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Credit risk assessment of a company is commonly conducted by utilizing financial ratios that are derived from its financial statements. However, this approach may not fully encompass other significant aspects of a company. We propose the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Xinlin Wang , Mats Brorsson

There has been intensive research regarding machine learning models for predicting bankruptcy in recent years. However, the lack of interpretability limits their growth and practical implementation. This study proposes a data-driven…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-03 Wei Li , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Stefan Lessmann

Corporate insolvency can have a devastating effect on the economy. With an increasing number of companies making expansion overseas to capitalize on foreign resources, a multinational corporate bankruptcy can disrupt the world's financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-16 Jacky C. K. Chow

Bankruptcy is a legal procedure that claims a person or organization as a debtor. It is essential to ascertain the risk of bankruptcy at initial stages to prevent financial losses. In this perspective, different soft computing techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-13 Kalyan Nagaraj , Amulyashree Sridhar

Prognostics aid in the longevity of fielded systems or products. Quantifying the system's current health enable prognosis to enhance the operator's decision-making to preserve the system's health. Creating a prognosis for a system can be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Ryan Nguyen , Shubhendu Kumar Singh , Rahul Rai

In recent years, bankruptcy forecasting has gained lot of attention from researchers as well as practitioners in the field of financial risk management. For bankruptcy prediction, various approaches proposed in the past and currently in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-05 Amir Mukeri , Habibullah Shaikh , D. P. Gaikwad

A way to enhance the performance of a model that combines genetic algorithms and fuzzy logic for feature selection and classification is proposed. Early diagnosis of any disease with less cost is preferable. Diabetes is one such disease.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2011-03-02 E. P. Ephzibah

Context: Financial system stability is determined by the condition of the banking system. A bank failure can destroy the stability of the financial system, as banks are subject to systemic risk, affecting not only individual banks but also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Zuherman Rustam , Sri Hartini , Sardar M. N. Islam , Fevi Novkaniza , Fiftitah R. Aszhari , Muhammad Rifqi

Bankruptcy prediction is an important research area that heavily relies on data science. It aims to help investors, managers, and regulators better understand the operational status of corporations and predict potential financial risks in…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Xinlin Wang , Zsófia Kräussl , Mats Brorsson

The primary aim of this research was to find a model that best predicts which fallen angel bonds would either potentially rise up back to investment grade bonds and which ones would fall into bankruptcy. To implement the solution, we…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-12 Harrison Mateika , Juannan Jia , Linda Lillard , Noah Cronbaugh , Will Shin

In this paper with the aid of genetic algorithm and fuzzy theory, we present a hybrid job scheduling approach, which considers the load balancing of the system and reduces total execution time and execution cost. We try to modify the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2014-04-23 Saeed Javanmardi , Mohammad Shojafar , Danilo Amendola , Nicola Cordeschi , Hongbo Liu , Ajith Abraham

In the area of credit risk analytics, current Bankruptcy Prediction Models (BPMs) struggle with (a) the availability of comprehensive and real-world data sets and (b) the presence of extreme class imbalance in the data (i.e., very few…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-25 Sheikh Rabiul Islam , William Eberle , Sheikh K. Ghafoor , Sid C. Bundy , Douglas A. Talbert , Ambareen Siraj

We introduce a binary regression accounting-based model for bankruptcy prediction of small and medium enterprises (SMEs). The main advantage of the model lies in its predictive performance in identifying defaulted SMEs. Another advantage,…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-11 Raffaella Calabrese , Giampiero Marra , Silvia Angela Osmetti

Using a comprehensive sample of 2,585 bankruptcies from 1990 to 2019, we benchmark the performance of various machine learning models in predicting financial distress of publicly traded U.S. firms. We find that gradient boosted trees…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-26 Emmanuel Alanis , Sudheer Chava , Agam Shah

A public firm's bankruptcy prediction is an important financial research problem because of the security price downside risks. Traditional methods rely on accounting metrics that suffer from shortcomings like window dressing and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-05 Sridhar Ravula

Credit scoring is an essential tool used by global financial institutions and credit lenders for financial decision making. In this paper, we introduce a new method based on Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) to forecast the probability of…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-17 Hamidreza Arian , Seyed Mohammad Sina Seyfi , Azin Sharifi

Academics and practitioners have studied over the years models for predicting firms bankruptcy, using statistical and machine-learning approaches. An earlier sign that a company has financial difficulties and may eventually bankrupt is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-27 Tesi Aliaj , Aris Anagnostopoulos , Stefano Piersanti

Congestion control research has experienced a significant increase in interest in the past few years, with many purpose-built algorithms being designed with the needs of specific applications in mind. These algorithms undergo limited…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2022-07-18 Devdeep Ray , Srinivasan Seshan

Financial Distress Prediction plays a crucial role in the economy by accurately forecasting the number and probability of failing structures, providing insight into the growth and stability of a country's economy. However, predicting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Yuan Gao , Biao Jiang , Jietong Zhou

In bankruptcy prediction, the proportion of events is very low, which is often oversampled to eliminate this bias. In this paper, we study the influence of the event rate on discrimination abilities of bankruptcy prediction models. First…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-14 Lili Zhang , Jennifer Priestley , Xuelei Ni
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