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The relationship between set-valued risk measures for processes and vectors on the optional filtration is investigated. The equivalence of risk measures for processes and vectors and the equivalence of their penalty function formulations…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-30 Yanhong Chen , Zachary Feinstein

Risk measures connect probability theory or statistics to optimization, particularly to convex optimization. They are nowadays standard in applications of finance and in insurance involving risk aversion. This paper investigates a wide…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-26 Paul Dommel , Alois Pichler

Model risk measures consequences of choosing a model in a class of possible alternatives. We find analytical and simulated bounds for payoff functions on classes of plausible alternatives of a given discrete model. We measure the impact of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-20 Roberto Fontana , Patrizia Semeraro

In natural phenomena, data distributions often deviate from normality. One can think of cataclysms as a self-explanatory example: events that occur almost never, and at the same time are many standard deviations away from the common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-16 Nuno Costa , Nuno Moniz

Financial institutions have to allocate so-called "economic capital" in order to guarantee solvency to their clients and counter parties. Mathematically speaking, any methodology of allocating capital is a "risk measure", i.e. a function…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2011-08-09 Dirk Tasche

In an incomplete market, including liquidly-traded European options in an investment portfolio could potentially improve the expected terminal utility for a risk-averse investor. However, unlike the Sharpe ratio, which provides a concise…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-15 Ankush Agarwal , Matthew Lorig

The rapid growth of e-commerce has made people accustomed to shopping online. Before making purchases on e-commerce websites, most consumers tend to rely on rating scores and review information to make purchase decisions. With this…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Yingqiang Ge , Shuyuan Xu , Shuchang Liu , Zuohui Fu , Fei Sun , Yongfeng Zhang

We propose a novel class of convex risk measures, based on the concept of the Fr\'echet mean, designed in order to handle uncertainty which arises from multiple information sources regarding the risk factors of interest. The proposed risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-13 Georgios I. Papayiannis , Athanasios N. Yannacopoulos

The design and operation of protective systems is an essential engineering responsibility. Ensuring public safety, while essential, must be accomplished at a feasible cost and within government regulation. Hence, protective system design…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-20 Martin Wortman , Ernest Kee , Pranav Kannan

Distributional reinforcement learning (RL) -- in which agents learn about all the possible long-term consequences of their actions, and not just the expected value -- is of great recent interest. One of the most important affordances of a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Chris Gagne , Peter Dayan

A spectral approach to Bayesian inference is presented. It pursues the emulation of the posterior probability density. The starting point is a series expansion of the likelihood function in terms of orthogonal polynomials. From this…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-27 Joseph B. Nagel , Bruno Sudret

This note will extend the research presented in Brown & Rogers (2009) to the case of CRRA agents. We consider the model outlined in that paper in which agents had diverse beliefs about the dividends produced by a risky asset. We now assume…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-29 A. A. Brown

In this paper, we discuss various problems in the usage and definition of risk matrices. We give an overview of the general process of risk assessment with risk matrices and ordinal scales. Furthermore, we explain the fallacies in each…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-10 Michael Krisper

We study dynamic risk measures in a very general framework enabling to model uncertainty and processes with jumps. We previously showed the existence of a canonical equivalence class of probability measures hidden behind a given set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-30 Jocelyne Bion-Nadal , Magali Kervarec

In recent years, the analysis of a control barrier function has received considerable attention because it is helpful for the safety-critical control required in many control application problems. While the extension of the analysis to a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-18 Yuki Nishimura , Kenta Hoshino

We introduce a method that allows the evaluation of general expressions for the spectral functions of the one-dimensional Hubbard model for all values of the on-site electronic repulsion U. The spectral weights are expressed in terms of…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2007-05-23 J. M. P. Carmelo , K. Penc

The spectral width and sharpness of unfolded, observed GRB spectra have been presented as a new tool to infer physical properties about GRB emission via spectral fitting of empirical models. Following the tradition of the 'line-of-death',…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2019-09-11 J. Michael Burgess

We characterize when a convex risk measure associated to a law-invariant acceptance set in $L^\infty$ can be extended to $L^p$, $1\leq p<\infty$, preserving finiteness and continuity. This problem is strongly connected to the statistical…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-15 Pablo Koch-Medina , Cosimo Munari

We study risk-aware linear policy approximations for the optimal operation of an energy system with stochastic wind power, storage, and limited fuel. The resulting problem is a sequential decision-making problem with rolling forecasts. In…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-19 Thomas Mortimer , Robert Mieth

Credit ratings are widely used by investors as a screening device. We introduce and study several natural notions of risk consistency that promote prudent investment decisions in the framework of Choquet rating criteria. Three closely…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Nan Guo , Ruodu Wang , Chenxi Xia , Jingping Yang