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Variational Bayes (VB) has been used to facilitate the calculation of the posterior distribution in the context of Bayesian inference of the parameters of nonlinear models from data. Previously an analytical formulation of VB has been…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-06 Michael A. Chappell , Martin S. Craig , Mark W. Woolrich

Spike variation technique plays a crucial role in deriving Pontryagin's type maximum principle of optimal controls for differential equations of several types, including ordinary differential equations (ODEs), partial differential equations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Tianxiao Wang , Jiongmin Yong

Stochastic planning can be reduced to probabilistic inference in large discrete graphical models, but hardness of inference requires approximation schemes to be used. In this paper we argue that such applications can be disentangled along…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-05 Zhennan Wu , Roni Khardon

We propose to use L\'evy {\alpha}-stable distributions for constructing priors for Bayesian inverse problems. The construction is based on Markov fields with stable-distributed increments. Special cases include the Cauchy and Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-26 Jarkko Suuronen , Tomás Soto , Neil K. Chada , Lassi Roininen

In this paper, we study a class of real-valued mean-field backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) with generators of quadratic growth in the control variable and the mean-field term. Under this assumption, together with a bounded…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Yining Ding , Kihun Nam , Jiaqiang Wen

Inverse problems involving partial differential equations (PDEs) are widely used in science and engineering. Although such problems are generally ill-posed, different regularisation approaches have been developed to ameliorate this problem.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-23 Jan Povala , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Eky Febrianto , Fehmi Cirak , Mark Girolami

We generalise the so-called Bismut-Elworthy-Li formula to a class of stochastic differential equations whose coefficients might depend on the law of the solution. We give some examples of where this formula can be applied to in the context…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-26 David R. Baños

In this paper, we study backward stochastic Volterra integral equations of type-I with time delayed generators. Under some condition (small time horizon or a Lipschitz constant), we derive an existence and uniqueness results. Next, with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-06 Harouna Coulibaly , Auguste Aman

The purpose of this paper is to provide a detailed probabilistic analysis of the optimal control of nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems of the McKean Vlasov type. Motivated by the recent interest in mean field games, we highlight the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-26 René Carmona , Francois Delarue

The purpose of this paper is to study certain set-valued integrals in UMD Banach spaces and provide a compatible form of the martingale representation theorem for set-valued martingales. Under specific conditions, these martingales can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-11 E. H. Essaky , M. Hassani , C. E. Rhazlane

In this paper we consider a mean-field stochastic differential equation, also called Mc Kean-Vlasov equation, with initial data $(t,x)\in[0,T]\times R^d,$ which coefficients depend on both the solution $X^{t,x}_s$ but also its law. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Rainer Buckdahn , Juan Li , Shige Peng , Catherine Rainer

This paper is dedicated to the presentation and the analysis of a numerical scheme for forward-backward SDEs of the McKean-Vlasov type, or equivalently for solutions to PDEs on the Wasserstein space. Because of the mean field structure of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-07 Jean-François Chassagneux , Dan Crisan , François Delarue

In this work, we extend deep learning-based numerical methods to fully coupled forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs) within a non-Markovian framework. Error estimates and convergence are provided. In contrast to the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-25 Hasib Uddin Molla , Matthew Backhouse , Ankit Banarjee , Jinniao Qiu

Mean-field variational methods are widely used for approximate posterior inference in many probabilistic models. In a typical application, mean-field methods approximately compute the posterior with a coordinate-ascent optimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-03-14 Chong Wang , David M. Blei

Estimation and prediction in high dimensional multivariate factor stochastic volatility models is an important and active research area because such models allow a parsimonious representation of multivariate stochastic volatility. Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-27 David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , David Nott

Structural equation models are commonly used to capture the relationship between sets of observed and unobservable variables. Traditionally these models are fitted using frequentist approaches but recently researchers and practitioners have…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-22 Khue-Dung Dang , Luca Maestrini

We challenge the longstanding assumption that the mean-field approximation for variational inference in Bayesian neural networks is severely restrictive, and show this is not the case in deep networks. We prove several results indicating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-11 Sebastian Farquhar , Lewis Smith , Yarin Gal

(Working Paper) Using a purely probabilistic argument, we prove the global well-posedness of multidimensional superquadratic backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) without Markovian assumption. The key technique is the interplay…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-21 Kihun Nam

This paper is concerned with a backward-forward stochastic differential equation (BFSDE) system, in which a large number of negligible agents are coupled in their dynamics via state average. Here some BSDE is introduced as the dynamics of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-03-18 Jianhui Huang , Shujun Wang , Zhen Wu

In this paper, we study the maximum principle for stochastic optimal control problems of forward-backward stochastic difference systems (FBS{\Delta}Ss). Two types of FBS{\Delta}Ss are investigated. The first one is described by a partially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Shaolin Ji , Haodong Liu