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Many causal quantities are only partially identifiable due to the inherent missingness of potential outcomes, and the associated partial identification (PI) sets can be obtained by solving an optimal transport (OT) problem. Covariates often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Sirui Lin , Zijun Gao , Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn

We provide full theoretical guarantees for the convergence behaviour of diffusion-based generative models under the assumption of strongly log-concave data distributions while our approximating class of functions used for score estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Stefano Bruno , Ying Zhang , Dong-Young Lim , Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Sotirios Sabanis

The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and the Area Under the Curve (AUC) of the ROC curve are widely used to compare the performance of diagnostic and prognostic assays. The ROC curve has the advantage that it is independent of…

Estimating the density of a continuous random variable X has been studied extensively in statistics, in the setting where n independent observations of X are given a priori and one wishes to estimate the density from that. Popular methods…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-09 Pierre L'Ecuyer , Florian Puchhammer

Generalized linear models play an essential role in a wide variety of statistical applications. This paper discusses an approximation of the likelihood in these models that can greatly facilitate computation. The basic idea is to replace a…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-27 Alexandro D. Ramirez , Liam Paninski

Doubly robust estimators with cross-fitting have gained popularity in causal inference due to their favorable structure-agnostic error guarantees. However, when additional structure, such as H\"{o}lder smoothness, is available then more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-08 Alec McClean , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Edward H. Kennedy , Larry Wasserman

This paper studies a Bayesian estimation procedure for single-hidden-layer neural networks using $\ell_{1}$ controlled weights. We study the structure of the posterior density and provide a representation that makes it amenable to rapid…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Curtis McDonald , Andrew R. Barron

In this paper, we study the problem of sampling from a given probability density function that is known to be smooth and strongly log-concave. We analyze several methods of approximate sampling based on discretizations of the (highly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-26 Arnak S. Dalalyan , Avetik G. Karagulyan

Modern problems in statistics tend to include estimators of high computational complexity and with complicated distributions. Statistical inference on such estimators usually relies on asymptotic normality assumptions, however, such…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-08 Eyal Fisher , Regev Schweiger , Saharon Rosset

We study the problem of estimating multivariate log-concave probability density functions. We prove the first sample complexity upper bound for learning log-concave densities on $\mathbb{R}^d$, for all $d \geq 1$. Prior to our work, no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-07 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Alistair Stewart

The bootstrap is a popular method of constructing confidence intervals due to its ease of use and broad applicability. Theoretical properties of bootstrap procedures have been established in a variety of settings. However, there is limited…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Zhou Tang , Ted Westling

The purpose of this note is to provide an approximation for the generalized bootstrapped empirical process achieving the rate in Kolmos et al. (1975). The proof is based on much the same arguments as in Horvath et al. (2000). As a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-31 Salim Bouzebda , Omar El-Dakkak

Classical estimation techniques for linear models either are inconsistent, or perform rather poorly, under $\alpha$-stable error densities; most of them are not even rate-optimal. In this paper, we propose an original one-step R-estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-19 Marc Hallin , Yvik Swan , Thomas Verdebout , David Veredas

We propose Subsampling MCMC, a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) framework where the likelihood function for $n$ observations is estimated from a random subset of $m$ observations. We introduce a highly efficient unbiased estimator of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-31 Matias Quiroz , Robert Kohn , Mattias Villani , Minh-Ngoc Tran

This paper presents a practical and simple fully nonparametric multivariate smoothing procedure that adapts to the underlying smoothness of the true regression function. Our estimator is easily computed by successive application of existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-08 P. A. Cornillon , N. Hengartner , E. Matzner-Løber

We study the approximation of arbitrary distributions $P$ on $d$-dimensional space by distributions with log-concave density. Approximation means minimizing a Kullback--Leibler-type functional. We show that such an approximation exists if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-17 Lutz Duembgen , Richard Samworth , Dominic Schuhmacher

Despite decades of research and recent progress in adaptive control and reinforcement learning, there remains a fundamental lack of understanding in designing controllers that provide robustness to inherent non-asymptotic uncertainties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Benjamin Gravell , Tyler Summers

The errors-in-variables (EIV) regression model, being more realistic by accounting for measurement errors in both the dependent and the independent variables, is widely adopted in applied sciences. The traditional EIV model estimators,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-13 Hao Han , Wei Zhu

We study cluster-robust inference for logistic regression (logit) models. Inference based on the most commonly-used cluster-robust variance matrix estimator (CRVE) can be very unreliable. We study several alternatives. Conceptually the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-05 James G. MacKinnon , Morten Ørregaard Nielsen , Matthew D. Webb

[Abridged] We seek approximations to the cosmic shear covariance that are as easy to use as the common approximations based on normal statistics, but yield more accurate covariance matrices and parameter errors. We derive expressions for…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-28 Stefan Hilbert , Jan Hartlap , Peter Schneider