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The paper presents a systematic theory for asymptotic inference of autocovariances of stationary processes. We consider nonparametric tests for serial correlations based on the maximum (or ${\cal L}^\infty$) and the quadratic (or ${\cal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Han Xiao , Wei Biao Wu

The rate of entropy production provides a useful quantitative measure of a non-equilibrium system and estimating it directly from time-series data from experiments is highly desirable. Several approaches have been considered for stationary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-21 Shun Otsubo , Sreekanth K Manikandan , Takahiro Sagawa , Supriya Krishnamurthy

We introduce a novel method for estimating the self-similarity index of a general $H$-self-similar process with either stationary or non-stationary increments. The estimation algorithm is developed based on a modified Lamperti…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-26 William Wu , Qidi Peng

We propose a nonparametric estimation for a class of fractional stochastic differential equations (FSDE) with random effects. We precisely consider general linear fractional stochastic differential equations with drift depending on random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-18 M. El Omari , H. El Maroufy , C. Fuchs

For every $p > (1 + \sqrt{5})/2$ we construct a uniformly discrete real sequence $\{\lambda_n\}_{n=1}^\infty$ satisfying $|\lambda_n| = n + o(1)$, a function $g \in L^p(\mathbb{R})$, and continuous linear functionals…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Nir Lev , Anton Tselishchev

We derive an asymptotic theory of nonparametric estimation for a time series regression model $Z_t=f(X_t)+W_t$, where \ensuremath\{X_t\} and \ensuremath\{Z_t\} are observed nonstationary processes and $\{W_t\}$ is an unobserved stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Hans Arnfinn Karlsen , Terje Myklebust , Dag Tjøstheim

We establish $L^p$ error estimates for monotone numerical schemes approximating Hamilton-Jacobi equations on the $d$-dimensional torus. Using the adjoint method, we first prove a $L^1$ error bound of order one for finite-difference and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Alessio Basti , Fabio Camilli

We consider infinite-horizon $\gamma$-discounted Markov Decision Processes, for which it is known that there exists a stationary optimal policy. We consider the algorithm Value Iteration and the sequence of policies $\pi_1,...,\pi_k$ it…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-04-02 Bruno Scherrer

Nonparametric series regression often involves specification search over the tuning parameter, i.e., evaluating estimates and confidence intervals with a different number of series terms. This paper develops pointwise and uniform inferences…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-26 Byunghoon Kang

This article proposes an online bootstrap scheme for nonparametric level estimation in nonstationary time series. Our approach applies to a broad class of level estimators expressible as weighted sample averages over time windows, including…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Thomas Nagler , Tobias Brock , Nicolai Palm

We propose a moving horizon estimation scheme to estimate the states and the unknown constant parameters of general nonlinear uncertain discrete-time systems. The proposed framework and analysis explicitly do not involve the a priori…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-22 Julian D. Schiller , Matthias A. Müller

In this paper, we investigate time-varying nonlinear time series regression for a broad class of locally stationary time series. First, we propose sieve nonparametric estimators for the time-varying regression functions that achieve uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

We prove explicit error bounds for Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods to compute expectations of functions with unbounded stationary variance. We assume that there is a $p\in(1,2)$ so that the functions have finite $L_p$-norm. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-27 Daniel Rudolf , Nikolaus Schweizer

In applications it is common that the exact form of a conditional expectation is unknown and having flexible functional forms can lead to improvements. Series method offers that by approximating the unknown function based on $k$ basis…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

We study fast approximation of integrals with respect to stationary probability measures associated to iterated functions systems on the unit interval. We provide an algorithm for approximating the integrals under certain conditions on the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-07-11 Italo Cipriano , Natalia Jurga

Let $X=\{X_n: n\in \mathbb{N}\}$ be a linear process with bounded probability density function $f(x)$. Under certain conditions, we use the kernel estimator \[ \frac{2}{n(n-1)h_n} \sum_{1\le i<j\le n}K\Big(\frac{X_i-X_j}{h_n}\Big) \] to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-29 Yudan Xiong , Fangjun Xu

A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Alberto J. Coca

In this paper we address the challenging problem of designing globally convergent estimators for the parameters of nonlinear systems containing a non-separable exponential nonlinearity. This class of terms appears in many practical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Romeo Ortega , Alexey Bobtsov , Ramon Costa-Castello , Nikolay Nikolaev

Consider a Poisson point process with unknown support boundary curve $g$, which forms a prototype of an irregular statistical model. We address the problem of estimating non-linear functionals of the form $\int \Phi(g(x))\,dx$. Following a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Markus Reiß , Martin Wahl

A first-order Liouville theorem is obtained for random ensembles of uniformly parabolic systems under the mere qualitative assumptions of stationarity and ergodicity. Furthermore, the paper establishes, almost surely, an intrinsic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-06-13 Peter Bella , Alberto Chiarini , Benjamin Fehrman