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We study a stochastic epidemic model consisting of elements (organisms in a community or cells in tissue) with fixed positions, in which damage or disease is transmitted by diffusing agents ("signals") emitted by infected individuals. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-05 Fernando P. Faria , Ronald Dickman

Many pathogens spread primarily via direct contact between infected and susceptible hosts. Thus, the patterns of contacts or contact network of a population fundamentally shapes the course of epidemics. While there is a robust and growing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-01 Shweta Bansal , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Burstiness, the tendency of interaction events to be heterogeneously distributed in time, is critical to information diffusion in physical and social systems. However, an analytical framework capturing the effect of burstiness on generic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-14 Samuel Unicomb , Gerardo Iñiguez , James P. Gleeson , Márton Karsai

The importation and subsequent establishment of novel pathogenic strains in a population is subject to a large degree of uncertainty due to the stochastic nature of the disease dynamics. Mathematical models need to take this stochasticity…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-02 Jacob Curran-Sebastian , Frederik Mølkjær Andersen , Samir Bhatt

Classical compartmental models in epidemiology often assume a homogeneous population for simplicity, which neglects the inherent heterogeneity among individuals. This assumption frequently leads to inaccurate predictions when applied to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-09 Ning Jiang , Weiqi Chu , Yao Li

Quantifying how spatial disorder affects the movement of a diffusing particle or agent is fundamental to target search studies. When diffusion occurs on a network, that is on a highly disordered environment, we lack the mathematical tools…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-15 Daniel Marris , Chittaranjan Hens , Subrata Ghosh , Luca Giuggioli

Several systems can be modeled as sets of interconnected networks or networks with multiple types of connections, here generally called multilayer networks. Spreading processes such as information propagation among users of an online social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-03 Mostafa Salehi , Rajesh Sharma , Moreno Marzolla , Matteo Magnani , Payam Siyari , Danilo Montesi

Random walk is one of the basic mechanisms found in many network applications. We study the epidemic spreading dynamics driven by biased random walks on complex networks. In our epidemic model, each time infected nodes constantly spread…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-22 Cunlai Pu , Siyuan Li , Jian Yang

Human mobility plays a key role on the transformation of local disease outbreaks into global pandemics. Thus, the inclusion of human movements into epidemic models has become mandatory for understanding current epidemic episodes and to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-22 David Soriano-Paños , Gourab Ghoshal , Alex Arenas , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

In the context of epidemic spreading, many intricate dynamical patterns can emerge due to the cooperation of different types of pathogens or the interaction between the disease spread and other failure propagation mechanism. To unravel such…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-07 Bo Li , David Saad

We show how one can trace in a systematic way the coarse-grained solutions of individual-based stochastic epidemic models evolving on heterogeneous complex networks with respect to their topological characteristics. In particular, we have…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Andreas I. Reppas , Konstantinos Spiliotis , Constantinos Siettos

We study the coevolutionary dynamics of network topology and social complex contagion using a threshold cascade model. Our coevolving threshold model incorporates two mechanisms: the threshold mechanism for the spreading of a minority state…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-16 Byungjoon Min , Maxi San Miguel

Network epidemiology often assumes that the relationships defining the social network of a population are static. The dynamics of relationships is only taken indirectly into account, by assuming that the relevant information to study…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-04-09 Sebastian Risau-Gusman

The collective behaviour of people adopting an innovation, product or online service is commonly interpreted as a spreading phenomenon throughout the fabric of society. This process is arguably driven by social influence, social learning…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-30 Gerardo Iñiguez , Zhongyuan Ruan , Kimmo Kaski , János Kertész , Márton Karsai

Current epidemics in the biological and social domains are challenging the standard assumptions of mathematical contagion models. Chief among them are the complex patterns of transmission caused by heterogeneous group sizes and infection…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-03 Guillaume St-Onge , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Antoine Allard

A key problem in modelling the evolution dynamics of infectious diseases is the mathematical representation of the mechanism of transmission of the contagion. Models with a finite number of subpopulations can be described via systems of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-09 Sebastian Anita , Vincenzo Capasso

The availability of new data sources on human mobility is opening new avenues for investigating the interplay of social networks, human mobility and dynamical processes such as epidemic spreading. Here we analyze data on the time-resolved…

We study binary state dynamics on a network where each node acts in response to the average state of its neighborhood. Allowing varying amounts of stochasticity in both the network and node responses, we find different outcomes in random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-09 Kameron Decker Harris , Christopher M. Danforth , Peter Sheridan Dodds

The dynamic spatial redistribution of individuals is a key driving force of various spatiotemporal phenomena on geographical scales. It can synchronise populations of interacting species, stabilise them, and diversify gene pools [1-3].…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 D. Brockmann , L. Hufnagel , T. Geisel

Contagious processes, such as spread of infectious diseases, social behaviors, or computer viruses, affect biological, social, and technological systems. Epidemic models for large populations and finite populations on networks have been…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Renato Pagliara , Naomi E. Leonard