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We analyze the training of a two-layer autoencoder used to parameterize a flow-based generative model for sampling from a high-dimensional Gaussian mixture. Previous work shows that the phase where the relative probability between the modes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Santiago Aranguri , Francesco Insulla

Time series prediction is often complicated by distribution shift which demands adaptive models to accommodate time-varying distributions. We frame time series prediction under distribution shift as a weighted empirical risk minimisation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Stefanos Bennett , Jase Clarkson

Recently there has been much work on selective sampling, an online active learning setting, in which algorithms work in rounds. On each round an algorithm receives an input and makes a prediction. Then, it can decide whether to query a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-18 Edward Moroshko , Koby Crammer

We propose a method for adapting neural networks to distribution shifts at test-time. In contrast to training-time robustness mechanisms that attempt to anticipate and counter the shift, we create a closed-loop system and make use of a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Teresa Yeo , Oğuzhan Fatih Kar , Zahra Sodagar , Amir Zamir

A novel approach is suggested for improving the accuracy of fault detection in distribution networks. This technique combines adaptive probability learning and waveform decomposition to optimize the similarity of features. Its objective is…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-03 Xinliang Ma , Weihua Liu , Bingying Jin

We introduce a novel deep learning approach that harnesses the power of generative artificial intelligence to enhance the accuracy of contextual forecasting in sewerage systems. By developing a diffusion-based model that processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Nicholas A. Pearson , Francesca Cairoli , Luca Bortolussi , Davide Russo , Francesca Zanello

Non-stationary sequences arise naturally in control, forecasting, and decision-making. The data-generating process shifts at unknown times, and models must detect the change, discard or downweight obsolete evidence, and adapt to new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Carson Dudley , Yutong Bi , Xiaofeng Liu , Samet Oymak

We study the estimation of time-homogeneous drift functions in multivariate stochastic differential equations with known diffusion coefficient, from multiple trajectories observed at high frequency over a fixed time horizon. We formulate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-23 Marcos Tapia Costa , Nikolas Kantas , George Deligiannidis

A reliable comfort model is essential to improve occupant satisfaction and reduce building energy consumption. As two types of the most common and intuitive thermal adaptive behaviors, precise recognition of dressing and undressing can…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Zhaohe Lv , Guoliang Zhao , Zhanbo Xu , Jiang Wu , Yadong Zhou , Kun Liu

Much of model-based reinforcement learning involves learning a model of an agent's world, and training an agent to leverage this model to perform a task more efficiently. While these models are demonstrably useful for agents, every…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-11-01 C. Daniel Freeman , Luke Metz , David Ha

Many methods have been proposed to detect concept drift, i.e., the change in the distribution of streaming data, due to concept drift causes a decrease in the prediction accuracy of algorithms. However, the most of current detection methods…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-05 Hang Yu , Tianyu Liu , Jie Lu , Guangquan Zhang

Progress on modern scientific questions regularly depends on using large-scale datasets to understand complex dynamical systems. An especially challenging case that has grown to prominence with advances in single-cell sequencing…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-27 Aden Forrow

We present a new distribution-free conformal prediction algorithm for sequential data (e.g., time series), called the \textit{sequential predictive conformal inference} (\texttt{SPCI}). We specifically account for the nature that time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-31 Chen Xu , Yao Xie

Diffusion models have gained traction as powerful algorithms for synthesizing high-quality images. Central to these algorithms is the diffusion process, a set of equations which maps data to noise in a way that can significantly affect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Subham Sekhar Sahoo , Aaron Gokaslan , Chris De Sa , Volodymyr Kuleshov

Human learners have the natural ability to use knowledge gained in one setting for learning in a different but related setting. This ability to transfer knowledge from one task to another is essential for effective learning. In this paper,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-10 T. Tony Cai , Hongji Wei

An evolving weighted neuro-neo-fuzzy-ANARX model and its learning procedures are introduced in the article. This system is basically used for time series forecasting. This system may be considered as a pool of elements that process data in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-21 Zhengbing Hu , Yevgeniy V. Bodyanskiy , Oleksii K. Tyshchenko , Olena O. Boiko

Diffusion models have shown remarkable performance on many generative tasks. Despite recent success, most diffusion models are restricted in that they only allow linear transformation of the data distribution. In contrast, broader family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Grigory Bartosh , Dmitry Vetrov , Christian A. Naesseth

We present a novel simulation-free framework for training continuous-time diffusion processes over very general objective functions. Existing methods typically involve either prescribing the optimal diffusion process -- which only works for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Mengjian Hua , Eric Vanden-Eijnden , Ricky T. Q. Chen

We study the problem of predicting the future, though only in the probabilistic sense of estimating a future state of a time-varying probability distribution. This is not only an interesting academic problem, but solving this extrapolation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-21 Christoph H. Lampert

Data samples generated by several real world processes are dynamic in nature \textit{i.e.}, their characteristics vary with time. Thus it is not possible to train and tackle all possible distributional shifts between training and inference,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Prabhu Teja Sivaprasad , François Fleuret