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Let $\Psi_1,\Psi_2,...$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random Lipschitz functions on a complete separable metric space with unbounded metric $d$ and forward iterations $X_n$. Suppose that $X_n$ has a stationary distribution. We study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-28 Gerold Alsmeyer

We study three non-equivalent queueing models in continuous time that each generalise the classical M/M/1 queue in a different way. Inter-event times in all models are Mittag-Leffler distributed, which is a heavy tail distribution with no…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Jacob Butt , Nicos Georgiou , Enrico Scalas

This paper investigates tail asymptotics of stationary distributions and quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs) of continuous-time Markov chains on subsets of the non-negative integers. Based on the so-called flux-balance equation, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-16 Chuang Xu , Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

We study anomalous transport arising in disordered one-dimensional spin chains, specifically focusing on the subdiffusive transport typically found in a phase preceding the many-body localization transition. Different types of transport can…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2020-03-09 Maximilian Schulz , Scott R. Taylor , Antonello Scardicchio , Marko Žnidarič

The upper tail problem in the Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph $G\sim\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ asks to estimate the probability that the number of copies of a graph $H$ in $G$ exceeds its expectation by a factor $1+\delta$. Chatterjee and Dembo…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly , Eyal Lubetzky , Yufei Zhao

This paper proposes a stochastic framework to evaluate the performance of public transit systems under short random service suspensions. We aim to derive closed-form formulations of the mean and variance of the queue length and waiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Baichuan Mo , Li Jin , Haris N. Koutsopoulos , Zuo-Jun Max Shen , Jinhua Zhao

Assessing the probability of occurrence of extreme events is a crucial issue in various fields like finance, insurance, telecommunication or environmental sciences. In a multivariate framework, the tail dependence is characterized by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

For multivariate distributions in the domain of attraction of a max-stable distribution, the tail copula and the stable tail dependence function are equivalent ways to capture the dependence in the upper tail. The empirical versions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-09 John H. J. Einmahl , Johan Segers

The sums and maxima of weighted non-stationary random length sequences of regularly varying random variables may have the same tail and extremal indices, Markovich and Rodionov (2020). The main constraints are that there exists a unique…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Natalia Markovich

Financial time series exhibit multiscale behavior, with interaction between multiple processes operating on different timescales. This paper introduces a method for separating these processes using variance and tail stationarity criteria,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-19 Jan Rosenzweig

A recent line of empirical studies has demonstrated that SGD might exhibit a heavy-tailed behavior in practical settings, and the heaviness of the tails might correlate with the overall performance. In this paper, we investigate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Krunoslav Lehman Pavasovic , Alain Durmus , Umut Simsekli

We study the probability distribution of the maximum $M_S $ of a smooth stationary Gaussian field defined on a fractal subset $S$ of $\R^n$. Our main result is the equivalent of the asymptotic behavior of the tail of the distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-20 Jean-Marc Azaïs , Mario Wschebor

We discuss diffusion properties of a dynamical system, which is characterised by long-tail distributions and finite correlations. The particle velocity has the stable L\'evy distribution; it is assumed as a jumping process (the kangaroo…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-06-21 Tomasz Srokowski

This paper presents a new condition for the existence of optimal stationary policies in average-cost continuous-time Markov decision processes with unbounded cost and transition rates, arising from controlled queueing systems. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-04-23 Cao Ping , Xie Jingui

This paper considers a population process on a dynamically evolving graph, which can be alternatively interpreted as a queueing network. The queues are of infinite-server type, entailing that at each node all customers present are served in…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Michel Mandjes , Nicos Starreveld , René Bekker

Possible distributions are discussed for intertrade durations and first-passage processes in financial markets. The view-point of renewal theory is assumed. In order to represent market data with relatively long durations, two types of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 Naoya Sazuka , Jun-ichi Inoue , Enrico Scalas

It has been observed in numerous experiments, simulations, and various theoretical treatments that the spreading of particles can be modeled by the continuous-time random walk. We consider two well-known cases, i.e., Gaussian displacements…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-21 Wanli Wang , Kaixin Zhang , Yuda Cheng

We introduce the {\Delta}(i)/GI/1 queue, a new queueing model. In this model, customers from a given population independently sample a time to arrive from some given distribution F. Thus, the arrival times are an ordered statistics, and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-09 Harsha Honnappa , Rahul Jain , Amy R. Ward

This paper studies the distributed optimization problem under the influence of heavy-tailed gradient noises. Here, a heavy-tailed noise means that the noise does not necessarily satisfy the bounded variance assumption. Instead, it satisfies…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-12 Chao Sun , Huiming Zhang , Bo Chen , Li Yu

Nowadays in density estimation, posterior rates of convergence for location and location-scale mixtures of Gaussians are only known under light-tail assumptions; with better rates achieved by location mixtures. It is conjectured, but not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-24 Zacharie Naulet , Judith Rousseau
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