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In this paper, we show how the MEP hypothesis may be used to build simple climate models without representing explicitly the energy transport by the atmosphere. The purpose is twofold. First, we assess the performance of the MEP hypothesis…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-03-21 Corentin Herbert , Didier Paillard

The Maximum Entropy Modeling Toolkit supports parameter estimation and prediction for statistical language models in the maximum entropy framework. The maximum entropy framework provides a constructive method for obtaining the unique…

cmp-lg · Computer Science 2008-02-03 Eric Sven Ristad

Simplified mechanistic models in ecology have been criticized for the fact that a good fit to data does not imply the mechanism is true: pattern does not equal process. In parallel, the maximum entropy principle (MaxEnt) has been applied in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-02 James P. O'Dwyer , Andrew Rominger , Xiao Xiao

In most data-scientific approaches, the principle of Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) is used to a posteriori justify some parametric model which has been already chosen based on experience, prior knowledge or computational simplicity. In a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-29 Orestis Loukas , Ho Ryun Chung

The principle of maximum entropy is a broadly applicable technique for computing a distribution with the least amount of information possible constrained to match empirical data, for instance, feature expectations. We seek to generalize…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-30 Kenneth Bogert

Maximum entropy modeling is a flexible and popular framework for formulating statistical models given partial knowledge. In this paper, rather than the traditional method of optimizing over the continuous density directly, we learn a smooth…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-01 Gabriel Loaiza-Ganem , Yuanjun Gao , John P. Cunningham

Maximum Entropy is a powerful concept that entails a sharp separation between relevant and irrelevant variables. It is typically invoked in inference, once an assumption is made on what the relevant variables are, in order to estimate a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-09 Luigi Gresele , Matteo Marsili

When constructing models of the world, we aim for optimal compressions: models that include as few details as possible while remaining as accurate as possible. But which details -- or features measured in data -- should we choose to include…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-06 David P. Carcamo , Nicholas J. Weaver , Purushottam D. Dixit , Christopher W. Lynn

When making predictions about ecosystems, we often have available a number of different ecosystem models that attempt to represent their dynamics in a detailed mechanistic way. Each of these can be used as simulators of large-scale…

Within the task of collaborative filtering two challenges for computing conditional probabilities exist. First, the amount of training data available is typically sparse with respect to the size of the domain. Thus, support for higher-order…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Lawrence Zitnick , Takeo Kanade

Recent years have seen the rise of convolutional neural network techniques in exemplar-based image synthesis. These methods often rely on the minimization of some variational formulation on the image space for which the minimizers are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-05 Valentin De Bortoli , Agnes Desolneux , Alain Durmus , Bruno Galerne , Arthur Leclaire

In climate science, the tuning of climate models is a computationally intensive problem due to the combination of the high-dimensionality of the system state and long integration times. Supermodelling is a technique which has shown the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-15 Jordan Seneca , Suzanne Bintanja , Frank M. Selten

Maximum entropy method is a constructive criterion for setting up a probability distribution maximally non-committal to missing information on the basis of partial knowledge, usually stated as constrains on expectation values of some…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-20 Jorge Fernandez-de-Cossio , Jorge Fernandez-de-Cossio Diaz

Calibration methods have been widely studied in survey sampling over the last decades. Viewing calibration as an inverse problem, we extend the calibration technique by using a maximum entropy method. Finding the optimal weights is achieved…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-23 Fabrice Gamboa , Jean-Michel Loubes , Paul Rochet

Multi-model ensembles provide a pragmatic approach to the representation of model uncertainty in climate prediction. However, such representations are inherently ad hoc, and, as shown, probability distributions of climate variables based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-26 T. N. Palmer , F. J. Doblas-Reyes , A. Weisheimer , G. J. Shutts , J. Berner , J. M. Murphy

Probabilistic reasoning systems combine different probabilistic rules and probabilistic facts to arrive at the desired probability values of consequences. In this paper we describe the MESA-algorithm (Maximum Entropy by Simulated Annealing)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Gerhard Paaß

Understanding the assembly of ecosystems to estimate the number of species at different spatial scales is a challenging problem. Until now, maximum entropy approaches have lacked the important feature of considering space in an explicit…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-07-10 Matteo Adorisio , Jacopo Grilli , Samir Suweis , Sandro Azaele , Jayanth R. Banavar , Amos Maritan

A simplified climate model based on maximum entropy production, described by a variational principle, is revisited and an analytical solution to its Euler-Lagrange equation is found. Mindful of controversy about maximum or minimum entropy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-22 Valerio Faraoni

Preserving biodiversity and ecosystem stability is a challenge that can be pursued through modern statistical mechanics modeling. Here we introduce a variational maximum entropy-based algorithm to evaluate the entropy in a minimal ecosystem…

Biological Physics · Physics 2018-10-17 Mattia Miotto , Lorenzo Monacelli

Earth System Models (ESMs) are the state of the art for projecting the effects of climate change. However, longstanding uncertainties in their ability to simulate regional and local precipitation extremes and related processes inhibit…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-20 Evan Kodra , Singdhansu Chatterjee , Stone Chen , Auroop R. Ganguly
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