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We propose a hybrid generative model for efficient sampling of high-dimensional, multimodal probability distributions for Bayesian inference. Traditional Monte Carlo methods, such as the Metropolis-Hastings and Langevin Monte Carlo sampling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-14 Hoang Tran , Zezhong Zhang , Feng Bao , Dan Lu , Guannan Zhang

Learning dynamical models from data is not only fundamental but also holds great promise for advancing principle discovery, time-series prediction, and controller design. Among various approaches, Gaussian Process State-Space Models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Tengjie Zheng , Haipeng Chen , Lin Cheng , Shengping Gong , Xu Huang

The distribution of fracture network is crucial to characterize the behaviors of flow field and solute transport, especially for enhanced geothermal systems, as fractures provide preferential flow paths. However, estimating the parameters…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-02-08 Guodong Chen , Xin Luo , Jiu Jimmy Jiao , Chuanyin Jiang

We study how sampling geometry contributes to uncertainty in modeling spatial geophysical observations as sampled random fields characterized by stationary, isotropic, parametric covariance functions. We incorporate the signature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Olivia L. Walbert , Frederik J. Simons , Arthur P. Guillaumin , Sofia C. Olhede

We propose sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods for sampling the posterior distribution of state-space models under highly informative observation regimes, a situation in which standard SMC methods can perform poorly. A special case is…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-10 Pierre Del Moral , Lawrence M. Murray

Smoothing in state-space models amounts to computing the conditional distribution of the latent state trajectory, given observations, or expectations of functionals of the state trajectory with respect to this distributions. For models that…

Computation · Statistics 2010-11-10 Jimmy Olsson , Tobias Rydén

Modeling dynamic scenes through 4D Gaussians offers high visual fidelity and fast rendering speeds, but comes with significant storage overhead. Recent approaches mitigate this cost by aggressively reducing the number of Gaussians. However,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Woong Oh Cho , In Cho , Seoha Kim , Jeongmin Bae , Youngjung Uh , Seon Joo Kim

Iterative Gaussianization is a fixed-point iteration procedure that can transform any continuous random vector into a Gaussian one. Based on iterative Gaussianization, we propose a new type of normalizing flow model that enables both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-05 Chenlin Meng , Yang Song , Jiaming Song , Stefano Ermon

Self-organizing systems demonstrate how simple local rules can generate complex stochastic patterns. Many natural systems rely on such dynamics, making self-organization central to understanding natural complexity. A fundamental challenge…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2026-01-12 Elias Najarro , Nicolas Bessone , Sebastian Risi

In this paper, we extend the previous method for solving inverse problems for steady-state equations using the Generalized Collage Theorem by searching for an approximation that not only minimizes the collage error but also maximizes the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Herb Kunze , Davide La Torre

Monte Carlo methods have become increasingly relevant for control of non-differentiable systems, approximate dynamics models and learning from data. These methods scale to high-dimensional spaces and are effective at the non-convex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-10 Joe Watson , Jan Peters

The methodology developed in this article is motivated by a wide range of prediction and uncertainty quantification problems that arise in Statistics, Machine Learning and Applied Mathematics, such as non-parametric regression, multi-class…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-26 Victor Chen , Matthew M. Dunlop , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Andrew M. Stuart

In this paper, we study random subsampling of Gaussian process regression, one of the simplest approximation baselines, from a theoretical perspective. Although subsampling discards a large part of training data, we show provable guarantees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-29 Kohei Hayashi , Masaaki Imaizumi , Yuichi Yoshida

Although exchangeable processes from Bayesian nonparametrics have been used as a generating mechanism for random partition models, we deviate from this paradigm to explicitly incorporate clustering information in the formulation of our…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 David B. Dahl , Richard L. Warr , Thomas P. Jensen

Gaussian processes (GPs) defined through intrinsic random fields provide a flexible framework for modeling spatial phenomena, and have been advocated in a variety of applications over the past several decades. Nevertheless, their adoption…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Christopher Beattie , David Higdon , Leanna House , Colby Stakun-Pickering , Jared Clark

Two major bottlenecks to the solution of large-scale Bayesian inverse problems are the scaling of posterior sampling algorithms to high-dimensional parameter spaces and the computational cost of forward model evaluations. Yet incomplete or…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-03 Tiangang Cui , Youssef M. Marzouk , Karen E. Willcox

Bayesian methods and their implementations by means of sophisticated Monte Carlo techniques, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and particle filters, have become very popular in signal processing over the last years. However, in many…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-29 Luca Martino , Joaquin Miguez

Introducing inequality constraints in Gaussian process (GP) models can lead to more realistic uncertainties in learning a great variety of real-world problems. We consider the finite-dimensional Gaussian approach from Maatouk and Bay (2017)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-04 Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc , Nicolas Durrande , Olivier Roustant

We present a cost-effective method for model calibration and solution of source inversion problems in atmospheric dispersion modelling. We use Gaussian process emulations of atmospheric dispersion models within a Bayesian framework for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Juan G. Garcia , Bamdad Hosseini , John M Stockie

This paper introduces a statistical treatment of inverse problems constrained by models with stochastic terms. The solution of the forward problem is given by a distribution represented numerically by an ensemble of simulations. The goal is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-17 Emil M. Constantinescu , Noemi Petra , Julie Bessac , Cosmin G. Petra