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We describe a procedure to introduce general dependence structures on a set of Dirichlet processes. Dependence can be in one direction to define a time series or in two directions to define spatial dependencies. More directions can also be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-18 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

The purpose of this report is to look at the measures of importance of components in systems in terms of reliability. In the first work of Birnbaum (1968) on this subject, many interesting studies were created and important indicators were…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-23 Krzysztof J. Szajowski , Małgorzata Średnicka

Dependence among multiple lifetimes is a key factor for pricing and evaluating the risk of joint life insurance products. The dependence structure can be exposed to model uncertainty when available data and information are limited. We…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-30 Takaaki Koike

We show that well-chosen Lagrangians for a class of two-dimensional integrable lattice equations obey a closure relation when embedded in a higher dimensional lattice. On the basis of this property we formulate a Lagrangian description for…

Exactly Solvable and Integrable Systems · Physics 2015-05-13 Sarah Lobb , Frank Nijhoff

Good large sample performance is typically a minimum requirement of any model selection criterion. This article focuses on the consistency property of the Bayes factor, a commonly used model comparison tool, which has experienced a recent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-04 Siddhartha Chib , Todd A. Kuffner

A lattice gauge theory with an action polynomial in independent field variables is considered. The link variables are described by unconstrained complex matrices instead of unitary ones. A mechanism which permits to switch off in the…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 V. A. Franke , S. A. Paston , E. V. Prokhvatilov

As black box explanations are increasingly being employed to establish model credibility in high-stakes settings, it is important to ensure that these explanations are accurate and reliable. However, prior work demonstrates that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Dylan Slack , Sophie Hilgard , Sameer Singh , Himabindu Lakkaraju

Random-matrix eigenvalues have a well-known interpretation as a gas of like-charge particles. We make use of this to introduce a model of vortex dynamics by defining a time-dependent wave function as the characteristic polynomial of a…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-12-12 Anthony Mays , Anita K. Ponsaing , David M. Paganin

The distinction between safety and liveness properties is a fundamental classification with immediate implications on the feasibility and complexity of various monitoring, model checking, and synthesis problems. In this paper, we revisit…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2011-06-08 Rüdiger Ehlers , Bernd Finkbeiner

Obviously, the dynamism of software reliability research has speeded up significantly in the last period, and we can state the fact that its intensity is approaching, and in some cases is ahead of the information systems hardware…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-03-06 Anton Petrov , Elena Popova , Alexander Petrov

When collaborating with an AI system, we need to assess when to trust its recommendations. If we mistakenly trust it in regions where it is likely to err, catastrophic failures may occur, hence the need for Bayesian approaches for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Federico Cerutti , Lance M. Kaplan , Angelika Kimmig , Murat Sensoy

Reliability is probability of success in a success-failure experiment. Confidence in reliability estimate improves with increasing number of samples. Assurance sets confidence level same as reliability to create one number for easier…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Sanjay M. Joshi

In life insurance, life tables are used to estimate the survival distribution of individuals from a given population. However, these tables only provide survival probabilities at integer ages but no information about the distribution of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-19 Jean-Loup Dupret , Edouard Motte

A typical linear open system is often defined as a component of a larger conservative one. For instance, a dielectric medium, defined by its frequency dependent electric permittivity and magnetic permeability is a part of a conservative…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 Alexander Figotin , Stephen P. Shipman

Bayesian Networks (BN) provide robust probabilistic methods of reasoning under uncertainty, but despite their formal grounds are strictly based on the notion of conditional dependence, not much attention has been paid so far to their use in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Luigi Portinale , Andrea Bobbio

Collectives form non-equilibrium social structures characterised by a volatile dynamics. Individuals join or leave. Social relations change quickly. Therefore, differently from engineered or ecological systems, a resilient reference state…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-19 Frank Schweitzer , Christian Zingg , Giona Casiraghi

It is well known that conditional independence can be used to factorize a joint probability into a multiplication of conditional probabilities. This paper proposes a constructive definition of inter-causal independence, which can be used to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Nevin Lianwen Zhang , David L Poole

We consider systems under uncertainty whose dynamics are partially unknown. Our aim is to study satisfaction of temporal logic properties by trajectories of such systems. We express these properties as signal temporal logic formulas and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-12 Ali Salamati , Sadegh Soudjani , Majid Zamani

This paper presents a simple decidable logic of functional dependence LFD, based on an extension of classical propositional logic with dependence atoms plus dependence quantifiers treated as modalities, within the setting of generalized…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Alexandru Baltag , Johan van Benthem

Measuring dependence between two events, or equivalently between two binary random variables, amounts to expressing the dependence structure inherent in a $2\times 2$ contingency table in a real number between $-1$ and $1$. Countless such…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Marc-Oliver Pohle , Timo Dimitriadis , Jan-Lukas Wermuth