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In recent years forecasting activities have become a very important tool for designing and optimising large scale structure surveys. To predict the performance of such surveys, the Fisher matrix formalism is frequently used as a fast and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-05-12 S. Yahia-Cherif , A. Blanchard , S. Camera , S. Ilić , K. Markovič , A. Pourtsidou , Z. Sakr , D. Sapone , I. Tutusaus

We present the new method DALI (Derivative Approximation for LIkelihoods) for reconstructing and forecasting posteriors. DALI extends the Fisher Matrix formalism but allows for a much wider range of posterior shapes. While the Fisher Matrix…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-02-10 Elena Sellentin , Miguel Quartin , Luca Amendola

We develop a general formalism for analysing parameter information from non-Gaussian cosmic fields. The method can be adapted to include the nonlinear effects in galaxy redshift surveys, weak lensing surveys and cosmic velocity field…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 Andy Taylor , Peter Watts

We study the information content of summary statistics built from the multi-scale topology of large-scale structures on primordial non-Gaussianity of the local and equilateral type. We use halo catalogs generated from numerical N-body…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-10-05 Matteo Biagetti , Juan Calles , Lina Castiblanco , Alex Cole , Jorge Noreña

Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian nonparametric generative models that provide interpretability of hyperparameters, admit closed-form expressions for training and inference, and are able to accurately represent uncertainty. To model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-21 Gonzalo Rios , Felipe Tobar

The Fisher-matrix formalism is used routinely in the literature on gravitational-wave detection to characterize the parameter-estimation performance of gravitational-wave measurements, given parametrized models of the waveforms, and…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Michele Vallisneri

Recently, several studies proposed non-linear transformations, such as a logarithmic or Gaussianization transformation, as efficient tools to recapture information about the (Gaussian) initial conditions. During non-linear evolution, part…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-16 Julien Carron , Istvan Szapudi

The Fisher-Rao metric from Information Geometry is related to phase transition phenomena in classical statistical mechanics. Several studies propose to extend the use of Information Geometry to study more general phase transitions in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-05-04 Omri Har Shemesh , Rick Quax , Alfons G. Hoekstra , Peter M. A. Sloot

Estimation of parameters that obey specific constraints is crucial in statistics and machine learning; for example, when parameters are required to satisfy boundedness, monotonicity, or linear inequalities. Traditional approaches impose…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Lachlan Astfalck , Deborshee Sen , Sayan Patra , Edward Cripps , David Dunson

An observational program focused on the high redshift ($2<z<6$) Universe has the opportunity to dramatically improve over upcoming LSS and CMB surveys on measurements of both the standard cosmological model and its extensions. Using a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-02-04 Noah Sailer , Emanuele Castorina , Simone Ferraro , Martin White

Box-Cox power transformation is a commonly used methodology to transform the distribution of a non-normal data into a normal one. Estimation of the transformation parameter is crucial in this methodology. In this study, the estimation…

Computation · Statistics 2014-01-17 Ozgur Asar , Ozlem Ilk , Osman Dag

The problem of transformation selection is thoroughly treated from a Bayesian perspective. Several families of transformations are considered with a view to achieving normality: the Box-Cox, the Modulus, the Yeo & Johnson and the Dual…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-13 Efstratia Charitidou , Dimitris Fouskakis , Ioannis Ntzoufras

The planning and design of future experiments rely heavily on forecasting to assess the potential scientific value provided by a hypothetical set of measurements. The Fisher information matrix, due to its convenient properties and low…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-10 Joseph Ryan , Brandon Stevenson , Cynthia Trendafilova , Joel Meyers

Focusing on the well motivated aperture mass statistics $\Map$, we study the possibility of constraining cosmological parameters using future space based SNAP class weak lensing missions. Using completely analytical results we construct the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dipak Munshi , Patrick Valageas

It is well known that the Fisher information induces a Riemannian geometry on parametric families of probability density functions. Following recent work, we consider the nonparametric generalization of the Fisher geometry. The resulting…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-16 Andrew Holbrook , Shiwei Lan , Jeffrey Streets , Babak Shahbaba

Latent space geometry has shown itself to provide a rich and rigorous framework for interacting with the latent variables of deep generative models. The existing theory, however, relies on the decoder being a Gaussian distribution as its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Georgios Arvanitidis , Miguel González-Duque , Alison Pouplin , Dimitris Kalatzis , Søren Hauberg

We re-examine a genuine power of weak lensing bispectrum tomography for constraining cosmological parameters, when combined with the power spectrum tomography, based on the Fisher information matrix formalism. To account for the full…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-06-21 Issha Kayo , Masahiro Takada

We study how well the Gaussian approximation is valid for computing the covariance matrices of the convergence power and bispectrum in weak gravitational lensing analyses. We focus on its impact on the cosmological parameter estimations by…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 Masanori Sato , Takahiro Nishimichi

Gravitational-wave astronomers often wish to characterize the expected parameter-estimation accuracy of future observations. The Fisher matrix provides a lower bound on the spread of the maximum-likelihood estimator across noise…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2011-11-08 Michele Vallisneri

This paper considers the posterior contraction of non-parametric Bayesian inference on non-homogeneous Poisson processes. We consider the quality of inference on a rate function $\lambda$, given non-identically distributed realisations,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-26 James A. Grant , David S. Leslie