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An interbank market lets participants pool the risk arising from the combination of illiquid investments and random withdrawals by depositors. But it also creates the potential for one bank's failure to trigger off avalanches of further…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Giulia Iori , Saqib Jafarey

We model a network economy with three sectors: downstream firms, upstream firms, and banks. Agents are linked by productive and credit relationships so that the behavior of one agent influences the behavior of the others through network…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-18 Domenico Delli Gatti , Mauro Gallegati , Bruce Greenwald , Alberto Russo , Joseph E. Stiglitz

We propose a minimal model of the secured interbank network able to shed light on recent money markets puzzles. We find that excess liquidity emerges due to the interactions between the reserves and liquidity ratio constraints; the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-25 Victor Le Coz , Michael Benzaquen , Damien Challet

Assessing the stability of economic systems is a fundamental research focus in economics, that has become increasingly interdisciplinary in the currently troubled economic situation. In particular, much attention has been devoted to the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-24 Matteo Serri , Guido Caldarelli , Giulio Cimini

The DebtRank algorithm has been increasingly investigated as a method to estimate the impact of shocks in financial networks, as it overcomes the limitations of the traditional default-cascade approaches. Here we formulate a dynamical…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-21 Marco Bardoscia , Stefano Battiston , Fabio Caccioli , Guido Caldarelli

Financial networks are dynamic. To assess their systemic importance to the world-wide economic network and avert losses we need models that take the time variations of the links and nodes into account. Using the methodology of classical…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-10 Nima Dehmamy , Sergey V. Buldyrev , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley , Irena Vodenska

Building on similarities between earthquakes and extreme financial events, we use a self-organized criticality-generating model to study herding and avalanche dynamics in financial markets. We consider a community of interacting investors,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda , Dirk Helbing

Will a large economy be stable? Building on Robert May's original argument for large ecosystems, we conjecture that evolutionary and behavioural forces conspire to drive the economy towards marginal stability. We study networks of firms in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-09-25 José Moran , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We study the collective behavior of interacting agents in a simple model of market economics originally introduced by N{\o}rrelykke and Bak. A general theoretical framework for interacting traders on an arbitrary network is presented, with…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-24 Avinash Chand Yadav , Kaustubh Manchanda , Ramakrishna Ramaswamy

In a previous paper, we applied a field formalism to analyze capital allocation and accumulation within a microeconomic framework of investors and firms. The financial connections were modeled by a field of stakes, representing the links…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-11-14 Pierre Gosselin , Aïleen Lotz

A simple banking network model is proposed which features multiple waves of bank defaults and is analytically solvable in the limiting case of an infinitely large homogeneous network. The model is a collection of nodes representing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-02 Igor Tsatskis

We investigate the breakdown of disordered networks under the action of an increasing external---mechanical or electrical---force. We perform a mean-field analysis and estimate scaling exponents for the approach to the instability. By…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Stefano Zapperi , Purusattam Ray , H. Eugene Stanley , Alessandro Vespignani

Economy is demanding new models, able to understand and predict the evolution of markets. To this respect, Econophysics offers models of markets as complex systems, that try to comprehend macro-, system-wide states of the economy from the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-20 Carmen Pellicer-Lostao , Ricardo Lopez-Ruiz

Banking system crises are complex events that in a short span of time can inflict extensive damage to banks themselves and to the external economy. The crisis literature has so far identified a number of distinct effects or channels that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-16 T. R. Hurd

Although classical economic theory is based on the concept of stable equilibrium, real economic systems appear to be always out of equilibrium. Indeed, they share many of the dynamical features of other complex systems, e.g., ecological…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-11-16 Sitabhra Sinha

Following the financial crisis of 2007-2008, a deep analogy between the origins of instability in financial systems and complex ecosystems has been pointed out: in both cases, topological features of network structures influence how easily…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-28 Marco Bardoscia , Stefano Battiston , Fabio Caccioli , Guido Caldarelli

In this paper we extend the series of our studies on the properties of an interacting particle model for market microstructure. In our earlier work we defined a Markov process on the majority opinion of the agents, obtained the transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Ted Theodosopoulos , Ming Yuen

We contribute to the understanding of how systemic risk arises in a network of credit-interlinked agents. Motivated by empirical studies we formulate a network model which, despite its simplicity, depicts the nature of interbank markets…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-26 Oliver Kley , Claudia Klüppelberg , Lukas Reichel

Cascading failures, such as bankruptcies and defaults, pose a serious threat for the resilience of the global financial system. Indeed, because of the complex investment and cross-holding relations within the system, failures can occur as a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-22 Leonardo Stella , Dario Bauso , Franco Blanchini , Patrizio Colaneri

We propose an interacting particle system to model the evolution of a system of banks with mutual exposures. In this model, a bank defaults when its normalized asset value hits a lower threshold, and its default causes instantaneous losses…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-03 Sergey Nadtochiy , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov
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