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Given a surface $M$ and a Borel probability measure $\nu$ on the group of $C^2$-diffeomorphisms of $M$, we study $\nu$-stationary probability measures on $M$. We prove for hyperbolic stationary measures the following trichotomy: either the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-03-06 Aaron W. Brown , Federico Rodriguez Hertz

We show that the natural scaling of measurement for a particular problem defines the most likely probability distribution of observations taken from that measurement scale. Our approach extends the method of maximum entropy to use…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-03-02 Steven A. Frank , D. Eric Smith

Let $f:M\to M$ be a $C^{1+\epsilon}$-map on a smooth Riemannian manifold $M$ and let $\Lambda\subset M$ be a compact $f$-invariant locally maximal set. In this paper we obtain several results concerning the distribution of the periodic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-01-16 Katrin Gelfert , Christian Wolf

We study the invariant measure of the one-dimensional stochastic Allen-Cahn equation for a small noise strength and a large but finite system. We endow the system with inhomogeneous Dirichlet boundary conditions that enforce at least one…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-02 Felix Otto , Hendrik Weber , Maria Westdickenberg

A probability distribution over the Boolean cube is monotone if flipping the value of a coordinate from zero to one can only increase the probability of an element. Given samples of an unknown monotone distribution over the Boolean cube, we…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-02-11 Ronitt Rubinfeld , Arsen Vasilyan

We prove that the statistical properties of random perturbations of a nonuniformly hyperbolic diffeomorphism are described by a finite number of stationary measures. We also give necessary and sufficient conditions for the stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Jose F. Alves , Vitor Araujo , Carlos H. Vasquez

This paper focuses on parameter estimation and introduces a new method for lower bounding the Bayesian risk. The method allows for the use of virtually \emph{any} information measure, including R\'enyi's $\alpha$, $\varphi$-Divergences, and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-27 Amedeo Roberto Esposito , Adrien Vandenbroucque , Michael Gastpar

Consider a holomorphic automorphism which acts hyperbolically on some invariant compact set. Then for every point in the compact set there exists a stable manifold, which is a complex manifold diffeomorphic to real Euclidean space. If the…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2014-04-23 Alberto Abbondandolo , Leandro Arosio , John Erik Fornæss , Pietro Majer , Han Peters , Jasmin Raissy , Liz Vivas

We consider invariant transports of stationary random measures on $\mathbb{R}^d$ and establish natural mixing criteria that guarantee persistence of asymptotic variances. To check our mixing assumptions, which are based on two-point Palm…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Michael A. Klatt , Günter Last , Luca Lotz , D. Yogeshwaran

The equivalence of the characteristic function approach and the probabilistic approach to monotone and boolean convolutions is proven for non-compactly supported probability measures. A probabilistically motivated definition of the…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-21 Uwe Franz

A strong mode of a probability measure on a normed space $X$ can be defined as a point $u$ such that the mass of the ball centred at $u$ uniformly dominates the mass of all other balls in the small-radius limit. Helin and Burger weakened…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-29 Han Cheng Lie , T. J. Sullivan

We describe a measurement device principle based on discrete iterations of Bayesian updating of system state probability distributions. Although purely classical by nature, these measurements are accompanied with a progressive collapse of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-11 Michel Bauer , Denis Bernard , Tristan Benoist

We consider skew-products with concave interval fiber maps over a certain subshift obtained as the projection of orbits staying in a given region. It generates a new type of (essentially) coded shift. The fiber maps have expanding and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-15 L. J. Díaz , K. Gelfert , M. Rams

In this paper, we consider a probabilistic setting where the probability measures are considered to be random objects. We propose a procedure of construction non-asymptotic confidence sets for empirical barycenters in 2-Wasserstein space…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-13 Johannes Ebert , Vladimir Spokoiny , Alexandra Suvorikova

We study the set S of ergodic probability Borel measures on stationary non-simple Bratteli diagrams which are invariant with respect to the tail equivalence relation. Equivalently, the set S is formed by ergodic probability measures…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-09-30 S. Bezuglyi , O. Karpel

There are various measures of predictive uncertainty in the literature, but their relationships to each other remain unclear. This paper uses a decomposition of statistical pointwise risk into components, associated with different sources…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-18 Nikita Kotelevskii , Vladimir Kondratyev , Martin Takáč , Éric Moulines , Maxim Panov

In this paper it is shown that in the case of the given probability distribution or histogram using the Jaynes entropy maximum principle an J- measure of uncertainty (JMU) provides the maximum for a given distribution can be constructed.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-29 Y. Schreiber , A. Chudnovsky

In this work we obtain a new criterion to establish ergodicity and non-uniform hyperbolicity of smooth measures of diffeomorphisms. This method allows us to give a more accurate description of certain ergodic components. The use of this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-12-19 F. Rodriguez Hertz , Jana Rodriguez Hertz , A. Tahzibi , R. Ures

This paper addresses the issues of conservativeness and computational complexity of probabilistic robustness analysis. We solve both issues by defining a new sampling strategy and robustness measure. The new measure is shown to be much less…

Applications · Statistics 2008-05-12 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

For a dynamical system, we study the set of points $\cal W$ whose orbit approximates any chosen point at certain specified rates. Our basic setting is that of left shift acting on topological Markov chains endowed with a local weak Gibbs…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-09 María Victoria Melián Pérez
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