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We propose quantum algorithms that provide provable speedups for Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods commonly used for sampling from probability distributions of the form $\pi \propto e^{-f}$, where $f$ is a potential function. Our…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-07 Guneykan Ozgul , Xiantao Li , Mehrdad Mahdavi , Chunhao Wang

This work addresses the problem of pricing American basket options in a multivariate setting, which includes among others, the Bachelier and the Black-Scholes models. In high dimensions, nonlinear partial differential equation methods for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-05 Christian Bayer , Juho Häppölä , Raúl Tempone

Barrier options are one of the most widely traded exotic options on stock exchanges. In this paper, we develop a new stochastic simulation method for pricing barrier options and estimating the corresponding execution probabilities. We show…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-29 Keegan Mendonca , Vasileios E. Kontosakos , Athanasios A. Pantelous , Konstantin M. Zuev

We provide an overview of some recent techniques involving the Malliavin calculus of variations and the so-called ``Stein's method'' for the Gaussian approximations of probability distributions. Special attention is devoted to establishing…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-17 Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati

Partial differential equation is a powerful tool to characterize various physics systems. In practice, measurement errors are often present and probability models are employed to account for such uncertainties. In this paper, we present a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-23 Xiaoou Li , Jingchen Liu

Pricing exotic multi-asset path-dependent options requires extensive Monte Carlo simulations. In the recent years the interest to the Quasi-monte Carlo technique has been renewed and several results have been proposed in order to improve…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-01 Piergiacomo Sabino

We propose a new `hedged' Monte-Carlo (HMC) method to price financial derivatives, which allows to determine simultaneously the optimal hedge. The inclusion of the optimal hedging strategy allows one to reduce the financial risk associated…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Dragan Sestovic

Monte Carlo (MC) sampling is a popular method for estimating the statistics (e.g. expectation and variance) of a random variable. Its slow convergence has led to the emergence of advanced techniques to reduce the variance of the MC…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Mohamed Reda El Amri , Paul Mycek , Sophie Ricci , Matthias De Lozzo

Conditional Monte Carlo (CMC) has been widely used for sensitivity estimation with discontinuous integrands as a standard simulation technique. A major limitation of using CMC in this context is that finding conditioning variables to ensure…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-22 Guiyun Feng , Guangwu Liu

We propose a variance reduction framework for variational inference using the Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method. Our framework is built on reparameterized gradient estimators and "recycles" parameters obtained from past update history in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-03 Masahiro Fujisawa , Issei Sato

Variational inference is a fast and scalable alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo and has been widely applied to posterior inference tasks in statistics and machine learning. A traditional approach for implementing mean-field variational…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Qiang Du , Kaizheng Wang , Edith Zhang , Chenyang Zhong

In financial mathematics, the calculation of the Greeks, especially the delta, is emphasized due to its role in risk management. In this article, we employ Malliavin calculus to determine the delta of European and Asian options, where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Ayub Ahmadi , Mahdieh Tahmasebi

In general, the pricing of variable annuities with guarantees can be done by solving the corresponding optimal stochastic control problem if the contract withdrawal strategy is assumed to be optimal. This is typically solved as a dynamic…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-27 Nicolas Langrené , Xiaolin Luo , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Ruiyi Zhang

This article addresses online variational estimation in parametric state-space models. We propose a new procedure for efficiently computing the evidence lower bound and its gradient in a streaming-data setting, where observations arrive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Mathis Chagneux , Mathias Müller , Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff , Jimmy Olsson

In this paper we introduce a new multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) estimator for multi-dimensional SDEs driven by Brownian motions. Giles has previously shown that if we combine a numerical approximation with strong order of convergence…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-19 Michael B. Giles , Lukasz Szpruch

We present an iterative sampling method which delivers upper and lower bounding processes for the Brownian path. We develop such processes with particular emphasis on being able to unbiasedly simulate them on a personal computer. The…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-27 Alexandros Beskos , Stefano Peluchetti , Gareth Roberts

Lower bounds for variances are often needed to derive central limit theorems. In this paper, we establish a lower bound for the variance of Poisson functionals that uses the difference operator of Malliavin calculus. Poisson functionals,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-23 Matthias Schulte , Vanessa Trapp

Because of their robustness, efficiency and non-intrusiveness, Monte Carlo methods are probably the most popular approach in uncertainty quantification to computing expected values of quantities of interest (QoIs). Multilevel Monte Carlo…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Marcus J. Grote , Simon Michel , Fabio Nobile

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods have successfully been used in many applications in engineering, statistics and physics. However, these are seldom used in financial option pricing literature and practice. This paper presents SMC method…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-04 Pavel V. Shevchenko , Pierre Del Moral

An accurate valuation of American call options is critical in most financial decision making environments. However, traditional models like the Barone-Adesi Whaley (B-AW) and Binomial Option Pricing (BOP) methods fall short in handling the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-01 Ananya Unnikrishnan