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This paper presents an empirical study regarding training probabilistic neural networks using training objectives derived from PAC-Bayes bounds. In the context of probabilistic neural networks, the output of training is a probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-23 María Pérez-Ortiz , Omar Rivasplata , John Shawe-Taylor , Csaba Szepesvári

Variable selection and classification are common objectives in the analysis of high-dimensional data. Most such methods make distributional assumptions that may not be compatible with the diverse families of distributions data can take. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-28 Weichang Yu , Lamiae Azizi , John T. Ormerod

Options have provided a field of much study because of the complexity involved in pricing them. The Black-Scholes equations were developed to price options but they are only valid for European styled options. There is added complexity when…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Michael Maio Pires , Tshilidzi Marwala

This article studies Bayesian model averaging (BMA) in the context of competing expensive computer models in a typical nuclear physics setup. While it is well known that BMA accounts for the additional uncertainty of the model itself, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-26 Vojtech Kejzlar , Léo Neufcourt , Taps Maiti , Frederi Viens

The optimization of large language models (LLMs) remains a critical challenge, particularly as model scaling exacerbates sensitivity to algorithmic imprecision and training instability. Recent advances in optimizers have improved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Wei He , Kai Han , Hang Zhou , Hanting Chen , Zhicheng Liu , Xinghao Chen , Yunhe Wang

We address the problem of Bayesian reinforcement learning using efficient model-based online planning. We propose an optimism-free Bayes-adaptive algorithm to induce deeper and sparser exploration with a theoretical bound on its performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Divya Grover , Debabrota Basu , Christos Dimitrakakis

Bayesian meta-learning enables robust and fast adaptation to new tasks with uncertainty assessment. The key idea behind Bayesian meta-learning is empirical Bayes inference of hierarchical model. In this work, we extend this framework to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-19 Yayi Zou , Xiaoqi Lu

In molecular biology, advances in high-throughput technologies have made it possible to study complex multivariate phenotypes and their simultaneous associations with high-dimensional genomic and other omics data, a problem that can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-02 Zhi Zhao , Marco Banterle , Leonardo Bottolo , Sylvia Richardson , Alex Lewin , Manuela Zucknick

We propose a new ensemble prediction method, Random Subset Averaging (RSA), tailored for settings with many covariates, particularly in the presence of strong correlations. RSA constructs candidate models via binomial random subset strategy…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Wenhao Cui , Jie Hu

Bayesian neural networks utilize probabilistic layers that capture uncertainty over weights and activations, and are trained using Bayesian inference. Since these probabilistic layers are designed to be drop-in replacement of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Daniel T. Chang

Regression models are used for inference and prediction in a wide range of applications providing a powerful scientific tool for researchers and analysts from different fields. In many research fields the amount of available data as well as…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-08 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik , Florian Frommlet

Simulation-based inference methods have been shown to be inaccurate in the data-poor regime, when training simulations are limited or expensive. Under these circumstances, the inference network is particularly prone to overfitting, and…

We proposed a framework for solving inverse problems in differential equations based on neural networks and automatic differentiation. Neural networks are used to approximate hidden fields. We analyze the source of errors in the framework…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Kailai Xu , Eric Darve

The Bayesian Optimisation Algorithm (BOA) is an Estimation of Distribution Algorithm (EDA) that uses a Bayesian network as probabilistic graphical model (PGM). Determining the optimal Bayesian network structure given a solution sample is an…

The Bergm package provides a comprehensive framework for Bayesian inference using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. It can also supply graphical Bayesian goodness-of-fit procedures that address the issue of model adequacy. The…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-28 Alberto Caimo , Nial Friel

The Deep Operator Networks~(DeepONet) is a fundamentally different class of neural networks that we train to approximate nonlinear operators, including the solution operator of parametric partial differential equations (PDE). DeepONets have…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Guang Lin , Christian Moya , Zecheng Zhang

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

Bayesian models of cognition have gained considerable traction in computational neuroscience and psychiatry. Their scopes are now expected to expand rapidly to artificial intelligence, providing general inference frameworks to support…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Nicolas Legrand , Lilian Weber , Peter Thestrup Waade , Anna Hedvig Møller Daugaard , Mojtaba Khodadadi , Nace Mikuš , Chris Mathys

Bayesian optimization techniques have been successfully applied to robotics, planning, sensor placement, recommendation, advertising, intelligent user interfaces and automatic algorithm configuration. Despite these successes, the approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-12 Ziyu Wang , Frank Hutter , Masrour Zoghi , David Matheson , Nando de Freitas

The ROOT based Offline and Online Analysis (ROAn) framework was developed to perform data analysis on data from Depleted P-channel Field Effect Transistor (DePFET) detectors, a type of active pixel sensors developed at the MPI…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-10-21 Thomas Lauf , Robert Andritschke