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Related papers: Bayesian versus frequentist upper limits

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Bayesian reasoning is applied to the data by the ROG Collaboration, in which gravitational wave (g.w.) signals are searched for in a coincidence experiment between Explorer and Nautilus. The use of Bayesian reasoning allows, under well…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-10 Pia Astone , Giulio D'Agostini , Sabrina D'Antonio

Gravitational wave background results from the superposition of gravitational waves generated from all sources across the Universe. Previous efforts on detecting such a background with pulsar timing arrays assume it is an isotropic Gaussian…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-23 Xihao Deng

The article reviews the statistical theory of signal detection in application to analysis of deterministic gravitational-wave signals in the noise of a detector. Statistical foundations for the theory of signal detection and parameter…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-11-10 Piotr Jaranowski , Andrzej Królak

Bayesian inference requires specification of a single, precise prior distribution, whereas frequentist inference only accommodates a vacuous prior. Since virtually every real-world application falls somewhere in between these two extremes,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Ryan Martin

Don Fraser has given an interesting account of the agreements and disagreements between Bayesian posterior probabilities and confidence levels. In this comment I discuss some cases where the lack of such agreement is extreme. I then discuss…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-06 Larry Wasserman

Extended sources of the stochastic gravitational backgrounds have been conventionally searched on the spherical harmonics bases. The analysis during the previous observing runs by the ground-based gravitational wave detectors, such LIGO and…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-08 Leo Tsukada , Santiago Jaraba , Deepali Agarwal , Erik Floden

Statistics comes in two main flavors: frequentist and Bayesian. For historical and technical reasons, frequentist statistics have traditionally dominated empirical data analysis, and certainly remain prevalent in empirical software…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Carlo A. Furia , Robert Feldt , Richard Torkar

Bayesian inference gets its name from *Bayes's theorem*, expressing posterior probabilities for hypotheses about a data generating process as the (normalized) product of prior probabilities and a likelihood function. But Bayesian inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Thomas J. Loredo , Robert L. Wolpert

We currently lack good waveform models for many gravitational wave sources. Examples where models are lacking include neutron star post merger signals, core collapse supernovae, and signals of unknown origin. Wavelet based techniques have…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-04-19 Toral Gupta , Neil Cornish

When searching for a new resonance somewhere in a possible mass range, the significance of observing a local excess of events must take into account the probability of observing such an excess anywhere in the range. This is the so called…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-03-17 Eilam Gross , Ofer Vitells

Observational astrophysics consists of making inferences about the Universe by comparing data and models. The credible intervals placed on model parameters are often as important as the maximum a posteriori probability values, as the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-15 Will J. Percival , Oliver Friedrich , Elena Sellentin , Alan Heavens

A common task in physics and astronomy is studying which of the competing hypotheses the data prefer. This is usually done by computing the Bayes factor between the two hypotheses, and either interpreting it in terms of the posterior odds…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-05-12 Ankur Barsode

There are two main opposing schools of statistical reasoning, Frequentist and Bayesian approaches. Until recent days, the frequentist or classical approach has dominated the scientific research, but Bayesianism has reappeared with a strong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Jordi Vallverdú

Signal processing makes extensive use of point estimators and accompanying error bounds. These work well up until the likelihood function has two or more high peaks. When it is important for an estimator to remain reliable, it becomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Ning Xu , Christopher M. Foster , Jonathan H. Manton

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for evaluating the effects of changes to real-world systems. Data in these tests may be difficult to collect and outcomes may have high variance, resulting in potentially large measurement error.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-27 Benjamin Letham , Brian Karrer , Guilherme Ottoni , Eytan Bakshy

When searching for gravitational waves in the data from ground-based gravitational wave detectors it is common to use a detection threshold to reduce the number of background events which are unlikely to be the signals of interest. However,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-01-03 C. Messenger , J. Veitch

Bayesian inference of gravitational wave signals is subject to systematic error due to modelling uncertainty in waveform signal models, coined approximants. A growing collection of approximants are available which use different approaches…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2020-03-25 Gregory Ashton , Sebastian Khan

While many studies have previously conducted direct comparisons between results obtained from frequentist and Bayesian models, our research introduces a novel perspective by examining these models in the context of a small dataset…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-19 Georgios P. Georgiou

Future searches for a gravitational-wave background using Earth-based gravitational-wave detectors might be impacted by correlated noise sources. A well known example are the Schumann resonances, which are extensively studied in the context…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-04-20 Kamiel Janssens , Thomas A. Callister , Nelson Christensen , Michael W. Coughlin , Ioannis Michaloliakos , Jishnu Suresh , Nick van Remortel

When looking for gravitational wave signals from known pulsars, targets have been treated using independent searches. Here we use a hierarchical Bayesian framework to combine observations from individual sources for two purposes: to produce…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-12 M. Pitkin , C. Messenger , X. Fan