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Species tree estimation from multi-locus datasets is statistically challenging for multiple reasons, including gene tree heterogeneity across the genome due to incomplete lineage sorting (ILS). Species tree estimation methods have been…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-23 John A. Rhodes , Michael G. Nute , Tandy Warnow

Eliciting preferences from human judgements is inherently imprecise, yet most decision analysis methods force a single priority vector from pairwise comparisons, discarding the information embedded in inconsistencies. We instead leverage…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-27 Salvatore Greco , Sajid Siraj , Michele Lundy

Bayesian Decision Trees are known for their probabilistic interpretability. However, their construction can sometimes be costly. In this article we present a general Bayesian Decision Tree algorithm applicable to both regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-23 Giuseppe Nuti , Lluís Antoni Jiménez Rugama , Andreea-Ingrid Cross

Phylogenetic mixtures model the inhomogeneous molecular evolution commonly observed in data. The performance of phylogenetic reconstruction methods where the underlying data is generated by a mixture model has stimulated considerable recent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-06-30 Frederick A. Matsen , Mike Steel

A random forest is a popular tool for estimating probabilities in machine learning classification tasks. However, the means by which this is accomplished is unprincipled: one simply counts the fraction of trees in a forest that vote for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-17 Matthew A. Olson , Abraham J. Wyner

Tree-based ensemble methods such as random forests, gradient-boosted trees, and Bayesianadditive regression trees have been successfully used for regression problems in many applicationsand research studies. In this paper, we study ensemble…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-21 Alexandre Seiller , Éric Gaussier , Emilie Devijver , Marianne Clausel , Sami Alkhoury

Phylogenetic trees are simple models of evolutionary processes. They describe conditionally independent divergent evolution of taxa from common ancestors. Phylogenetic trees commonly do not have enough flexibility to adequately model all…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-11 Jonathan D. Mitchell , Barbara R. Holland

Recently, so-called treebased phylogenetic networks have gained considerable interest in the literature, where a treebased network is a network that can be constructed from a phylogenetic tree, called the base tree, by adding additional…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-28 Mareike Fischer , Michelle Galla , Lina Herbst , Yangjing Long , Kristina Wicke

We describe a probabilistic (generative) view of affinity matrices along with inference algorithms for a subclass of problems associated with data clustering. This probabilistic view is helpful in understanding different models and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Romer Rosales , Brendan J. Frey

Machine learning methods can detect complex relationships between variables, but usually do not exploit domain knowledge. This is a limitation because in many scientific disciplines, such as systems biology, domain knowledge is available in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-07-31 Bastian Pfeifer , Hubert Baniecki , Anna Saranti , Przemyslaw Biecek , Andreas Holzinger

A method for creating a forest of model trees to fit samples of a function defined on images is described in several steps: down-sampling the images, determining a tree's hyperplanes, applying convolutions to the hyperplanes to handle small…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 William Ward Armstrong , Hongyi Li , Jun Xu

We calculate the density and expectation for the number of lineages in a reconstructed tree with $n$ extant species. This is done with conditioning on the age of the tree as well as with assuming a uniform prior for the age of the tree.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-05 Tanja Gernhard , Dennis Wong

A hierarchical structure describing the inter-relationships of species has long been a fundamental concept in systematic biology, from Linnean classification through to the more recent quest for a 'Tree of Life.' In this paper we use an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-08-21 Andreas Dress , Vincent Moulton , Mike Steel , Taoyang Wu

The branching structure of biological evolution confers statistical dependencies on phenotypic trait values in related organisms. For this reason, comparative macroevolutionary studies usually begin with an inferred phylogeny that describes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-23 Forrest W. Crawford , Marc A. Suchard

One can often make inferences about a growing network from its current state alone. For example, it is generally possible to determine how a network changed over time or pick among plausible mechanisms explaining its growth. In practice,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-01-27 George T. Cantwell , Guillaume St-Onge , Jean-Gabriel Young

The number of extant individuals within a lineage, as exemplified by counts of species numbers across genera in a higher taxonomic category, is known to be a highly skewed distribution. Because the sublineages (such as genera in a clade)…

Applications · Statistics 2009-01-09 Panagis Moschopoulos , Max Shpak

Many biological studies involve inferring the evolutionary history of a sample of individuals from a large population and interpreting the reconstructed tree. Such an ascertained tree typically represents only a small part of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-13 Michael Celentano , William S. DeWitt , Sebastian Prillo , Yun S. Song

We introduce inference trees (ITs), a new class of inference methods that build on ideas from Monte Carlo tree search to perform adaptive sampling in a manner that balances exploration with exploitation, ensures consistency, and alleviates…

An evolutionary tree is a cascade of bifurcations starting from a single common root, generating a growing set of daughter species as time goes by. Species here is a general denomination for biological species, spoken languages or any other…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-26 Paulo Murilo Castro de Oliveira

We consider the creation conditions of diverse hierarchical trees both analytically and numerically. A connection between the probabilities to create hierarchical levels and the probability to associate these levels into a united structure…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-06-21 A. I. Olemskoi , S. S. Borysov , I. A. Shuda