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Maximum likelihood estimators for time-dependent mean functions within Gaussian processes are provided in the context of continuous observations. We find the widest possible class of mean functions for which the likelihood function can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Mitsuki Kobayashi , Yuto Nishiwaki , Yasutaka Shimizu , Nobutoki Takaoka

This paper concerns the approximation of probability measures on $\mathbf{R}^d$ with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence. Given an admissible target measure, we show the existence of the best approximation, with respect to this…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-26 Yulong Lu , Andrew M. Stuart , Hendrik Weber

We investigate the asymptotical behaviour of the transition probabilities of the simple random walk on the 2-comb. In particular we obtain space-time uniform asymptotical estimates which show the lack of symmetry of this walk better than…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Daniela Bertacchi , Fabio Zucca

This paper is concerned with transition paths within the framework of the overdamped Langevin dynamics model of chemical reactions. We aim to give an efficient description of typical transition paths in the small temperature regime. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Yulong Lu , Andrew M. Stuart , Hendrik Weber

The first of $N$ identical independently distributed (i.i.d.) Brownian trajectories that arrives to a small target, sets the time scale of activation, which in general is much faster than the arrival to the target of only a single…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-17 Kanishka Basnayake , Claire Guerrier , Zeev Schuss , David Holcman

Accuracy of a relativistic weak-coupling expansion procedure for solving the Hamiltonian bound-state eigenvalue problem in theories with asymptotic freedom is measured using a well-known matrix model. The model is exactly soluble and simple…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 Stanislaw D. Glazek , Jaroslaw Mlynik

Fractional Brownian motion is a self-affine, non-Markovian and translationally invariant generalization of Brownian motion, depending on the Hurst exponent $H$. Here we investigate fractional Brownian motion where both the starting and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-09 Mathieu Delorme , Kay Jörg Wiese

Spectral decomposition of the covariance operator is one of the main building blocks in the theory and applications of Gaussian processes. Unfortunately it is notoriously hard to derive in a closed form. In this paper we consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 P. Chigansky , M. Kleptsyna , D. Marushkevych

We find an explicit expression for the cross-covariance between stochastic integral processes with respect to a $d$-dimensional fractional Brownian motion (fBm) $B_t$ with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$, where the integrands are vector fields…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-16 Yohaï Maayan , Eddy Mayer-Wolf

We establish large deviations properties valid for almost every sample path of a class of stationary mixing processes $(X_1,..., X_n,...)$. These properties are inherited from those of $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i$ and describe how the local…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-08 Julien Barral , Patrick Loiseau

We derive a high-resolution formula for the $L^2$-quantization errors of Riemann-Liouville processes and the sharp Kolmogorov entropy asymptotics for related Sobolev balls. We describe a quantization procedure which leads to asymptotically…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Harald Luschgy , Gilles Pagès

In this paper we introduce the \textit{multivariate} Brownian semistationary (BSS) processes and study the joint asymptotic behaviour of its realised covariation using in-fill asymptotics. First, we present a central limit theorem for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Riccardo Passeggeri , Almut E. D. Veraart

In many stochastic models, the observables of interest are naturally encoded in double transforms (e.g., Laplace transforms) that couple spatial and temporal variables. Notably, the double transform often provides the only analytically…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Giampaolo Cristadoro , Gaia Pozzoli

We provide non-asymptotic error bounds in the path Wasserstein distance with quadratic integral cost between suitable functionals of the telegraph process and the corresponding functional of Brownian motion with explicit diffusivity…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Gerardo Barrera , Jani Lukkarinen , Mikko S. Pakkanen

In this article, for some $d-$dimensional Gaussian processes \[X=\big\{X_t=(X^1_t,\cdots,X^d_t):t\ge0\big\},\] whose components are i.i.d. $1-$dimensional self-similar Gaussian process with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$, we consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Minhao Hong

In this article we will introduce the realised semicovariance for Brownian semistationary (BSS) processes, which is obtained from the decomposition of the realised covariance matrix into components based on the signs of the returns, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-18 Yuan Li , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

In this paper, we consider an inference problem for an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a general one-dimensional centered Gaussian process $(G_t)_{t\ge 0}$. The second order mixed partial derivative of the covariance function $ R(t,\,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Yong Chen , Hongjuan Zhou

We consider equidistant approximations of stochastic integrals driven by H\"older continuous Gaussian processes of order $H>\frac12$ with discontinuous integrands involving bounded variation functions. We give exact rate of convergence in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-15 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Pauliina Ilmonen , Nourhan Shafik , Tommi Sottinen , Lauri Viitasaari

Let x(s), s in R^d be a Gaussian self-similar random process of index H. We consider the problem of log-asymptotics for the probability p(T) that x(s), x(0)=0 does not exceed a fixed level in a star-shaped expanding domain TxG as T>>1. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 G. Molchan

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be mutually independent centered Gaussian processes with almost surely continuous sample paths. We derive the exact asymptotics of $$ P\left(\exists_{t \in [0,T]} \forall_{i=1 ... n} X_i(t)> u \right) $$…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Kamil Tabiś