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Independent voters play an increasingly decisive role in contemporary elections, yet their collective behavior remains poorly understood. This paper investigates how a minority of voters with greater flexibility in their political…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-22 Ernő Buzás , Attila Szilva

We propose an opinion model based on agents located at the vertices of a regular lattice. Each agent has an independent opinion (among an arbitrary, but fixed, number of choices) and its own degree of conviction. The latter changes every…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-05-29 S. R. Souza , S. Goncalves

The Moran process, as studied by [Lieberman, E., Hauert, C. and Nowak, M. Evolutionary dynamics on graphs. Nature 433, pp. 312-316 (2005)], is a stochastic process modeling the spread of genetic mutations in populations. In this process,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-27 Themistoklis Melissourgos , Sotiris Nikoletseas , Christoforos Raptopoulos , Paul Spirakis

In the evolving voter model, when an individual interacts with a neighbor having an opinion different from theirs, they will with probability $1-\alpha$ imitate the neighbor but with probability $ \alpha$ will sever the connection and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Anirban Basak , Rick Durrett , Yuan Zhang

The diffusion of opinions in Social Networks is a relevant process for adopting positions and attracting potential voters in political campaigns. Opinion polarization, bias, targeted diffusion, and the radicalization of postures are key…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-10 Didier A. Vega-Oliveros , Helder L. C. Grande , Flavio Iannelli , Federico Vazquez

Coevolving and competing species or game-theoretic strategies exhibit rich and complex dynamics for which a general theoretical framework based on finite populations is still lacking. Recently, an explicit mean-field description in the form…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Arne Traulsen , Jens Christian Claussen , Christoph Hauert

We introduce a 2-state opinion dynamics model where agents evolve by majority rule. In each update, a group of agents is specified whose members then all adopt the local majority state. In the mean-field limit, where a group consists of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

Simmering debates leading to polarization are observed in many domains. Although empirical findings show a strong correlation between this phenomenon and modularity of a social network, still little is known about the actual mechanisms…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-28 Patryk Siedlecki , Janusz Szwabiński , Tomasz Weron

Some political strategies to win elections over the last years were based heavily on fomenting general distrust in information institutions and favoring distrustful sources. The misinformation pandemic has the straightforward consequence…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-03 Ricardo Simão , Lucas Wardil

Opinion formation is an important element of social dynamics. It has been widely studied in the last years with tools from physics, mathematics and computer science. Here, a continuous model of opinion dynamics for multiple possible choices…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-28 Alina Sîrbu , Vittorio Loreto , Vito D. P. Servedio , Francesca Tria

We propose a modified voter model with locally conserved magnetization and investigate its phase ordering dynamics in two dimensions in numerical simulations. Imposing a local constraint on the dynamics has the surprising effect of speeding…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 Fabio Caccioli , Luca Dall'Asta , Tobias Galla , Tim Rogers

We study binary opinion dynamics in a fully connected network of interacting agents. The agents are assumed to interact according to one of the following rules: (1) Voter rule: An updating agent simply copies the opinion of another randomly…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-04 Arpan Mukhopadhyay , Ravi R. Mazumdar , Rahul Roy

The q-voter model, a variant of the classic voter model, has been analyzed by several authors: while allowing to study opinion dynamics, this model is also believed to be one of the most representative among the many defined in the wide…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-26 Marco Alberto Javarone , Tiziano Squartini

The increasing polarization in democratic societies is an emergent outcome of political opinion dynamics. Yet, the fundamental mechanisms behind the formation of political opinions, from individual beliefs to collective consensus, remain…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-04-04 Valeria Widler , Barbara Kaminska , Andre C. R. Martins , Ivan Puga-Gonzalez

Social influence profoundly impacts individual choices and collective behaviors in politics. In this work, driven by the goal of protecting elections from improper influence, we consider the following scenario: an individual, who has vested…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Dragos Ristache , Fabian Spaeh , Charalampos E. Tsourakakis

A random walk in $Z_+^2$ spatially homogeneous in the interior, absorbed at the axes, starting from an arbitrary point $(i_0,j_0)$ and with step probabilities drawn on Figure 1 is considered. The trivariate generating function of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-04 Irina Kurkova , Kilian Raschel

Two of the main factors shaping an individual's opinion are social coordination and personal preferences, or personal biases. To understand the role of those and that of the topology of the network of interactions, we study an extension of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-07 Filippo Zimmaro , Pierluigi Contucci , János Kertész

The rate of adoption of new information depends on reinforcement from multiple sources in a way that often cannot be described by simple contagion processes. In such cases, contagion is said to be complex. Complex contagion happens in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-21 Vítor V. Vasconcelos , Simon A. Levin , Flávio L. Pinheiro

We generalize a binary majority-vote model on adaptive networks to a plurality-vote counterpart. When opinions are uniformly distributed in the population of voters in the initial state, it is found that having more available opinions in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-24 Degang Wu , Kwok Yip Szeto

We analyse a generalisation of the Galam model of binary opinion dynamics in which iterative discussions take place in local groups of individuals and study the effects of random deviations from the group majority. The probability of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-24 Gabor Toth
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