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A penalized maximum likelihood estimation approach is proposed for discrete-time hidden Markov models where covariates affect the observed responses and serial dependence is considered. The proposed penalized maximum likelihood method…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-04 Luca Brusa , Fulvia Pennoni , Francesco Bartolucci , Romina Peruilh Bagolini

We consider learning with possibilistic supervision for multi-class classification. For each training instance, the supervision is a normalized possibility distribution that expresses graded plausibility over the classes. From this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Ismaïl Baaj , Pierre Marquis

Analyzing multi-layered graphical models provides insight into understanding the conditional relationships among nodes within layers after adjusting for and quantifying the effects of nodes from other layers. We obtain the penalized maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-06 Jiahe Lin , Sumanta Basu , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

In this paper, we study the nonparametric linear model, when the error process is a dependent Gaussian process. We focus on the estimation of the mean vector via a model selection approach. We first give the general theoretical form of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Emmanuel Caron , Jérôme Dedecker , Bertrand Michel

We consider an empirical likelihood framework for inference for a statistical model based on an informative sampling design. Covariate information is incorporated both through the weights and the estimating equations. The estimator is based…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-03 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Mark S. Handcock

A general many quantiles + noise model is studied in the robust formulation (allowing non-normal, non-independent observations), where the identifiability requirement for the noise is formulated in terms of quantiles rather than the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-21 Eduard Belitser , Paulo Serra , Alexandra Vegelien

Estimating network formation models with degree heterogeneity raises two problems in empirical networks. First, agents that send no links, receive no links, or link to all remaining agents can make the fixed-effects MLE fail to exist.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-04 Zizhong Yan , Jingrong Li , Yi Zhang

Let $\textbf{X} = (X_1,\ldots, X_p)$ be a stochastic vector having joint density function $f_{\textbf{X}}(x)$ with partitions $\textbf{X}_1 = (X_1,\ldots, X_k)$ and $\textbf{X}_2 = (X_{k+1},\ldots, X_p)$. A new method for estimating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-28 Håkon Otneim , Dag Tjøstheim

We study frequentist properties of Bayesian and $L_0$ model selection, with a focus on (potentially non-linear) high-dimensional regression. We propose a construction to study how posterior probabilities and normalized $L_0$ criteria…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-07 David Rossell

Many experiments in medicine and ecology can be conveniently modeled by finite Gaussian mixtures but face the problem of dealing with small data sets. We propose a robust version of the estimator based on self-regression and sparsity…

Computation · Statistics 2014-10-09 Stephane Chretien

This article investigates unsupervised classification techniques for categorical multivariate data. The study employs multivariate multinomial mixture modeling, which is a type of model particularly applicable to multilocus genotypic data.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-11 Dominique Bontemps , Wilson Toussile

We consider estimating the predictive density under Kullback-Leibler loss in a high-dimensional Gaussian model. Decision theoretic properties of the within-family prediction error -- the minimal risk among estimates in the class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-04 Gourab Mukherjee , Iain M. Johnstone

We study the convergence properties, in Hellinger and related distances, of nonparametric density estimators based on measure transport. These estimators represent the measure of interest as the pushforward of a chosen reference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Sven Wang , Youssef Marzouk

We propose Partition Tree, a novel tree-based framework for conditional density estimation over general outcome spaces that supports both continuous and categorical variables within a unified formulation. Our approach models conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Felipe Angelim , Alessandro Leite

This paper studies the minimax rate of nonparametric conditional density estimation under a weighted absolute value loss function in a multivariate setting. We first demonstrate that conditional density estimation is impossible if one only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-15 Michael Li , Matey Neykov , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

Learning to sample from intractable distributions over discrete sets without relying on corresponding training data is a central problem in a wide range of fields, including Combinatorial Optimization. Currently, popular deep learning-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Sebastian Sanokowski , Sepp Hochreiter , Sebastian Lehner

Models defined by moment conditions are at the center of structural econometric estimation, but economic theory is mostly agnostic about moment selection. While a large pool of valid moments can potentially improve estimation efficiency, in…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-15 Jinyuan Chang , Zhentao Shi , Jia Zhang

Under a single-index regression assumption, we introduce a new semiparametric procedure to estimate a conditional density of a censored response. The regression model can be seen as a generalization of Cox regression model and also as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-22 Olivier Bouaziz , Olivier Lopez

Uncertainty estimation has been extensively studied in recent literature, which can usually be classified as aleatoric uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty. In current aleatoric uncertainty estimation frameworks, it is often neglected that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Jing Zhang , Yuchao Dai , Mehrtash Harandi , Yiran Zhong , Nick Barnes , Richard Hartley

We consider estimating the density of a response conditioning on an error-prone covariate. Motivated by two existing kernel density estimators in the absence of covariate measurement error, we propose a method to correct the existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-09 Xianzheng Huang , Haiming Zhou