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The Weibull distribution is one of the most used tools in reliability analysis. In this paper, assuming a Bayesian approach, we propose necessary and sufficient conditions to verify when improper priors lead to proper posteriors for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Eduardo Ramos , Pedro L. Ramos

It is well-known that assumptions of monotonicity in size-bias couplings may be used to prove simple, yet powerful, Poisson approximation results. Here we show how these assumptions may be relaxed, establishing explicit Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Fraser Daly , Oliver Johnson

We derive a new closed-form variance-adaptive confidence sequence (CS) for estimating the average conditional mean of a sequence of bounded random variables. Empirically, it yields the tightest closed-form CS we have found for tracking…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-25 Ben Chugg , Aaditya Ramdas

Using coupling techniques based on Stein's method for probability approximation, we revisit classical variance bounding inequalities of Chernoff, Cacoullos, Chen and Klaassen. Taking advantage of modern coupling techniques allows us to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Fraser Daly , Fatemeh Ghaderinezhad , Christophe Ley , Yvik Swan

New nonuniform Berry--Esseen-type bounds for sums of independent random variables are obtained, motivated by recent studies concerning such bounds for nonlinear statistics. The proofs are based on the Chen--Shao concentration techniques…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-06 Iosif Pinelis

In this paper, we prove a Berry--Esseen bound with optimal order for self-normalized sums of local dependent random variables under some mild dependence conditions. The proof is based on Stein's method and a randomized concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-09 Zhuo-Song Zhang

Exact upper and lower bounds on the ratio $\mathsf{E}w(\mathbf{X}-\mathbf{v})/\mathsf{E}w(\mathbf{X})$ for a centered Gaussian random vector $\mathbf{X}$ in $\mathbb{R}^n$, as well as bounds on the rate of change of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-20 Iosif Pinelis

The trimmed mean of $n$ scalar random variables from a distribution $P$ is the variant of the standard sample mean where the $k$ smallest and $k$ largest values in the sample are discarded for some parameter $k$. In this paper, we look at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Roberto I. Oliveira , Paulo Orenstein , Zoraida F. Rico

Let $(\xi_i)_{i=1,...,n}$ be a sequence of independent and symmetric random variables. We consider the upper bounds on tail probabilities of self-normalized deviations $$ \mathbf{P} \Big( \max_{1\leq k \leq n} \sum_{i=1}^{k} |\xi_i|\big/…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Xiequan Fan

In experiment, the multiplicity distributions of inelastic processes are truncated due to finite energy, insufficient statistics or special choice of events. It is shown that the moments of such truncated multiplicity distributions possess…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-06-25 I. M. Dremin , V. A. Nechitailo

The article addresses a long-standing open problem on the justification of using variational Bayes methods for parameter estimation. We provide general conditions for obtaining optimal risk bounds for point estimates acquired from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Yun Yang

We show how to compute lower bounds for the supremum Bayes error if the class-conditional distributions must satisfy moment constraints, where the supremum is with respect to the unknown class-conditional distributions. Our approach makes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-01-31 Bela A. Frigyik , Maya R. Gupta

A nonuniform version of the Berry-Esseen bound has been proved. The most important feature of the new bound is a monotonically decreasing function C(|t|) instead of the universal constant C=29.1174: C(|t|)<C if |t| > 3.2, and C(|t|) tends…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-04-06 Vladimir Nikulin

Uniform and nonuniform Berry--Esseen (BE) bounds of optimal orders on the closeness to normality for general abstract nonlinear statistics are given, which are then used to obtain optimal bounds on the rate of convergence in the delta…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Iosif Pinelis , Raymond Molzon

We consider the well-known problem of the computation of the (limiting) time-dependent performance characteristics of one-dimensional continuous-time birth and death processes on $\mathbb{Z}$ with time varying and possible state-dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-18 Yacov Satin , Rostislav Razumchik , Alexander Zeifman , Ivan Kovalev

This paper provides a unified framework for analyzing tensor estimation problems that allow for nonlinear observations, heteroskedastic noise, and covariate information. We study a general class of high-dimensional models where each…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Riccardo Rossetti , Galen Reeves

We provide a lower bound on the probability that a binomial random variable is exceeding its mean. Our proof employs estimates on the mean absolute deviation and the tail conditional expectation of binomial random variables.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-22 Christos Pelekis , Jan Ramon

We obtain the best possible upper bounds for the moments of a single order statistic from independent, non-negative random variables, in terms of the population mean. The main result covers the independent identically distributed case.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-14 Nickos Papadatos

In this paper, we establish Berry--Esseen bounds for both self-normalized and non-self-normalized sums of locally dependent random variables. The proofs are based on Stein's method together with a concentration inequality approach. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Zhi-Jun Cai , Qi-Man Shao , Zhuo-Song Zhang

In this article we establish exponential moment bounds, moment bounds in fractional order smoothness spaces, a uniform H\"older continuity in time, and strong convergence rates for a class of fully discrete exponential Euler-type numerical…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Arnulf Jentzen , Felix Lindner , Primož Pušnik