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Disentangling irreversible and reversible forces from random fluctuations is a challenging problem in the analysis of stochastic trajectories measured from real-world dynamical systems. We present an approach to approximate the dynamics of…

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

Lecture notes for a master-level applied mathematics course on stochastic processes and applications, held at the University of Orl\'eans, France. Contents: Markov chains, Poisson point processes, Markovian jump processes, queueing theory.…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2013-12-31 Nils Berglund

We present an approach for testing for the existence of continuous generators of discrete stochastic transition matrices. Typically, the known approaches to ascertain the existence of continuous Markov processes are based in the assumption…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-03-23 Pedro Lencastre , Frank Raischel , Tim Rogers , Pedro G. Lind

Using time-reversal, we introduce a stochastic integral for zero-energy additive functionals of symmetric Markov processes, extending earlier work of S. Nakao. Various properties of such stochastic integrals are discussed and an It\^{o}…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-29 Z. -Q. Chen , P. J. Fitzsimmons , K. Kuwae , T. -S. Zhang

The paper is devoted to a systematic study of the duality of processes in the sense that $E f(X_t^x,y)=E f (x, Y_t^y)$ for a certain $f$. This classical topic has well known applications in interacting particles, intertwining,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Vassili Kolokoltsov , RuiXin Lee

Hawkes processes are a particularly interesting class of stochastic process that have been applied in diverse areas, from earthquake modelling to financial analysis. They are point processes whose defining characteristic is that they…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-13 Patrick J. Laub , Thomas Taimre , Philip K. Pollett

This article reports recent developments of the research on Hamilton's Ricci flow and its applications.

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Huai-Dong Cao , Bennett Chow

A method of the approximation of a coalescing Harris flow with homeomorphic stochastic flows built as solutions to SDEs w.r.t. continuous martingales with spatial parameters in the sense of Kunita is proposed. The joint convergence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-01 M. B. Vovchanskii

Order-preserving couplings are elegant tools for obtaining robust estimates of the time-dependent and stationary distributions of Markov processes that are too complex to be analyzed exactly. The starting point of this paper is to study…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-02 Lasse Leskelä

We describe some basic results for Quantum Stochastic Processes and present some new results about a certain class of processes which are associated to Quantum Iterated Function Systems (QIFS). We discuss questions related to the Markov…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-08-23 A. Baraviera , C. F. Lardizabal , Artur O. Lopes , M. Terra Cunha

We study the short-time asymptotical behavior of stochastic flows on \mathbb{R} in the \sup-norm. The results are stated in terms of a Gaussian process associated with the covariation of the flow. In case the Gaussian process has a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-27 Alexander Shamov

Both Hawkes processes and autoregressive processes rely on linear functionals of their past, while modeling different types of data. Since datasets arising from observations of the same phenomenon may be heterogeneous and sampled at…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Théo Leblanc

Continuous Time Markov Chains, Hawkes processes and many other interesting processes can be described as solution of stochastic differential equations driven by Poisson measures. Previous works, using the Stein's method, give the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Eustache Besançon , Laure Coutin , Laurent Decreusefond , Pascal Moyal

In this paper we have constructed an approximation for the Harris flow and the Arratia flow using a sequence of independent stationary Gaussian processes as a perturbation. We have established what should be the relationship between the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-23 Iryna Nishchenko

We consider processes which are functions of finite-state Markov chains. It is well known that such processes are rarely Markov. However, such processes are often regular in the following sense: the distant past values of the process have…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Steven Berghout , Evgeny Verbitskiy

This is an extensive review of recent work on the foundations of statistical mechanics. Subject matters discussed include: interpretation of probability, typicality, recurrence, reversibility, ergodicity, mixing, coarse graining, past…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-04-03 Roman Frigg

We develop a practical approach to establish the stability, that is, the recurrence in a given set, of a large class of controlled Markov chains. These processes arise in various areas of applied science and encompass important numerical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Christophe Andrieu , Vladislav B. Tadić , Matti Vihola

The program of studying general nonlinear Markov processes was put forward in V. N. Kolokoltsov "Nonlinear Markov Semigroups and Interacting L\'evy Type Processes" (Journ. Stat. Physics 126:3 (2007), 585-642), and was developed by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Vassili N. Kolokoltsov

This article is a lecture note on the potential theory of (possibly non-reversible) Markov processes and on the connection of this theory with quantitative analysis of the metastability of stochastic processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Insuk Seo