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We investigate quotation and transaction activities in the foreign exchange market for every week during the period of June 2007 to December 2010. A scaling relationship between the mean values of number of quotations (or number of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-03 Aki-Hiro Sato , Takaki Hayashi , Janusz A. Hołyst

A quantitative check of weak efficiency in US dollar/German mark exchange rates is developed using high frequency data. We show the existence of long term return anomalies. We introduce a technique to measure the available information and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 R. Baviera , M. Pasquini , M. Serva , D. Vergni , A. Vulpiani

We discuss price variations distributions in foreign exchange markets, characterizing them both in calendar and business time frameworks. The price dynamics is found to be the result of two distinct processes, a multi-variance diffusion and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Michele Pasquini , Maurizio Serva

The Foreign Exchange market is a significant market for speculators, characterized by substantial transaction volumes and high volatility. Accurately predicting the directional movement of currency pairs is essential for formulating a sound…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-08 Kevin Cedric Guyard , Michel Deriaz

We investigate intra-day foreign exchange (FX) time series using the inverse statistic analysis developed in [1,2]. Specifically, we study the time-averaged distributions of waiting times needed to obtain a certain increase (decrease)…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2010-05-05 M. H. Jensen , A. Johansen , F. Petroni , I. Simonsen

We investigate triangular arbitrage within the spot foreign exchange market using high-frequency executable prices. We show that triangular arbitrage opportunities do exist, but that most have short durations and small magnitudes. We find…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-06 Daniel J. Fenn , Sam D. Howison , Mark McDonald , Stacy Williams , Neil F. Johnson

We introduce a deterministic dealer model which implements most of the empirical laws, such as fat tails in the price change distributions, long term memory of volatility and non-Poissonian intervals. We also clarify the causality between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Kenta Yamada , Hideki Takayasu , Misako Takayasu

We examine the novel problem of the estimation of transaction arrival processes in the intraday electricity markets. We model the inter-arrivals using multiple time-varying parametric densities based on the generalized F distribution…

General Economics · Economics 2019-12-03 Michał Narajewski , Florian Ziel

The definition of time is still an open question when one deals with high frequency time series. If time is simply the calendar time, prices can be modeled as continuous random processes and values resulting from transactions or given…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Luca Berardi , Maurizio Serva

This paper measures and compares the tail risks of limit and market orders using Extreme Value Theory. The analysis examines realised tail outcomes using the Dealing 2000-2 electronic broking system based on completed transactions rather…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-30 john cotter , kevin dowd

Dealers in foreign exchange markets provide bid and ask prices to their clients at which they are happy to buy and sell, respectively. To manage risk, dealers can skew their quotes and hedge in the interbank market. Hedging offers certainty…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-21 Alexander Barzykin

We introduce a method to infer lead-lag networks of agents' actions in complex systems. These networks open the way to both microscopic and macroscopic states prediction in such systems. We apply this method to trader-resolved data in the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-27 Damien Challet , Rémy Chicheportiche , Mehdi Lallouache , Serge Kassibrakis

We have presented a novel technique of detecting intermittencies in a financial time series of the foreign exchange rate data of U.S.- Euro dollar(US/EUR) using a combination of both statistical and spectral techniques. This has been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-08 A. N. Sekar Iyengar

We present a systematic study of various statistical characteristics of high-frequency returns from the foreign exchange market. This study is based on six exchange rates forming two triangles: EUR-GBP-USD and GBP-CHF-JPY. It is shown that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-24 Stanislaw Drozdz , Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka , Rafal Rak

The local Hurst exponent, a measure employed to detect the presence of dependence in a time series, may also be used to investigate the source of intraday variation observed in the returns in foreign exchange markets. Given that changes in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-10 Jonathan A. Batten , Craig A. Ellis , Warren P. Hogan

This work's purpose is to understand the dynamics of limit order books in order-driven markets. We try to illustrate a dynamical trading mechanism attached to the microstructure of limit order markets. We capture the iterative nature of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-13 Shilei Wang

Optimal execution, i.e., the determination of the most cost-effective way to trade volumes in continuous trading sessions, has been a topic of interest in the equity trading world for years. Electricity intraday trading slowly follows this…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-06 Christopher Kath , Florian Ziel

We analyse tick-by-tick data representing major cryptocurrencies traded on some different cryptocurrency trading platforms. We focus on such quantities like the inter-transaction times, the number of transactions in time unit, the traded…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-05 Jarosław Kwapień , Marcin Wątorek , Marija Bezbradica , Martin Crane , Tai Tan Mai , Stanisław Drożdż

We analyze tick data of yen-dollar exchange with a focus on its up and down movement. We show that there exists a rather particular conditional probability structure with such high frequency data. This result provides us with evidence to…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Toru Ohira , Naoya Sazuka , Kouhei Marumo , Tokiko Shimizu , Misako Takayasu , Hideki Takayasu

We study the long memory of order flow for each of three liquid currency pairs on a large electronic trading platform in the foreign exchange (FX) spot market. Due to the extremely high levels of market activity on the platform, and in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-23 Martin D. Gould , Mason A. Porter , Sam D. Howison
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