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We present a new model for prediction markets, in which we use risk measures to model agents and introduce a market maker to describe the trading process. This specific choice on modelling tools brings us mathematical convenience. The…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-03-05 Jinli Hu , Amos Storkey

It is known that asset exchange models with symmetric interaction between agents show either a Gibbs/log-normal distribution of assets among the agents or condensation of the entire wealth in the hands of a single agent, depending upon the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Sitabhra Sinha

We mathematically analyze a simple market model where trading at each point in time involves only two agents with the sum of their money being conserved and with neither parties resulting with negative money after the interaction process.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Arnab Das , Sudhakar Yarlagadda

We introduce a general framework for continuous-time betting markets, in which a bookmaker can dynamically control the prices of bets on outcomes of random events. In turn, the prices set by the bookmaker affect the rate or intensity of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-09 Matthew Lorig , Zhou Zhou , Bin Zou

We discuss the equivalence between kinetic wealth-exchange models, in which agents exchange wealth during trades, and mechanical models of particles, exchanging energy during collisions. The universality of the underlying dynamics is shown…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Anirban Chakraborti , Marco Patriarca

We develop from basic economic principles a continuous-time model for a large investor who trades with a finite number of market makers at their utility indifference prices. In this model, the market makers compete with their quotes for the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-10 Peter Bank , Dmitry Kramkov

Measures of wealth and production have been found to scale superlinearly with the population of a city. Therefore, it makes economic sense for humans to congregate together in dense settlements. A recent model of population dynamics showed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-28 James PL Tan

A new definition of events of game-theoretic probability zero in continuous time is proposed and used to prove results suggesting that trading in financial markets results in the emergence of properties usually associated with randomness.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-25 Vladimir Vovk

We prove the global existence of an incomplete, continuous-time finite-agent Radner equilibrium in which exponential agents optimize their expected utility over both running consumption and terminal wealth. The market consists of a traded…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-18 Kim Weston , Gordan Zitkovic

In a money exchange process involving a seller and a buyer, we develop a straightforward model encompassing conservative, non-conservative, and systems with or without debt. Our model integrates the Fermi function to capture the behavior of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Hsin-Lun Li

Many models of market dynamics make use of the idea of wealth exchanges among economic agents. A simple analogy compares the wealth in a society with the energy in a physical system, and the trade between agents to the energy exchange…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-07-14 J. R. Iglesias

Many models of market dynamics make use of the idea of conservative wealth exchanges among economic agents. A few years ago an exchange model using extremal dynamics was developed and a very interesting result was obtained: a self-generated…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 L. A. Braunstein , P. A. Macri , J. R. Iglesias

Increasingly, a huge amount of statistics have been gathered which clearly indicates that income and wealth distributions in various countries or societies follow a robust pattern, close to the Gibbs distribution of energy in an ideal gas…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Arnab Chatterjee , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

In this work, an ensemble of economic interacting agents is considered. The agents are arranged in a linear array where only local couplings are allowed. The deterministic dynamics of each agent is given by a map. This map is expressed by…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 R. Lopez-Ruiz , J. Gonzalez-Estevez , M. G. Cosenza , J. R. Sanchez

We study the model of interacting agents proposed by Chatterjee et al that allows agents to both save and exchange wealth. Closed equations for the wealth distribution are developed using a mean field approximation. We show that when all…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Przemyslaw Repetowicz , Stefan Hutzler , Peter Richmond

In this report I present a possible scenario which can lead to the emergence of a generalised Gamma distribution first presented by R. Osorio et al. as the distribution of traded volumes of stocks in financial markets. This propose is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

Designing a financial market that works well is very important for developing and maintaining an advanced economy, but is not easy because changing detailed rules, even ones that seem trivial, sometimes causes unexpected large impacts and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-08 Takanobu Mizuta

Collective phenomena with universal properties have been observed in many complex systems with a large number of components. Here we present a microscopic model of the emergence of scaling behavior in such systems, where the interaction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-19 S. V. Vikram , Sitabhra Sinha

Binary kinetic exchange models, where money is shuffled between two agents at a time, reproduce the Boltzmann Gibbs exponential wealth distribution but cannot address the multi party trades common in real markets. We generalize the exchange…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-28 Suchismita Banerjee

A broad set of empirical phenomenon in the study of social, economic and machine behaviour can be modelled as complex systems with averaging dynamics. However many of these models naturally result in consensus or consensus-like outcomes. In…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Orowa Sikder
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