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We develop a general framework for extracting highly uniform bounds on local stability for stochastic processes in terms of information on fluctuations or crossings. This includes a large class of martingales: As a corollary of our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-05 Morenikeji Neri , Thomas Powell

Based on a weak convergence argument, we provide a necessary and sufficient condition that guarantees that a nonnegative local martingale is indeed a martingale. Typically, conditions of this sort are expressed in terms of integrability…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-24 Jose Blanchet , Johannes Ruf

We extend classical results about the convergence of nearly unstable AR(p) processes to the infinite order case. To do so, we proceed as in recent works about Hawkes processes by using limit theorems for some well chosen geometric sums. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-24 Thibault Jaisson , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Recently, the complete left tail asymptotic for the density of the {\it martingale limit} of the classical Galton-Watson process has been derived. The derivation is based on the properties of a special function (whose inverse Fourier…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Anton A Kutsenko

In this paper, we study a class of backward stochastic Volterra integral equations driven by Teugels martingales associated with an independent L\'{e}vy process and an independent Brownian motion (BSVIELs). We prove the existence and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-11 Wen Lu

The limiting behavior of Toeplitz type quadratic forms of stationary processes has received much attention through decades, particularly due to its importance in statistical estimation of the spectrum. In the present paper we study such…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Mikkel Slot Nielsen , Jan Pedersen

The paper studies the rate of convergence of the weak Euler approximation for solutions to SDEs driven by Levy processes, with Hoelder-continuous coefficients. It investigates the dependence of the rate on the regularity of coefficients and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-14 R. Mikulevicius , C. Zhang

We show weak convergence of the time-$t$ marginals for the integrated variance in a re-scaled rough Heston model to an Inverse Gaussian L\'{e}vy process. This shows we can obtain such a limit without having to impose that the true Hurst…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Alessandro Bondi , Martin Forde

This article develops general conditions for weak convergence of adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo processes and is shown to imply a weak law of large numbers for bounded Lipschitz continuous functions. This allows an estimation theory for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Austin Brown , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

We consider random walks and L\'evy processes in a homogeneous group $G$. For all $p > 0$, we completely characterise (almost) all $G$-valued L\'evy processes whose sample paths have finite $p$-variation, and give sufficient conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-18 Ilya Chevyrev

This work establishes the weak convergence of Euler-Maruyama's approximation for stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with singular drifts under the integrability condition in lieu of the widely used growth condition. This method is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-23 Jinghai Shao

We develop a stochastic integration theory for predictable integrands with respect to a L\'evy basis. Our approach is based on decoupling inequalities for tangent sequences and reduces the construction of the stochastic integral essentially…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Markus Riedle

We consider a multivariate heavy-tailed stochastic volatility model and analyze the large-sample behavior of its sample covariance matrix. We study the limiting behavior of its entries in the infinite-variance case and derive results for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Anja Janßen , Thomas Mikosch , Mohsen Rezapour , Xiaolei Xie

We propose a new weak convergence theorem for martingales, under gentler conditions than the usual convergence in probability of the sequence of associated quadratic variations. Its proof requires the combined use of Skorohod's…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Bruno Rémillard , Jean Vaillancourt

This paper describes the stochastic Levy--Lorentz gas driven by general long-range reference random walk on correlated and entangled random medium. Further consideration has been laid on the stochastic reinforcement of the underlying random…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Jiaming Chen

In this paper, we develop necessary and sufficient conditions for the validity of a martingale approximation for the partial sums of a stationary process in terms of the maximum of consecutive errors. Such an approximation is useful for…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Mikhail Gordin , Magda Peligrad

There is an extensive theory of weak convergence for moving averages and continuous-time random walks (CTRWs) with respect to Skorokhod's M1 and J1 topologies. Here we address the fundamental question of how this translates into functional…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Andreas Søjmark , Fabrice Wunderlich

This paper analyzes the limit properties of the empirical process of $\alpha$-stable random variables with long range dependence. The $\alpha$-stable random variables are constructed by non-linear transformations of bivariate sequences of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Emanuele Taufer

In this article, we first review the connection between L\'evy processes and infinitely divisible random variables, and the classification of infinitely divisible distributions. Using this connection and the L\'evy-Khinchine representation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Neelesh S Upadhye , Kalyan Barman

We characterize the complex, heavy-tailed probability distribution functions (pdf) describing the response and its local extrema for structural systems subjected to random forcing that includes extreme events. Our approach is based on the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-06-02 Han Kyul Joo , Mustafa A. Mohamad , Themistoklis P. Sapsis
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