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Complex survey data are usually collected following complex sampling designs. Accounting for the sampling design is essential to obtain unbiased estimates and valid inferences when analyzing complex survey data. The area under the receiver…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Amaia Iparragirre , Thomas Lumley , Irantzu Barrio

We seek to narrow the gap between parametric and nonparametric modelling of stationary time series processes. The approach is inspired by recent advances in focused inference and model selection techniques. The paper generalises and extends…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Gudmund Hermansen , Nils Lid Hjort , Martin Jullum

Verification bias is a well-known problem that may occur in the evaluation of predictive ability of diagnostic tests. When a binary disease status is considered, various solutions can be found in the literature to correct inference based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-10 Khanh To Duc , Monica Chiogna , Gianfranco Adimari

Instrumental variable (IV) methods allow us the opportunity to address unmeasured confounding in causal inference. However, most IV methods are only applicable to discrete or continuous outcomes with very few IV methods for censored…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-30 Youjin Lee , Edward H. Kennedy , Nandita Mitra

The ROC curve is the gold standard for measuring the performance of a test/scoring statistic regarding its capacity to discriminate between two statistical populations in a wide variety of applications, ranging from anomaly detection in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-25 Stéphan Clémençon , Myrto Limnios , Nicolas Vayatis

We develop a scoring and classification procedure based on the PAC-Bayesian approach and the AUC (Area Under Curve) criterion. We focus initially on the class of linear score functions. We derive PAC-Bayesian non-asymptotic bounds for two…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-14 James Ridgway , Pierre Alquier , Nicolas Chopin , Feng Liang

In this review, we present an overview of the main aspects related to the statistical evaluation of medical tests for diagnosis and prognosis. Measures of diagnostic performance for binary tests, such as sensitivity, specificity, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-16 Vanda Inacio , Maria Xose Rodriguez-Alvarez , Pilar Gayoso-Diz

Area Under the Curve (AUC) is arguably the most popular measure of classification accuracy. We use a semiparametric framework to introduce a latent scale-invariant $R^2$, a novel measure of variation explained for an observed binary outcome…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-01 Debangan Dey , Vadim Zipunnikov

The Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) is an important model metric for evaluating binary classifiers, and many algorithms have been proposed to optimize AUC approximately. It raises the question of whether the generally insignificant gains…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Baojian Zhou , Steven Skiena

Dynamic Positron Emission Tomography (dPET) imaging and Time-Activity Curve (TAC) analyses are essential for understanding and quantifying the biodistribution of radiopharmaceuticals over time and space. Traditional compartmental modeling,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Niloufar Zakariaei , Arman Rahmim , Eldad Haber

A Bayesian approach to the classification problem is proposed in which random partitions play a central role. It is argued that the partitioning approach has the capacity to take advantage of a variety of large-scale spatial structures, if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marc A. Coram

Recently, the intervention calculus when the DAG is absent (IDA) method was developed to estimate lower bounds of causal effects from observational high-dimensional data. Originally it was introduced to assess the effect of baseline…

Scoring functions are used to evaluate and compare partially probabilistic forecasts. We investigate the use of rank-sum functions such as empirical Area Under the Curve (AUC), a widely-used measure of classification performance, as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Simon Byrne

The interpretation of medical images is a challenging task, often complicated by the presence of artifacts, occlusions, limited contrast and more. Most notable is the case of chest radiography, where there is a high inter-rater variability…

Free-response observer performance studies are of great importance for accuracy evaluation and comparison in tasks related to the detection and localization of multiple targets or signals. The free-response receiver operating characteristic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Jiarui Sun , Kaiyuan Liu , Xiao-Hua Zhou

We provide a comprehensive theory of conducting in-sample statistical inference about receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves that are based on predicted values from a first stage model with estimated parameters (such as a logit…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-06 Yu-Chin Hsu , Robert P. Lieli

We consider parameter estimation, hypothesis testing and variable selection for partially time-varying coefficient models. Our asymptotic theory has the useful feature that it can allow dependent, nonstationary error and covariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

Rating scales are used to elicit data about qualitative entities (e.g., research collaboration). This study presents an innovative method for reducing the number of rating scale items without the predictability loss. The "area under the…

Area under ROC curve (AUC) is a widely used performance measure for classification models. We propose two new distributionally robust AUC maximization models (DR-AUC) that rely on the Kantorovich metric and approximate the AUC with the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-28 Wenbo Ma , Miguel A. Lejeune

Whilst the size and complexity of ML models have rapidly and significantly increased over the past decade, the methods for assessing their performance have not kept pace. In particular, among the many potential performance metrics, the ML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Michael Roberts , Alon Hazan , Sören Dittmer , James H. F. Rudd , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb
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