate response regression and covariance estimation when elements of the response vector are of mixed types, for example some continuous and some discrete. Our method is based on a model which assumes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-04 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Aaron J. Molstad

In a multi-fidelity setting, data are available from two sources, high- and low-fidelity. Low-fidelity data has larger size and can be leveraged to make more efficient inference about quantities of interest, e.g. the mean, for high-fidelity…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Minji Kim , Brendan Brown , Vladas Pipiras

In a typical two-phase design, a random sample is drawn from the target population in phase 1, during which only a subset of variables is collected. In phase 2, a subsample of the phase-1 cohort is selected, and additional variables are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Sky Qiu , Susan Gruber , Pamela A. Shaw , Brian D. Williamson , Mark J. van der Laan

Let $x_{i,j}$, $1 \le i \le m$, $1 \le j \le n_i$, be observations from a doubly-indexed sequence $\{X_{i,j}\}$ of independent random variables (all of them discrete, or all of them absolutely continuous). Suppose that each $X_{i,j}$ has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-07 Laurence Thomas Ramsey

We propose and study a maximum likelihood estimator of stochastic frontier models with endogeneity in cross-section data when the composite error term may be correlated with inputs and environmental variables. Our framework is a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-02 Samuele Centorrino , María Pérez-Urdiales

Mixtures of factor analyzers are becoming more and more popular in the area of model based clustering of high-dimensional data. According to the likelihood approach in data modeling, it is well known that the unconstrained log-likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-09 Francesca Greselin , Salvatore Ingrassia

We find upper bounds for the probability of underestimation and overestimation errors in penalized likelihood context tree estimation. The bounds are explicit and applies to processes of not necessarily finite memory. We allow for general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-11 Florencia Leonardi

Mixture distributions with dynamic weights are an efficient way of modeling loss data characterized by heavy tails. However, maximum likelihood estimation of this family of models is difficult, mostly because of the need to evaluate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Marco Bee

In this report, we explore the data selection leading to a family of estimators maximizing a centrality. The family allows a nice properties leading to accurate and robust probability density function fitting according to some criteria we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Djemel Ziou

This paper introduces a new biased estimator for the negative binomial regression model that is a generalization of Liu-type estimator proposed for the linear model in [12]. Since the variance of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-11 Yasin Asar

The ability to rigorously estimate the failure rates of large language models (LLMs) is a prerequisite for their safe deployment. Currently, however, practitioners often face a tradeoff between expensive human gold standards and potentially…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Minghe Shen , Ananth Balashankar , Adam Fisch , David Madras , Miguel Rodrigues

We study three fundamental statistical-learning problems: distribution estimation, property estimation, and property testing. We establish the profile maximum likelihood (PML) estimator as the first unified sample-optimal approach to a wide…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-12 Yi Hao , Alon Orlitsky

We study the problem of maximum likelihood (ML) estimation for statistical models defined by reflexive polytopes. Our focus is on the maximum likelihood degree of these models as an algebraic measure of complexity of the corresponding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-24 Carlos Améndola , Janike Oldekop

In this paper, we study the linear transformation model in the most general setup. This model includes many important and popular models in statistics and econometrics as special cases. Although it has been studied for many years, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-26 Tao Yu , Pengfei Li , Baojiang Chen , Ao Yuan , Jing Qin