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Infectious disease modeling is used to forecast epidemics and assess the effectiveness of intervention strategies. Although the core assumption of mass-action models of homogeneously mixed population is often implausible, they are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-29 Thien-Minh Le , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Epidemiological processes are studied within a recently proposed hierarchical network model using the susceptible-infected-refractory dynamics of an epidemic. Within the network model, a population may be characterized by $H$ independent…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-06-24 Dafang Zheng , P. M. Hui , Steffen Trimper , Bo Zheng

Records of social interactions provide us with new sources of data for understanding how interaction patterns affect collective dynamics. Such human activity patterns are often bursty, i.e., they consist of short periods of intense activity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Taro Takaguchi , Naoki Masuda , Petter Holme

A problem closely related to epidemiology, where a subgraph of 'infected' links is defined inside a larger network, is investigated. This subgraph is generated from the underlying network by a random variable, which decides whether a link…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-07 M Cotacallapa , M O Hase

Many progresses in the understanding of epidemic spreading models have been obtained thanks to numerous modeling efforts and analytical and numerical studies, considering host populations with very different structures and properties,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-02 Antoine Moinet , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor Satorras

Infection dynamics have been studied extensively on complex networks, yielding insight into the effects of heterogeneity in contact patterns on disease spread. Somewhat separately, metapopulations have provided a paradigm for modeling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-08-09 Jason Hindes , Sarabjeet Singh , Christopher R. Myers , David J. Schneider

Epidemiological models increasingly rely on self-reported behavioral data such as vaccination status, mask usage, and social distancing adherence to forecast disease transmission and assess the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Yiqi Su , Christo Kurisummoottil Thomas , Walid Saad , Bud Mishra , Naren Ramakrishnan

The endogenous adaptation of agents, that may adjust their local contact network in response to the risk of being infected, can have the perverse effect of increasing the overall systemic infectiveness of a disease. We study a dynamical…

General Economics · Economics 2021-03-29 Alessio Muscillo , Paolo Pin , Tiziano Razzolini

Recently, motivated by the pioneer works that reveal the small-world effect and scale-free property of various real-life networks, many scientists devote themselves into studying complex networks. One of the ultimate goals is to understand…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Tao Zhou , Zhong-Qian Fu , Bing-Hong Wang

The availability of new data sources on human mobility is opening new avenues for investigating the interplay of social networks, human mobility and dynamical processes such as epidemic spreading. Here we analyze data on the time-resolved…

Interaction patterns among individuals play vital roles in spreading infectious diseases. Understanding these patterns and integrating their impact in modeling diffusion dynamics of infectious diseases are important for epidemiological…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-04-02 Md Shahzamal , Raja Jurdak , Bernard Mans , Ahmad El Shoghri , Frank De Hoog

A simple, but ``classical``, stochastic model for epidemic spread in a finite, but large, population is studied. The progress of the epidemic can be divided into three different phases that requires different tools to analyse. Initially the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-29 Åke Svensson

This paper investigates the effects of vaccination on the dynamics of infectious disease, which is spreading in a population concurrently with awareness. The model considers contributions to the overall awareness from a global information…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-14 G. O. Agaba , Y. N. Kyrychko , K. B. Blyuss

In this paper, we propose a Boltzmann-type kinetic model of the spreading of an infectious disease on a network. The latter describes the connections among countries, cities or districts depending on the spatial scale of interest. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-25 Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

The spreading of epidemics is very much determined by the structure of the contact network, which may be impacted by the mobility dynamics of the individuals themselves. In confined scenarios where a small, closed population spends most of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-09 Clara Granell , Peter J. Mucha

Network epidemiology has become a core framework for investigating the role of human contact patterns in the spreading of infectious diseases. In network epidemiology represents the contact structure as a network of nodes (individuals)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-06-10 Petter Holme

It is often useful to represent the infectious dynamics of mobile agents by metapopulation models. In such a model, metapopulations form a static network, and individuals migrate from one metapopulation to another. It is known that…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-09-09 Naoki Masuda

Contagion processes on networks, including disease spreading, information diffusion, or social behaviors propagation, can be modeled as simple contagion, i.e. involving one connection at a time, or as complex contagion, in which multiple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-19 Giulia Cencetti , Diego Andrés Contreras , Marco Mancastroppa , Alain Barrat

We study epidemic arrival times in meta-population disease models through the lens of front propagation into unstable states. We demonstrate that several features of invasion fronts in the PDE context are also relevant to the network case.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-19 Ashley Armbruster , Matt Holzer , Noah Roselli , Lena Underwood

Two crucial elements facilitate the understanding and control of communicable disease spread within a social setting. These components are, the underlying contact structure among individuals that determines the pattern of disease…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-29 Pierre-Andre Noel , Bahman Davoudi , Louis J. Dube , Robert C. Brunham , Babak Pourbohloul