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This paper proposes a novel low-rank approximation to the multivariate State-Space Model. The Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach is applied component-wise to the independent-in-time Mat\'ern Gaussian innovation term in…

The R software package rSPDE contains methods for approximating Gaussian random fields based on fractional-order stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). A common example of such fields are Whittle-Mat\'ern fields on bounded…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-28 David Bolin , Alexandre B. Simas

Modeling data with non-stationary covariance structure is important to represent heterogeneity in geophysical and other environmental spatial processes. In this work, we investigate a multistage approach to modeling non-stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-05 Ashton Wiens , Douglas Nychka , William Kleibe

In this paper a new approach for constructing \emph{multivariate} Gaussian random fields (GRFs) using systems of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) has been introduced and applied to simulated data and real data. By solving a…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-08 Xiangping Hu , Daniel Simpson , Finn Lindgren , Håvard Rue

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) represent a very active research field with numerous recent developments and breakthrough results. There are several well-established approaches and methods used to construct solutions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Christian Kuehn , Alexandra Neamtu

We introduce a nonstationary spatio-temporal statistical model for gridded data on the sphere. The model specifies a computationally convenient covariance structure that depends on heterogeneous geography. Widely used statistical models on…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-25 Stefano Castruccio , Joseph Guinness

Spatial modelling often uses Gaussian random fields to capture the stochastic nature of studied phenomena. However, this approach incurs significant computational burdens (O(n3)), primarily due to covariance matrix computations. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-22 Joaquin Cavieres , Paula Moraga , Cole C. Monnahan

The purpose of this paper is to establish the well-posedness of the stochastic Stefan problem on moving hypersurfaces. Through a specially designed transformation, it turns out we need to solve stochastic partial differential equations on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-05 Tianyi Pan , Wei Wang , Jianliang Zhai , Tusheng Zhang

In the task of predicting spatio-temporal fields in environmental science using statistical methods, introducing statistical models inspired by the physics of the underlying phenomena that are numerically efficient is of growing interest.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 Lucia Clarotto , Denis Allard , Thomas Romary , Nicolas Desassis

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are established tools to model physical phenomena whose dynamics are affected by random noise. By estimating parameters of an SDE intrinsic randomness of a system around its drift can be identified…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-03 Umberto Picchini , Susanne Ditlevsen

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are popular tools to analyse time series data in many areas, such as mathematical finance, physics, and biology. They provide a mechanistic description of the phenomeon of interest, and their…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-01 Théo Michelot , Richard Glennie , Catriona Harris , Len Thomas

This work proposes stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) as a practical tool to replicate clustering effects of more detailed particle-based dynamics. Inspired by membrane-mediated receptor dynamics on cell surfaces, we…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-22 Nathalie Wehlitz , Mohsen Sadeghi , Alberto Montefusco , Christof Schütte , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Stefanie Winkelmann

Nonstationarity is a major challenge in analyzing spatial data. For example, daily precipitation measurements may have increased variability and decreased spatial smoothness in areas with high mean rainfall. Common nonstationary covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-31 Geoffrey Colin Lee Peterson , Joseph Guinness , Adam Terando , Brian J. Reich

Increasingly larger data sets of processes in space and time ask for statistical models and methods that can cope with such data. We show that the solution of a stochastic advection-diffusion partial differential equation provides a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-18 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

Building spatial process models that capture nonstationary behavior while delivering computationally efficient inference is challenging. Nonstationary spatially varying kernels (see, e.g., Paciorek, 2003) offer flexibility and richness, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Sébastien Coube-Sisqueille , Sudipto Banerjee , Benoît Liquet

Estimation of stationary dependence structure parameters using only a single realisation of the spatial process, typically leads to inaccurate estimates and poorly identified parameters. A common way to handle this is to fix some of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-24 Rikke Ingebrigtsen , Finn Lindgren , Ingelin Steinsland , Sara Martino

We introduce computational methods that allow for effective estimation of a flexible, parametric non-stationary spatial model when the field size is too large to compute the multivariate normal likelihood directly. In this method, the field…

Computation · Statistics 2018-09-20 Amanda Muyskens , Joseph Guinness , Montserrat Fuentes

This paper investigates Gaussian Markov random field approximations to nonstationary Gaussian fields using graph representations of stochastic partial differential equations. We establish approximation error guarantees building on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-28 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Ruiyi Yang

Nonstationary Gaussian process models can capture complex spatially varying dependence structures in spatial datasets. However, the large number of observations in modern datasets makes fitting such models computationally intractable with…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-13 Paul G. Beckman , Christopher J. Geoga , Michael L. Stein , Mihai Anitescu

An important class of spatio-temporal models is constructed by leveraging the hierarchical structure of dynamical (or, state-space) models. This paper proposes a new statistical dynamical model for spatio-temporal processes motivated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Yutong Zhang , Xiao Liu