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We study product regular conditional probabilities under measures of two coordinates with respect to the second coordinate that are weakly continuous on the support of the marginal of the second coordinate. Assuming that there exists a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-18 Willem van Zuijlen

We show an extension of Sanov's theorem on large deviations, controlling the tail probabilities of i.i.d. random variables with matching concentration and anti-concentration bounds. This result has a general scope, applies to samples of any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Akshay Balsubramani

We establish a large deviation theorem for the empirical spectral distribution of random covariance matrices whose entries are independent random variables with mean 0, variance 1 and having controlled forth moments. Some new properties of…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Tien-Cuong Dinh , Duc-Viet Vu

We derive a large deviation principle for families of random variables in the basin of attraction of spectrally positive stable distributions by proving a uniform version of the Tauberian theorem for Laplace-Stieltjes transforms. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Giampaolo Cristadoro , Gaia Pozzoli

Under a Zariski density assumption, we extend the classical theorem of Cramer on large deviations of sums of iid real random variables to random matrix products.

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Cagri Sert

In Stein's method, the exchangeable pair approach is commonly used to estimate the approximation errors in normal approximation. In this paper, we establish a Cram\'er-type moderate deviation theorem of normal approximation for unbounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-26 Zhuo-Song Zhang

The classical Cram\'er-Rao inequality gives a lower bound for the variance of a unbiased estimator of an unknown parameter, in some statistical model of a random process. In this note we rewrite the statment and proof of the bound using…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-10-27 Anthony D. Blaom

Two-sample $U$-statistics are widely used in a broad range of applications, including those in the fields of biostatistics and econometrics. In this paper, we establish sharp Cram\'{e}r-type moderate deviation theorems for Studentized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Jinyuan Chang , Qi-Man Shao , Wen-Xin Zhou

Cram\'er's moderate deviations give a quantitative estimate for the relative error of the normal approximation and provide theoretical justifications for many estimator used in statistics. In this paper, we establish self-normalized…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-03 Xiequan Fan , Qi-Man Shao

This paper is aimed to study the ergodic short-term behaviour of discretizations of circle expanding maps. More precisely, we prove some asymptotics of the distance between the $t$-th iterate of Lebesgue measure by the dynamics $f$ and the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-09 Pierre-Antoine Guihéneuf , Maurizio Monge

This paper features a Cram\'er's theorem for finite-state Markov chains indexed by rooted $d$-trees, obtained via the method of types in the classical analysis of large deviations. Along with the theorem comes two applications: an…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Jung-Chao Ban , Guan-Yu Lai , Yu-Liang Wu

By using the conjugate distribution technique of Cram\'er, we obtain some expansions of large deviation probabilities for martingales with differences satisfying the conditional Bernstein's condition. The expansions are of the same order as…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

Given a finite typed rooted tree $T$ with $n$ vertices, the {\em empirical subtree measure} is the uniform measure on the $n$ typed subtrees of $T$ formed by taking all descendants of a single vertex. We prove a large deviation principle in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Amir Dembo , Peter Morters , Scott Sheffield

The reflected process of a random walk or L\'evy process arises in many areas of applied probability, and a question of particular interest is how the tail of the distribution of the heights of the excursions away from zero behaves…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-09 R. A. Doney , Philip S. Griffin

In this paper we consider the statistics of repeated measurements on the output of a quantum Markov chain. We establish a large deviations result analogous to Sanov's theorem for the empirical measure associated to finite sequences of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-22 Merlijn van Horssen , Madalin Guta

We consider high-dimensional estimation problems where the number of parameters diverges with the sample size. General conditions are established for consistency, uniqueness, and asymptotic normality in both unpenalized and penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Jana Gauss , Thomas Nagler

We provide a complete asymptotic distribution theory for clustered data with a large number of independent groups, generalizing the classic laws of large numbers, uniform laws, central limit theory, and clustered covariance matrix…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-03 Bruce E. Hansen , Seojeong Lee

In this article, we consider limit theorems for some weighted type random sums (or discrete rough integrals). We introduce a general transfer principle from limit theorems for unweighted sums to limit theorems for weighted sums via rough…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Yanghui Liu , Samy Tindel

We prove large and moderate deviation principles for the distribution of an empirical mean conditioned by the value of the sum of discrete i.i.d. random variables. Some applications for combinatoric problems are discussed.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-11 Fabrice Gamboa , Thierry Klein , Clémentine Prieur

Establishing a Large Deviation Principle (LDP) proves to be a powerful result for a vast number of stochastic models in many application areas of probability theory. The key object of an LDP is the large deviations rate function, from which…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-23 Ken R. Duffy , Brendan D. Williamson