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To improve the accuracy of network-based SIS models we introduce and study a multilayer representation of a time-dependent network. In particular, we assume that individuals have their long-term (permanent) contacts that are always present,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-12-13 Aram Vajdi , David Juher , Joan Saldana , Caterina Scoglio

We introduce and study a model stemming from game theory for the spread of an epidemic throughout a given population. Each agent is allowed to choose an action whose value dictates to what extent they limit their social interactions, if at…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-20 Sayar Karmakar , Moumanti Podder , Souvik Roy , Soumyarup Sadhukhan

The increase in the connectivity between hosts in recent times has facilitated the emergence of more aggressive mutant viral strains, making their containment and eradication significantly more challenging compared to the original variants.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-27 Javier López-Pedrares , M. Elena Vázquez-Cendón , Alberto P. Muñuzuri

In this work, the aim is to study the spread of a contagious disease and information on a multilayer social system. The main idea is to find a criterion under which the adoption of the spreading information blocks or suppresses the epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-16 Semra Gunduc

To simplify mathematical models of disease spread, we often assume equal contact rates among hosts, but real-world scenarios differ. Network-based frameworks help capture these complexities and structural variations in actual systems. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-07-03 Saswata Das , Mohammad Hossein Samaei , Caterina Scoglio

Infectious disease remains, despite centuries of work to control and mitigate its effects, a major problem facing humanity. This paper reviews the mathematical modelling of infectious disease epidemics on networks, starting from the…

Popular Physics · Physics 2015-06-03 Thomas House

The study of how diseases spread has greatly benefited from advances in network modeling. Recently, a class of networks known as multilayer graphs has been shown to describe more accurately many real systems, making it possible to address…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-16 Xiangrong Wang , Alberto Aleta , Dan Lu , Yamir Moreno

Nowadays, one of the challenges we face when carrying out modeling of epidemic spreading is to develop methods to control disease transmission. In this article we study how the spreading of knowledge of a disease affects the propagation of…

Random walk is one of the basic mechanisms found in many network applications. We study the epidemic spreading dynamics driven by biased random walks on complex networks. In our epidemic model, each time infected nodes constantly spread…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-22 Cunlai Pu , Siyuan Li , Jian Yang

Mathematical disease modelling has long operated under the assumption that any one infectious disease is caused by one transmissible pathogen spreading among a population. This paradigm has been useful in simplifying the biological reality…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-02 Blake J. M. Williams , Guillaume St-Onge , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

The success of a vaccination program is crucially dependent on its adoption by a critical fraction of the population, as the resulting herd immunity prevents future outbreaks of an epidemic. However, the effectiveness of a campaign can…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-07-02 Anupama Sharma , Shakti N. Menon , V. Sasidevan , Sitabhra Sinha

Models of epidemic spreading on complex networks have attracted great attention among researchers in physics, mathematics, and epidemiology due to their success in predicting and controlling scenarios of epidemic spreading in real-world…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-09 Wei Wang , Ming Tang , H. Eugene Stanley , Lidia A. Braunstein

Comparing with single networks, the multiplex networks bring two main effects on the spreading process among individuals. First, the pathogen or information can be transmitted to more individuals through different layers at one time, which…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-29 Ming Li , Run-Ran Liu , Dan Peng , Chun-Xiao Jia , Bing-Hong Wang

The study proposes a modeling framework for investigating the disease dynamics with adaptive human behavior during a disease outbreak, considering the impacts of both local observations and global information. One important application…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-26 Xinwu Qian , Jiawei Xue , Satish V. Ukkusuri

We present a thorough inspection of the dynamical behavior of epidemic phenomena in populations with complex and heterogeneous connectivity patterns. We show that the growth of the epidemic prevalence is virtually instantaneous in all…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Marc Barthelemy , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

Mathematical models of infectious diseases, which are in principle analytically tractable, use two general approaches. The first approach, generally known as compartmental modeling, addresses the time evolution of disease propagation at the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-09-16 Pierre-André Noël , Bahman Davoudi , Robert C. Brunham , Louis J. Dubé , Babak Pourbohloul

The Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model is a canonical model for emerging disease outbreaks. Such outbreaks are naturally modeled as taking place on networks. A theoretical challenge in network epidemiology is the dynamic correlations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-29 Chao-Ran Cai , Zhi-Xi Wu , Michael Z. Q. Chen , Petter Holme , Jian-Yue Guan

In this paper, we aim to understand the transient dynamics of a susceptible-infected (SI) epidemic spreading process on a large network. The SI model has been largely overlooked in the literature, while it is naturally a better fit for…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-05-21 Chul-Ho Lee , Srinivas Tenneti , Do Young Eun

Our work stems from the consideration that the spreading of a disease is modulated by the individual's perception of the infected neighborhood and his/her strategy to avoid being infected as well. We introduced a general ``cellular agent''…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-01-20 Luca Sguanci , Pietro Lio' , Franco Bagnoli

Most infectious diseases spread on a dynamic network of human interactions. Recent studies of social dynamics have provided evidence that spreading patterns may depend strongly on detailed micro-dynamics of the social system. We have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-23 Arkadiusz Stopczynski , Alex Sandy Pentland , Sune Lehmann