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We construct uniform and point-wise asymptotic confidence sets for the single edge in an otherwise smooth image function which are based on rotated differences of two one-sided kernel estimators. Using methods from M-estimation, we show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-26 Viktor Bengs , Matthias Eulert , Hajo Holzmann

Maximum likelihood estimations for the parameters of extreme value distributions are discussed in this paper using fixed point iteration. The commonly used numerical approach for addressing this problem is the Newton-Raphson approach which…

Computation · Statistics 2009-02-03 Tewfik Kernane , Zohrh A. Raizah

We compute the full off-diagonal asymptotics of the equivariant and partial Bergman kernels associated with a circle action on a prequantized K\"ahler manifold with bounded geometry at infinity, then use these results to compute the…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Louis Ioos

The goal of this paper is to establish sharp two-sided estimates on the heat kernels of two types of purely discontinuous symmetric Markov processes in the upper half-space of $\mathbb R^d$ with jump kernels degenerate at the boundary. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Soobin Cho , Panki Kim , Renming Song , Zoran Vondraček

For extreme value estimation we propose to use a model with a Dirichlet process mixture of gamma densities in the center and generalized Pareto densities for the tails. Due to the randomness in the center and a heavy tailed density in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-01 Jairo Fuquene

Motivation: A branching processes model yields an unevenly stochastically distributed dataset that consists of sparse and dense regions. This work addresses the problem of precisely evaluating parameters for such a model. Applying a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-09 Iurii S. Nagornov

This work introduces and compares approaches for estimating rare-event probabilities related to the number of edges in the random geometric graph on a Poisson point process. In the one-dimensional setting, we derive closed-form expressions…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Christian Hirsch , Sarat B. Moka , Thomas Taimre , Dirk P. Kroese

We address the estimation of "extreme" conditional quantiles i.e. when their order converges to one as the sample size increases. Conditions on the rate of convergence of their order to one are provided to obtain asymptotically Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-07 L. Gardes , S. Girard

We study the boundary regularity properties and derive a priori pointwise supremum estimates of weak solutions and their derivatives in terms of suitable weighted $L^2$-norms for a class of degenerate parabolic equations that satisfy…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-02-09 Charles L. Epstein , Camelia A. Pop

We investigate the estimation of the extreme value index when the data are subject to random censorship. We prove, in a unified way, detailed asymptotic normality results for various estimators of the extreme value index and use these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 John H. J. Einmahl , Amélie Fils-Villetard , Armelle Guillou

In this paper, we investigate the problem of nonparametric monotone frontier estimation from the perspective of extreme value theory. This enables us to revisit the asymptotic theory of the popular free disposal hull estimator in a more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 Abdelaati Daouia , Jean-Pierre Florens , Léopold Simar

Convergence rates of kernel density estimators for stationary time series are well studied. For invertible linear processes, we construct a new density estimator that converges, in the supremum norm, at the better, parametric, rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Anton Schick , Wolfgang Wefelmeyer

Regularly varying stochastic processes are able to model extremal dependence between process values at locations in random fields. We investigate the empirical extremogram as an estimator of dependence in the extremes. We provide conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

We study large deviations for some non-local parabolic type equations. We show that, under some assumptions on the non-local term, problems defined in a bounded domain converge with an exponential rate to the solution of the problem defined…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2008-12-01 Cristina Brändle , Emmanuel Chasseigne

Extremiles provide a generalization of quantiles which are not only robust, but also have an intrinsic link with extreme value theory. This paper introduces an extremile regression model tailored for functional covariate spaces. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Maria Laura Battagliola , Martin Bladt

Neural networks are able to approximate any continuous function on a compact set. However, it is not obvious how to quantify the error of the neural network, i.e., the remaining bias between the function and the neural network. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-04 Gero Junike , Marco Oesting

We obtain two-sided heat kernel estimates for Riemannian manifolds with ends with mixed boundary condition, provided that the heat kernels for the ends are well understood. These results extend previous results of Grigor'yan and…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2025-01-15 Emily Dautenhahn , Laurent Saloff-Coste

Non-conservative uncertainty bounds are key for both assessing an estimation algorithm's accuracy and in view of downstream tasks, such as its deployment in safety-critical contexts. In this paper, we derive a tight, non-asymptotic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Amon Lahr , Johannes Köhler , Anna Scampicchio , Melanie N. Zeilinger

We propose a new method for estimating the extreme quantiles for a function of several dependent random variables. In contrast to the conventional approach based on extreme value theory, we do not impose the condition that the tail of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-25 Jinguo Gong , Yadong Li , Liang Peng , Qiwei Yao

Data-driven anomaly detection methods typically build a model for the normal behavior of the target system, and score each data instance with respect to this model. A threshold is invariably needed to identify data instances with high (or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-09 Sreelekha Guggilam , S. M. Arshad Zaidi , Varun Chandola , Abani Patra