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The purpose of this paper is to investigate the asymptotic behavior of the Durbin-Watson statistic for the stable $p-$order autoregressive process when the driven noise is given by a first-order autoregressive process. It is an extension of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-03 Frédéric Proïa

The purpose of this paper is to investigate moderate deviations for the Durbin-Watson statistic associated with the stable first-order autoregressive process where the driven noise is also given by a first-order autoregressive process. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-18 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Hacène Djellout , Frédéric Proïa

A wide literature is available on the asymptotic behavior of the Durbin-Watson statistic for autoregressive models. However, it is impossible to find results on the Durbin-Watson statistic for autoregressive models with adaptive control.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-23 Bernard Bercu , Bruno Portier , Victor Vazquez

We are interested in the implications of a linearly autocorrelated driven noise on the asymptotic behavior of the usual least squares estimator in a stable autoregressive process. We show that the least squares estimator is not consistent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Frédéric Proïa

We propose a new statistical test for the residual autocorrelation in ARX adaptive tracking. The introduction of a persistent excitation in the adaptive tracking control allows us to build a bilateral statistical test based on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-16 Bernard Bercu , Bruno Portier , Victor Vazquez

The first purpose of this article is to obtain a.s. asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator in the autoregressive process driven by a stationary Gaussian noise. The second purpose is to show the local asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-23 Marius Soltane

A random coefficient autoregressive process is deeply investigated in which the coefficients are correlated. First we look at the existence of a strictly stationary causal solution, we give the second-order stationarity conditions and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-29 Frédéric Proïa , Marius Soltane

We study the asymptotic behavior of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of bifurcating autoregressive processes. Under very weak assumptions on the driven noise of the process, namely conditional pair-wise independence…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-29 Bernard Bercu , Benoite de Saporta , Anne Gegout-Petit

Bifurcating autoregressive processes, which can be seen as an adaptation of au-toregressive processes for a binary tree structure, have been extensively studied during the last decade in a parametric context. In this work we do not specify…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Siméon Valère Bitseki Penda , Adélaïde Olivier

In this paper, we consider the normalized least squares estimator of the parameter in a mildly stationary first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) model with dependent errors which are modeled as a mildly stationary AR(1) process. By martingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-08 Hui Jiang , Guangyu Yang , Mingming Yu

Consider a linear regression model and suppose that our aim is to find a confidence interval for a specified linear combination of the regression parameters. In practice, it is common to perform a Durbin-Watson pretest of the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-29 Paul Kabaila , Samer Alhelli , Davide Farchione , Nathan Bragg

The objective of the paper is to identify and investigate all possible types of asymptotic behavior for the maximum likelihood estimators of the unknown parameters in the second-order linear stochastic ordinary differential equation driven…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-08 Ning Lin , Sergey V. Lototsky

Reconstruction of signals from undersampled and noisy measurements is a topic of considerable interest. Sharpness conditions directly control the recovery performance of restart schemes for first-order methods without the need for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Matthew J. Colbrook

The purpose of this paper is to study the asymptotic behavior of the weighted least square estimators of the unknown parameters of random coefficient bifurcating autoregressive processes. Under suitable assumptions on the immigration and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-20 Vassili Blandin

Large sample statistical analysis of threshold autoregressive (TAR) models is usually based on the assumption that the underlying driving noise is uncorrelated. In this paper, we consider a model, driven by Gaussian noise with geometric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 P. Chigansky , Y. Kutoyants

We estimate the unknown parameters of an asymmetric bifurcating autoregressive process (BAR) when some of the data are missing. In this aim, we model the observed data by a two-type Galton-Watson process consistent with the binary tree…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-10 Benoîte de Saporta , Anne Gégout-Petit , Laurence Marsalle

In this paper, we study finite-sample properties of the least squares estimator in first order autoregressive processes. By leveraging a result from decoupling theory, we derive upper bounds on the probability that the estimate deviates by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas

In this article, we introduce and study a one sided tempered stable first order autoregressive model called TAR(1). Under the assumption of stationarity of the model, the marginal probability density function of the error term is found. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Niharika Bhootna , Arun Kumar

In statistics, the Durbin-Watson test is always employed to detect the presence of serial correlation of residuals from a least squares regression analysis. However, the Durbin-Watson statistic is only suitable for ordered time or spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-19 Yanguang Chen

A novel first-order autoregressive moving average model for analyzing discrete-time series observed at irregularly spaced times is introduced. Under Gaussianity, it is established that the model is strictly stationary and ergodic. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-31 Cesar Ojeda , Wilfredo Palma , Susana Eyheramendy , Felipe Elorrieta
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