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The ensemble Kalman filter has become a popular data assimilation technique in the geosciences. However, little is known theoretically about its long term stability and accuracy. In this paper, we investigate the behavior of an ensemble…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Jana de Wiljes , Sebastian Reich , Wilhelm Stannat

The purpose of this review is to present a comprehensive overview of the theory of ensemble Kalman-Bucy filtering for continuous-time, linear-Gaussian signal and observation models. We present a system of equations that describe the flow of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral

We provide a continuous time limit analysis for the class of Ensemble Square Root Filter algorithms with deterministic model perturbations. In the particular linear case, we specify general conditions on the model perturbations implying…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-21 Theresa Lange , Wilhelm Stannat

Simultaneous state and parameter estimation arises from various applicational areas but presents a major computational challenge. Most available Markov chain or sequential Monte Carlo techniques are applicable to relatively low dimensional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-28 Angwenyi David , Jana de Wiljes , Sebastian Reich

Ensemble Kalman filter techniques are widely used to assimilate observations into dynamical models. The phase space dimension is typically much larger than the number of ensemble members which leads to inaccurate results in the computed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2010-01-22 Kay Bergemann , Sebastian Reich

We provide a rigorous derivation of the Ensemble Kalman-Bucy Filter as well as the Ensemble Transform Kalman-Bucy Filter in case of nonlinear, unbounded model and observation operators. We identify them as the continuous time limit of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Theresa Lange

Data assimilation (DA) integrates observational information with model predictions to improve state estimation in complex systems. While filtering provides the basis for online forecasts by using only past and present observations, it can…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Zhang Jiang , Marios Andreou , Sebastian Reich , Nan Chen

Despite the widespread usage of discrete generation Ensemble Kalman particle filtering methodology to solve nonlinear and high dimensional filtering and inverse problems, little is known about their mathematical foundations. As genetic-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Pierre del Moral , Emma Horton

Mathematical modeling and simulation of complex physical systems based on partial differential equations (PDEs) have been widely used in engineering and industrial applications. To enable reliable predictions, it is crucial yet challenging…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-20 Han Gao , Jian-Xun Wang

In recent years, several ensemble-based filtering methods have been proposed and studied. The main challenge in such procedures is the updating of a prior ensemble to a posterior ensemble at every step of the filtering recursions. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-11 Margrethe Kvale Loe , Håkon Tjelmeland

Bayesian linear inverse problems aim to recover an unknown signal from noisy observations, incorporating prior knowledge. This paper analyses a data-dependent method to choose the scale parameter of a Gaussian prior. The method we study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Maia Tienstra , Sebastian Reich

In this article we propose and develop a new methodology which is inspired from Kalman filtering and multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC), entitle the multilevel localized ensemble Kalman--Bucy Filter (MLLEnKBF). Based on the work of Chada et al.…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-25 Neil K. Chada

We introduce a derivative-free computational framework for approximating solutions to nonlinear PDE-constrained inverse problems. The aim is to merge ideas from iterative regularization with ensemble Kalman methods from Bayesian inference…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Marco A. Iglesias

We present recent results on the existence of a continuous time limit for Ensemble Kalman Filter algorithms. In the setting of continuous signal and observation processes, we apply the original Ensemble Kalman Filter algorithm proposed by…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Theresa Lange , Wilhelm Stannat

Concurrent observation technologies have made high-precision real-time data available in large quantities. Data assimilation (DA) is concerned with how to combine this data with physical models to produce accurate predictions. For…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Jana de Wiljes , Xin T. Tong

We address the problem of observation noise misspecification in Bayesian filtering of dynamical systems via recent advances in generalised Bayesian inference. Mis-match in tail decay between the true data generating process and an assumed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Hans Reimann , Sebastian Reich

The Ensemble Kalman filter is a sophisticated and powerful data assimilation method for filtering high dimensional problems arising in fluid mechanics and geophysical sciences. This Monte Carlo method can be interpreted as a mean-field…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-04 Pierre Del Moral , Julian Tugaut

A new type of ensemble Kalman filter is developed, which is based on replacing the sample covariance in the analysis step by its diagonal in a spectral basis. It is proved that this technique improves the aproximation of the covariance when…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-19 Ivan Kasanický , Jan Mandel , Martin Vejmelka

Ensemble Kalman--Bucy filters (EnKBFs) are an important tool in Data Assimilation that aim to approximate the posterior distribution for continuous time filtering problems using an ensemble of interacting particles. In this work we extend a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Sebastian Ertel , Wilhelm Stannat

In this article we consider the linear filtering problem in continuous-time. We develop and apply multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) strategies for ensemble Kalman-Bucy filters (EnKBFs). These filters can be viewed as approximations of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Fangyuan Yu
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