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In this manuscript we present a comprehensive study on the multifractal properties of high-frequency price fluctuations and instantaneous volatility of the equities that compose Dow Jones Industrial Average. The analysis consists about…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Jeferson de Souza , Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

The probability distribution of log-returns for financial time series, sampled at high frequency, is the basis for any further developments in quantitative finance. In this letter, we present experimental results based on a large set of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-11 Laurent Schoeffel

This paper explores the effectiveness of high-frequency options trading strategies enhanced by advanced portfolio optimization techniques, investigating their ability to consistently generate positive returns compared to traditional long or…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-19 Sid Bhatia

Many real-world time series exhibit strong periodic structures arising from physical laws, human routines, or seasonal cycles. However, modern deep forecasting models often fail to capture these recurring patterns due to spectral bias and a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Lijun Sun

Prior to adjustment, accounting conditions between national accounts data sets are frequently violated. Benchmarking is the procedure used by economic agencies to make such data sets consistent. It typically involves adjusting a high…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-28 Homesh Sayal , John A. D. Aston , Duncan Elliott , Hernando Ombao

We present a method for enhancing the cross-correlation of gravitational wave signals eventually present in data streams containing otherwise uncorrelated noise. Such method makes use of the wavelet decomposition to cast the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-05-28 R. Terenzi , R. Sturani

Maximum likelihood estimation applied to high-frequency data allows us to quantify intermittency in the fluctu- ations of asset prices. From time records as short as one month these methods permit extraction of a meaningful intermittency…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Martin Rypdal , Espen Sirnes , Ola Løvsletten , Kristoffer Rypdal

A method for constructing non-uniform filter banks is presented. Starting from a uniform system of translates, generated by a prototype filter, a non-uniform covering of the frequency axis is obtained by composition with a warping function.…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Nicki Holighaus , Christoph Wiesmeyr , Zdeněk Průša

We present an option pricing formula for European options in a stochastic volatility model. In particular, the volatility process is defined using a fractional integral of a diffusion process and both the stock price and the volatility…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-29 Marc Lagunas-Merino , Salvador Ortiz-Latorre

Principal component analysis has been a main tool in multivariate analysis for estimating a low dimensional linear subspace that explains most of the variability in the data. However, in high-dimensional regimes, naive estimates of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Jamshid Namdari , Amita Manatunga , Fabio Ferrarelli , Robert Krafty

Current methods for determining whether a time series exhibits fractal structure (FS) rely on subjective assessments on estimators of the Hurst exponent (H). Here, I introduce the Bayesian Assessment of Scaling, an analytical framework for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Fermín Moscoso del Prado Martín

The usage of a spot volatility estimate based on a volatility decomposition in a time-changed price-model according to the trading times is investigated. In this model clock-time volatility splits up into the product of tick-time volatility…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Sophon Tunyavetchakit

Particulate matter data now include various particle sizes, which often manifest as a collection of curves observed sequentially over time. When considering 51 distinct particle sizes, these curves form a high-dimensional functional time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Han Lin Shang , Israel Martinez Hernandez

As the Chinese stock market continues to evolve and its market structure grows increasingly complex, traditional quantitative trading methods are facing escalating challenges. Particularly, due to policy uncertainty and the frequent market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-18 Bohan Ma , Yushan Xue , Yuan Lu , Jing Chen

In this research the technology of complex Markov chains is applied to predict financial time series. The main distinction of complex or high-order Markov Chains and simple first-order ones is the existing of aftereffect or memory. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-23 Vladimir Soloviev , Vladimir Saptsin , Dmitry Chabanenko

We reconsider the problem of option pricing using historical probability distributions. We first discuss how the risk-minimisation scheme proposed recently is an adequate starting point under the realistic assumption that price increments…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

Persistence is studied in a financial context by mapping the time evolution of the values of the shares quoted on the London Financial Times Stock Exchange 100 index (FTSE 100) onto Ising spins. By following the time dependence of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 S. Jain , P. Buckley

Multivariate processes with long-range dependent properties are found in a large number of applications including finance, geophysics and neuroscience. For real data applications, the correlation between time series is crucial. Usual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-02 Sophie Achard , Irène Gannaz

Based on empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model is proposed with volatility driven by fractional noise. The model is used to obtain a risk-neutrality option pricing formula and an option pricing equation.

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Rui Vilela Mendes , Maria Joao Oliveira

It is shown that any convolution operator in the time domain can be represented exactly as a multiplication operator in the time-scale (wavelet) domain. The Mellin transform gives a one-to-one correspondence between frequency filters…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Gerald Kaiser
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