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The power grid frequency is the central observable in power system control, as it measures the balance of electrical supply and demand. A reliable frequency forecast can facilitate rapid control actions and may thus greatly improve power…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-24 Johannes Kruse , Benjamin Schäfer , Dirk Witthaut

Power grids are one of the most important components of infrastructure in today's world. Every nation is dependent on the security and stability of its own power grid to provide electricity to the households and industries. A malfunction of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Biswarup Bhattacharya , Abhishek Sinha

The large-scale integration of renewable generation directly affects the reliability of power grids. We investigate the problem of power balancing in a general renewable-integrated power grid with storage and flexible loads. We consider a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-06-06 Sun Sun , Min Dong , Ben Liang

We consider the worst-case load-shedding problem in electric power networks where a number of transmission lines are to be taken out of service. The objective is to identify a pre-specified number of line outage that leads to the maximum…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-22 Fu Lin

Accurate production forecasts are essential to continue facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic day-ahead forecasts of wind power generation via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Max Bruninx , Diederik van Binsbergen , Timothy Verstraeten , Ann Nowé , Jan Helsen

We consider the problem of predicting power outages in an electrical power grid due to hazards produced by convective storms. These storms produce extreme weather phenomena such as intense wind, tornadoes and lightning over a small area. In…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Roope Tervo , Joonas Karjalainen , Alexander Jung

Computing the return times of extreme events and assessing the impact of climate change on such return times is fundamental to extreme event attribution studies. However, the rarity of such events in the observational record makes this task…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-03 Clément Le Priol , Joy M. Monteiro , Freddy Bouchet

We apply several machine learning algorithms to the problem of anomaly detection in operational data for large-scale, high-voltage electric power grids. We observe important differences in the performance of the algorithms. Neural networks…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-12 Marc Gillioz , Guillaume Dubuis , Étienne Voutaz , Philippe Jacquod

To address the power system hardening problem, traditional approaches often adopt robust optimization (RO) that considers a fixed set of concerned contingencies, regardless of the fact that hardening some components actually renders…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-07 Donglai Ma , Xiaoyu Cao , Bo Zeng , Qing-Shan Jia , Chen Chen , Qiaozhu Zhai , Xiaohong Guan

Renewable energy productions and electrification of mobility are promising solutions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Their effective integration in a power grid encounters several challenges. The uncertain nature of renewable energy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-11 Manijeh Alipour , Omid Alizadeh-Mousavi

To capture the stochastic characteristics of renewable energy generation output, the chance-constrained unit commitment (CCUC) model is widely used. Conventionally, analytical solution for CCUC is usually based on simplified probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-30 Yue Yang , Wenchuan Wu , Bin Wang , Mingjie Li

To ensure the smooth and near optimal operation of storage and controllable generation in a grid with a high share of renewable energies, it is important to have accurate forecasts for load and generation. But even with the advanced…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-06 Benjamin Matthiss , Arghavan Momenifarahani , Kay Ohnmeiss , Martin Felder

Integration of variable energy resources -- e.g., solar, wind, and hydro -- and end-use electrification increase modern energy systems' weather-dependence. Identifying critical infrastructure constraining the power grid's ability to meet…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-27 Katerina Tang , M. Vivienne Liu , C. Lindsay Anderson , Vivek Srikrishnan

Predicting extreme events in chaotic systems, characterized by rare but intensely fluctuating properties, is of great importance due to their impact on the performance and reliability of a wide range of systems. Some examples include…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-06-17 Yuan Yuan , Adrian Lozano Duran

Forced oscillation event in power grids refers to a state where malfunctioning or abnormally operating equipment causes persisting periodic disturbances in the system. While power grids are designed to damp most of perturbations during…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-06-12 Robin Delabays , Andrey Y. Lokhov , Melvyn Tyloo , Marc Vuffray

The reliable operation of modern power grids requires probabilistic load forecasts with well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, existing deep learning models produce overconfident point predictions that fail catastrophically under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Sajib Debnath , Md. Uzzal Mia

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

The rapid increase in the integration of intermittent and stochastic renewable energy resources (RER) introduces challenging issues related to power system stability. Interestingly, identifying grid nodes that can best support stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-04 Mohamad Kazma , Ahmad F. Taha

Renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar power, are increasingly being integrated into smart grid systems. However, when compared to traditional energy resources, the unpredictability of renewable energy generation poses significant…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-01 Arman Ghasemi , Amin Shojaeighadikolaei , Morteza Hashemi

This letter proposes a data-driven sparse polynomial chaos expansion-based surrogate model for the stochastic economic dispatch problem considering uncertainty from wind power. The proposed method can provide accurate estimations for the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-20 Xiaoting Wang , Rong-Peng Liu , Xiaozhe Wang , Yunhe Hou , François Bouffard
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