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Extremal graphical models encode the conditional independence structure of multivariate extremes. Key statistics for learning extremal graphical structures are empirical extremal variograms, for which we prove non-asymptotic concentration…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Sebastian Engelke , Michaël Lalancette , Stanislav Volgushev

The extremogram, proposed by Davis and Mikosch (2008), is a useful tool for measuring extremal dependence and checking model adequacy in a time series. We define the extremogram in the spatial domain when the data is observed on a lattice…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-09 Yongbum Cho , Richard A. Davis , Souvik Ghosh

Non-stationary approximations of the final value of a converging sequence are discussed, and we show that extremal eigenvalues can be reasonably estimated from the CG iterates without much computation at all. We introduce estimators of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-02-21 Divya Anand Subba , Murugesan Venkatapathi

We consider the extreme value theory of a hyperbolic toral automorphism $T: \mathbb{T}^2 \to \mathbb{T}^2$ showing that if a H\"older observation $\phi$ which is a function of a Euclidean-type distance to a non-periodic point $\zeta$ is…

We address the estimation of "extreme" conditional quantiles i.e. when their order converges to one as the sample size increases. Conditions on the rate of convergence of their order to one are provided to obtain asymptotically Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-07 L. Gardes , S. Girard

We study almost sure limiting behavior of extreme and intermediate order statistics arising from strictly stationary sequences. First, we provide sufficient dependence conditions under which these order statistics converges almost surely to…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-28 Aneta Buraczyńska , Anna Dembińska

Both marginal and dependence features must be described when modelling the extremes of a stationary time series. There are standard approaches to marginal modelling, but long- and short-range dependence of extremes may both appear. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-17 Thomas Lugrin , Anthony C. Davison , Jonathan A. Tawn

The extremal dependence structure of a regularly varying $d$-dimensional random vector can be described by its angular measure. The standard nonparametric estimator of this measure is the empirical measure of the observed angles of the $k$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-31 Holger Drees

Accurate modelling of the joint extremal dependence structure within a stationary time series is a challenging problem that is important in many applications.\ Several previous approaches to this problem are only applicable to certain types…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-09 Graeme Auld , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

We consider stationary stochastic processes arising from dynamical systems by evaluating a given observable along the orbits of the system. We focus on the extremal behaviour of the process, which is related to the entrance in certain…

The main approach to inference for multivariate extremes consists in approximating the joint upper tail of the observations by a parametric family arising in the limit for extreme events. The latter may be expressed in terms of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Raphaël Huser , Anthony C. Davison , Marc G. Genton

Conditional extreme value models have been introduced by Heffernan and Resnick (2007) to describe the asymptotic behavior of a random vector as one specific component becomes extreme. Obviously, this class of models is related to classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-24 Holger Drees , Anja Janßen

Non-local correlations between a fully characterised quantum system and an untrusted black box device are described by an assemblage of conditional quantum states. These assemblages form a convex set, whose extremal points are relevant in…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-09-14 Thomas Cope , Tobias J. Osborne

We consider the problem of shape restricted nonparametric regression on a closed set X ?\in R; where it is reasonable to assume the function has no more than H local extrema interior to X: Following a Bayesian approach we develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-06 Matthew W. Wheeler , David B. Dunson , Amy H. Herring

An almost-stationary gauge condition is proposed with a view to Numerical Relativity applications. The time lines are defined as the integral curves of the timelike solutions of the harmonic almost-Killing equation. This vector equation is…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-11 C. Bona , J. Carot , C. Palenzuela-Luque

The extremal index is a quantity introduced in extreme value theory to measure the presence of clusters of exceedances. In the dynamical systems framework, it provides important information about the dynamics of the underlying systems. In…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-08 Th. Caby , D. Faranda , S. Vaienti , P. Yiou

The behavior of extreme observations is well-understood for time series or spatial data, but little is known if the data generating process is a structural causal model (SCM). We study the behavior of extremes in this model class, both for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Sebastian Engelke , Nicola Gnecco , Frank Röttger

A geometric setup for constrained variational calculus is presented. The analysis deals with the study of the extremals of an action functional defined on piecewise differentiable curves, subject to differentiable, non-holonomic…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-08 Enrico Massa , Danilo Bruno , Gianvittorio Luria , Enrico Pagani

Using the Pontryagin Maximum Principle for the time-optimal problem in coordinates of the first kind, we find extremals of abitrary left-invariant sub-Finsler quasimetric on the Cartan group defined by a distribution of rank two.

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2020-06-17 Valera Berestovskii , Irina Zubareva

We investigate extremal metrics at which various types of rigidity theorems involving scalar curvatures hold. The rigidity we discuss here is related to the rigidity theorems presented by Mario Listing in his previous preprint. More…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Shota Hamanaka