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This paper proposes novel tests for the absence of jumps in a univariate semimartingale and for the absence of common jumps in a bivariate semimartingale. Our methods rely on ratio statistics of power variations based on irregular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-21 Ole Martin , Mathias Vetter

In this paper we present the asymptotic analysis of the realised quadratic variation for multivariate symmetric $\beta$-stable L\'evy processes, $\beta \in (0,2)$, and certain pure jump semimartingales. The main focus is on derivation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-07 Johannes Heiny , Mark Podolskij

This paper presents some limit theorems for certain functionals of moving averages of semimartingales plus noise which are observed at high frequency. Our method generalizes the pre-averaging approach (see [Bernoulli 15 (2009) 634--658,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Jean Jacod , Mark Podolskij , Mathias Vetter

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than two decades. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems has been the estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-23 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

We investigate the almost sure asymptotic properties of vector martingale transforms. Assuming some appropriate regularity conditions both on the increasing process and on the moments of the martingale, we prove that normalized moments of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-05 Bernard Bercu , Peggy Cénac , Guy Fayolle

We consider the class of simple Brown-Resnick max-stable processes whose spectral processes are continuous exponential martingales. We develop the asymptotic theory for the realized power variations of these max-stable processes, that is,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-11 Christian Y. Robert

We derive a nonparametric higher-order asymptotic expansion for small-time changes of conditional characteristic functions of It\^o semimartingale increments. The asymptotics setup is of joint type: both the length of the time interval of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-12 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

This paper presents the nonparametric inference for nonlinear volatility functionals of general multivariate It\^o semimartingales, in high-frequency and noisy setting. Pre-averaging and truncation enable simultaneous handling of noise and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Richard Y. Chen

We consider specification and inference for the stochastic scale of discretely-observed pure-jump semimartingales with locally stable L\'{e}vy densities in the setting where both the time span of the data set increases, and the mesh of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

This paper presents a central limit theorem for a pre-averaged version of the realized covariance estimator for the quadratic covariation of a discretely observed semimartingale with noise. The semimartingale possibly has jumps, while the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Yuta Koike

In this paper we present some limit theorems for power variation of L\'evy semi-stationary processes in the setting of infill asymptotics. L\'evy semi-stationary processes, which are a one-dimensional analogue of ambit fields, are moving…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-17 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Claudio Heinrich , Mark Podolskij

The estimation of local characteristics of Ito semimartingales has received a great deal of attention in both academia and industry over the past decades. In various papers limit theorems were derived for functionals of increments and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-04 Moritz Duembgen , Mark Podolskij

Many methods for estimating integrated volatility and related functionals of semimartingales in the presence of jumps require specification of tuning parameters for their use in practice. In much of the available theory, tuning parameters…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-23 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

We provide verification theorems (at different levels of generality) for infinite horizon stochastic control problems in continuous time for semimartingales. The control framework is given as an abstract "martingale formulation", which…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Ma. Elena Hernández-Hernández , Saul Jacka , Aleksandar Mijatović

In this paper we examine the asymptotic theory for U-statistics and V-statistics of discontinuous Ito semimartingales that are observed at high frequency. For different types of kernel functions we show laws of large numbers and associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-25 Mark Podolskij , Christian Schmidt , Mathias Vetter

Motivated by problems from statistical analysis for discretely sampled SPDEs, first we derive central limit theorems for higher order finite differences applied to stochastic process with arbitrary finitely regular paths. These results are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Igor Cialenco , Hyun-Jung Kim , Gregor Pasemann

We develop a general approach of the almost sure central limit theorem for the quasi-continuous vectorial martingales and we release a quadratic extension of this theorem while specifying speeds of convergence. As an application of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-06 Faouzi Chaabane , Ahmed Kebaier

In this paper we study the asymptotic behaviour of power and multipower variations of processes $Y$:\[Y_t=\int_{-\in fty}^tg(t-s)\sigma_sW(\mathrm{d}s)+Z_t,\] where $g:(0,\infty)\rightarrow\mathbb{R}$ is deterministic, $\sigma >0$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-05 Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen , José Manuel Corcuera , Mark Podolskij

We provide a comprehensive analysis of spot volatility inference in pure-jump semimartingales under two asymptotic settings: fixed-$k$, where each local window uses a fixed number of observations, and large-$k$, where this number grows with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Chengxin Yan , Dachuan Chen , Jia Li

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than a decade. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems is that of estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-03 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han