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The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is an important graphic tool for evaluating a test in a wide range of disciplines. While useful, an ROC curve can cross the chance line, either by having an S-shape or a hook at the extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Soutik Ghosal , Zhen Chen

We propose a method for maximizing a partial area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (pAUC) for binary classification tasks. In binary classification tasks, accuracy is the most commonly used as a measure of classifier…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-14 Naonori Ueda , Akinori Fujino

The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) has become a popular index not only for measuring the overall prediction capacity of a marker but also the association strength between continuous and binary variables. In the…

The area under the ROC curve (AUC) is a widely used performance measure in machine learning. Increasingly, however, in several applications, ranging from ranking to biometric screening to medicine, performance is measured not in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-29 Harikrishna Narasimhan , Shivani Agarwal

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis is a tool to evaluate the capacity of a numeric measure to distinguish between groups, often employed in the evaluation of diagnostic tests. Overall classification ability is sometimes…

In high-stakes risk prediction, quantifying uncertainty through interval-valued predictions is essential for reliable decision-making. However, standard evaluation tools like the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Yuqi Li , Matthew M. Engelhard

The area under the curve (AUC) of summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curve is a primary statistical outcome for meta-analysis of diagnostic test accuracy studies (DTA). However, its confidence interval has not been reported in…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-02 Hisashi Noma , Yuki Matsushima , Ryota Ishii

The comparison of Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves is frequently used in the literature to compare the discriminatory capability of different classification procedures based on diagnostic variables. The performance of these…

Prior to clinical applications, it is critical that risk prediction models are evaluated in independent studies that did not contribute to model development. While prospective cohort studies provide a natural setting for model validation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-13 Parichoy Pal Choudhury , Anil K. Chaturvedi , Nilanjan Chatterjee

The Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) is a crucial metric for machine learning, which evaluates the average performance over all possible True Positive Rates (TPRs) and False Positive Rates (FPRs). Based on the knowledge that a skillful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Zhiyong Yang , Qianqian Xu , Shilong Bao , Yuan He , Xiaochun Cao , Qingming Huang

Accurate diagnosis of disease is of great importance in clinical practice and medical research. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) surface is a popular tool for evaluating the discriminatory ability of continuous diagnostic test…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-22 Vanda Inacio de Carvalho , Miguel de Carvalho , Adam Branscum

Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves have recently been used to evaluate the performance of models for spatial presence-absence or presence-only data. Applications include species distribution modelling and mineral prospectivity…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Adrian Baddeley , Ege Rubak , Suman Rakshit , Gopalan Nair

Optimal performance is critical for decision-making tasks from medicine to autonomous driving, however common performance measures may be too general or too specific. For binary classifiers, diagnostic tests or prognosis at a timepoint,…

The ROC curve and the corresponding AUC are popular tools for the evaluation of diagnostic tests. They have been recently extended to assess prognostic markers and predictive models. However, due to the many particularities of time-to-event…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-26 Paul Blanche , Aurélien Latouche , Vivian Viallon

Verification bias is a well known problem when the predictive ability of a diagnostic test has to be evaluated. In this paper, we discuss how to assess the accuracy of continuous-scale diagnostic tests in the presence of verification bias,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-19 Khanh To Duc , Monica Chiogna , Gianfranco Adimari

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves are widely used as a measure of accuracy of diagnostic tests and can be summarized using the area under the ROC curve (AUC). Often, it is useful to construct a confidence intervals for the AUC,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-18 Hunyong Cho , Gregory J. Matthews , Ofer Harel

Background: Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves are widely used to evaluate the performance of Software Defect Prediction (SDP) models that estimate module fault-proneness, i.e., the probability that a module is faulty. A ROC…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Luigi Lavazza , Gabriele Rotoloni , Sandro Morasca

In randomized trials and observational studies, it is often necessary to evaluate the extent to which an intervention affects a time-to-event outcome, which is only partially observed due to right censoring. For instance, in infectious…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Yutong Jin , Peter B. Gilbert , Aaron Hudson

As a variant of the Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC), the partial AUC (PAUC) focuses on a specific range of false positive rate (FPR) and/or true positive rate (TPR) in the ROC curve. It is a pivotal evaluation metric in real-world scenarios…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Yangbangyan Jiang , Qianqian Xu , Huiyang Shao , Zhiyong Yang , Shilong Bao , Xiaochun Cao , Qingming Huang

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is an informative tool in binary classification and Area Under ROC Curve (AUC) is a popular metric for reporting performance of binary classifiers. In this paper, first we present a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Khashayar Namdar , Masoom A. Haider , Farzad Khalvati